Woody's Division Series

[woodypaige]

I had a great season and hope to continue in the playoffs.
Regular Season MLB YTD 239-237 + 11,936

10* Phillies-1.5.....+105

Brewers: In choosing Gallardo, Brewers manager Dale Sveum picked raw talent over experience. He could have used postseason stalwart Jeff Suppan (5-2 with a 3.00 ERA in nine career postseason starts) on regular rest or Dave Bush on three days' rest. Instead, Sveum went with Gallardo, the Brewers' most promising young pitcher, but also a 22-year-old less than five months removed from a major right knee injury. He had surgery to repair a torn ACL in May and was back in Milwaukee's rotation on Sept. 25 for a start against the Pirates. He threw 67 pitches in four innings and allowed one run on three hits, including a Steve Pearce solo home run. He looked extremely good on the mound but in his only at-bat, Gallardo never took the bat off his shoulder. It was sign that the Brewers did not want him on the basepaths with a surgically repaired knee. I don't see Gallardo going deep into the innings today, so it will be up to their bullpen in this one.

Phillies: Hamels-The Phillies' leader in innings and ERA among starters (3.09) will be making his second Game 1 start after working against the Rockies to kick off the NLDS last season. A rough second inning doomed him in a 4-2 defeat, and he didn't get another chance as the Rockies won the next two games for a sweep. The Phils' lefty ace will be facing the Brewers for the sixth time in his career, and has a 4.41 ERA against them.
I think the Phillies learned from last years mistake of not winning early. They are a lot more focused this year. Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing The Brewers.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-1 (+3.9 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
GALLARDO is 1-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 0.750.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

Gallardo:
Milwaukee 0-4 at Philadelphia this season
Milwaukee 31-55 Away in day games


COLE HAMELS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
HAMELS is 2-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.096.
His team's record is 2-3 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)
Philadelphia 20-4 as a home favorite of -150 to -200
Hamels is 5-2, 2.66 in his last eight starts; he beat Milwaukee 7-3 Sept 13 (two runs in 6.1 IP).

5* LAA-125
LAA is 8-1 this year vs The Red Sox this season.

 

[jordan17]

go woody!
ic halos! arty:

bol :toast:

 

[woodypaige]

Big winner to start the series's off!!!!!!!:aktion033

 

[ExtremeNole]

woody might win a couple...:aktion033

 

[raysmc]

nice hit on phills.. I am on dodgers and sox tonight.. good luck this postseason buddy

 

[Loren78]

Agreed...Angels roll tonight...

 

[woodypaige]

Gm 1 CWS @ TB Thu Oct. 2 2:30 PM TBS

10* TB Rays-178


White Sox: Manager Ozzie Guillen announced that Vazquez will make the Game 1 start for the White Sox, pitching on four days' rest after pitching Saturday on short rest. Vazquez, has a 1-2 record and 3.54 ERA against the Rays this season, along with a 5-9 record and 5.10 ERA on the road.
CWS are 4-16 on turf with 3 wins coming at Tropicana Field.

Rays: Shields pitched one inning Sunday against the Tigers in a final tune-up before the playoffs and retired the side in order. The 26-year-old right-hander's best pitch has always been his changeup, but he also has a plus fastball and curve, and he's added a cutter that has helped him throw inside to left-handers. Shields enters the playoffs after pitching 215 innings for the second consecutive season, which is a testament to his style of pitching and his competitiveness. Unless something goes drastically wrong, Shields can be counted upon to give the team seven or more innings. Shields is 9-2 with a 2.59 ERA in 17 starts at Tropicana Field this season.
Rays have never lost when there has been 30,000 or more at the Trop.
Tomorrow the Rays are expecting a sellout.

 

[MMfan]

The Cubs have got me on all games I've tried to get them in the last two weeks.

 

[woodypaige]

The Cubs have got me on all games I've tried to get them in the last two weeks.

I bet the LAD for the series on a small bet only because I personally think if they win this series, they could win it all.
I just think all of Chicago, including the players, are waiting for the jinx to set in!!

 

[MMfan]

I bet the LAD for the series on a small bet only because I personally think if they win this series, they could win it all.
I just think all of Chicago, including the players, are waiting for the jinx to set in!!

I agree. I won on the Sox last night. Should have just stopped there. I like LAA. Looking forward to that win. Your thoughts on tomorrow? Thanks

 

[woodypaige]

Yesterday 1-1, +375


I'm undecided about the 2 late games because I have opinions on why either teams can win and nothing really stands out yet. Might have something later.
I'm going to post some things that I feel are important when placing a wager in these Playoff Games. Many people just bet on their home team or favorite team and usually don't always win.

First things last? As in, do those first postseason steps leave a lasting impression? Does the long journey to a World Series title really begin with the first small Division Series step?
That appears to depend on your persuasion. National or American League? Put it this way: Between the two home teams, which on Wednesday lost Game 1 of their Division Series, the Chicago Cubs have a lot more to worry about than the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim.
NL clubs that have lost the opening game of a Division Series, which were inaugurated in 1995, have gone 3-23. Of the 16 clubs which dropped Game 1 at home, only one recovered to advance to the NL Championship Series -- the '99 Braves.
The AL stands in complete contrast: Winners of Game 1 have converted them into Division Series wins 12 out of 26 times.
Going down the postseason trail, the carryover effect of starting it off with a win is minimal, about what one would expect based on the laws of probability.
Division Series Game 1 winners have captured six of 13 ALCS, 10 of 13 NLCS and, ultimately, nine of 13 World Series.
The most intriguing conclusion of some superficial analysis: Division Series Game 1 winners have wound up meeting each other in only four of the 13 World Series since 1995.


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Citizens Bank Park | 6:00 PM ET </td> </tr></tbody></table></td></tr> <tr><td>

</td></tr> <tr><td><table border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr> <td width="38"> </td> <td class="textSm" width="50%"> CC Sabathia, LHP (0-0, -.--)
Brewers </td> <td class="textXl"> @ </td> <td width="38"> </td> <td class="textSm" width="50%"> Brett Myers, RHP (0-0, -.--)
Phillies </td> </tr></tbody></table></td></tr> <tr><td>

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Brewers: Make it four straight starts on three days' rest for Sabathia, who continues to cement his status as the greatest midseason pickup in Major League history. Sabathia carried the Brewers to their first postseason bid in 26 years on Sunday in Milwaukee, allowing an unearned run on four hits in a complete-game, 122-pitch win over the Cubs. Less than an hour later, after a Mets loss, the Brewers won the Wild Card. The Brewers squeezed every ounce of energy out of their prized rental. Sabathia threw 334 pitches the last nine days of the regular season, starting three straight times on three days' rest.Phillies: Myers' second-half resurgence gave the Phillies an acquisition as valuable as CC Sabathia or Rich Harden. The righty posted a 1.80 ERA in 11 starts -- and dominated. There is some concern regarding his final two outings of the season, in which he allowed 14 earned runs and 19 hits in 8 1/3 innings. He has a 1.77 ERA in eight career appearances against the Brewers.

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Wrigley Field | 9:30 PM ET </td> </tr></tbody></table></td></tr> <tr><td>

</td></tr> <tr><td><table border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr> <td width="38"> </td> <td class="textSm" width="50%"> Chad Billingsley, RHP (0-0, -.--)
Dodgers </td> <td class="textXl"> @ </td> <td width="38"> </td> <td class="textSm" width="50%"> Carlos Zambrano, RHP (0-0, -.--)
Cubs </td> </tr></tbody></table></td></tr> <tr><td>

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Dodgers: He's made a little progress in two years. When the Dodgers played the Mets in the 2006 playoffs, Billingsley was a rookie added to the roster hours before Game 1 because Joe Beimel sliced his hand in a barroom mishap. Billingsley didn't fall victim to the pressure or his inexperience, pitching two innings of scoreless relief. Now he's advanced to the No. 2 starter of the playoff rotation after pitching like an ace during the regular season, leading the club in wins (16) and strikeouts (201) and going 3-0 in September. He's 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA this year against the Cubs and 1-1 against them with a 3.60 ERA overall.Cubs: The Cubs' Opening Day starter, Zambrano is 7-2 with a 3.77 ERA at home and 7-4 with a 4.07 ERA on the road. He's been a little erratic in the final month. He threw a no-hitter on Sept. 14 against Houston in a game played at Miller Park because of Hurricane Ike but lasted only 1 2/3 innings in his start after that against St. Louis. Part of the reason for the rough outing, in which he gave up eight runs on six hits and three walks, was that he'd flown home to Venezuela to attend his grandmother's funeral. Lou Piniella has talked to Zambrano about how his antics sometimes get in the way. No one knows which Zambrano will show up. He is 0-0 with a 3.09 ERA in two NLDS starts.

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[woodypaige]

5* Phillies+120
5* LAD+144

Series Bets
2* Phillies-230
2* LAD-135
2* Rays-170
2* LAA+170

 

[Low]

LIKE ALL 3 PLAYS OF YOURS TODAY...GL WOODY :toast:

 

[jordan17]

opposite of phil...u know Im on lad...:lol:

BOL Woody :toast:

 

[woodypaige]

10* TB Rays-178


White Sox: Manager Ozzie Guillen announced that Vazquez will make the Game 1 start for the White Sox, pitching on four days' rest after pitching Saturday on short rest. Vazquez, has a 1-2 record and 3.54 ERA against the Rays this season, along with a 5-9 record and 5.10 ERA on the road.
CWS are 4-16 on turf with 3 wins coming at Tropicana Field.

Rays: Shields pitched one inning Sunday against the Tigers in a final tune-up before the playoffs and retired the side in order. The 26-year-old right-hander's best pitch has always been his changeup, but he also has a plus fastball and curve, and he's added a cutter that has helped him throw inside to left-handers. Shields enters the playoffs after pitching 215 innings for the second consecutive season, which is a testament to his style of pitching and his competitiveness. Unless something goes drastically wrong, Shields can be counted upon to give the team seven or more innings. Shields is 9-2 with a 2.59 ERA in 17 starts at Tropicana Field this season.
Rays have never lost when there has been 30,000 or more at the Trop.
Tomorrow the Rays are expecting a sellout.

:money8:

 

[Twisted]

 

[ELMO75]

g/l Wood!!! nice call on Philly.

 

[woodypaige]

3-0 yesterday:toast:

 

[boombaby]

Great job yesterday!Wish i wouldve seen them earlier. Any leans today?

 

[woodypaige]

Just got home after being at the TB Rays game!!! Horse, Drunk and Tired as hell!!!!
:drink::drink: