Woodbine 9-03-2017

[Prof_Factor]

Woodbine 9-03-2017


race #1 - 8.5f
... all closers, so who's gonna go?
#6 6-1 PHIL'S GLORY
#2 6-5 GALE FORCE - logical
#4 4-1 CAMARIA - if it were me ... I'd send to the lead.

race #2 - 7f turf
... 2yo maidens, half unraced and weak pedigrees. No confidence here.
#1 5-1 INSIDE MAN - jock/trainer angle
#3 7-2 JOSIE'S RIDDLE
#5 8-1 JACK STRAIGHT

race #3 - 7f
#6 5-1 SNOWY LEGACY - lone speed
#8 20-1 RISING DOUGH
#1 2-1 PEYTON - jock always finds a way to lose.

race #4 - 8.5f turf
#5 7-2 CANMORE
#6 3-1 ROBUSTIOUS
#8 6-1 STOP THE PARADE - Singh jumps off for CANMORE and this one now gets Emma-Jayne .... which is a big improvement, like BIG!
#1 10-1 GREENFIELD

race #5 - 5f
#10 4-1 MISS DANIELLE
#3 3-1 TOMATO BISQUE
#6 5-1 MIDNIGHT FLASH
#4 6-1 CLOSER STILL (IRE)

race #6 - 6f turf
#10 7-2 PERFECT FORESTER
#9 3-1 DAN THE TIN MAN - likes the green
#4 10-1 KITTEN CANDY

... rest to follow shortly ...

 

[Prof_Factor]

Woodbine 9-03-2017


race #1 - 8.5f
... all closers, so who's gonna go?
#6 6-1 PHIL'S GLORY
#2 6-5 GALE FORCE - logical
#4 4-1 CAMARIA - if it were me ... I'd send to the lead.

race #2 - 7f turf
... 2yo maidens, half unraced and weak pedigrees. No confidence here.
#1 5-1 INSIDE MAN - jock/trainer angle
#3 7-2 JOSIE'S RIDDLE
#5 8-1 JACK STRAIGHT

race #3 - 7f
#6 5-1 SNOWY LEGACY - lone speed
#8 20-1 RISING DOUGH
#1 2-1 PEYTON - jock always finds a way to lose.

race #4 - 8.5f turf
#5 7-2 CANMORE
#6 3-1 ROBUSTIOUS
#8 6-1 STOP THE PARADE - Singh jumps off for CANMORE and this one now gets Emma-Jayne .... which is a big improvement, like BIG!
#1 10-1 GREENFIELD

race #5 - 5f
#10 4-1 MISS DANIELLE
#3 3-1 TOMATO BISQUE
#6 5-1 MIDNIGHT FLASH
#4 6-1 CLOSER STILL (IRE)

race #6 - 6f turf
#10 7-2 PERFECT FORESTER
#9 3-1 DAN THE TIN MAN - likes the green
#4 10-1 KITTEN CANDY

race #7 - 8.5f
#8 5-2 LEAVEM IN MALIBU - pick to click
#9 4-1 NIPIGON
#3 20-1 GUY CABALLERO - exotic booster

race #8 - 6f turf
#5 5-2 CONQUEST TSUNAMI
#2 4-1 BOREAL SPIRIT
#4 8-5 SAN NICOLA THUNDER

race #9 - 8.5f
#3 3-1 THUNDER POINT
#6 5-2 GIZMO JONES
#8 20-1 MIGHTY QUINN
#7 6-1 KAYEZ

race #10 - 7f
... middle distance race and no pace.
#2 8-1 RED AT LAST
#8 7-2 COBILOCO
#4 10-1 YORK RANGER

race #11 - 6.5f turf
#3 8-1 OFFICE IN THE SKY
#6 12-1 LAILAS PRINCESS
#10 3-1 OCEAN COURT
#7 20-1 D'S BENEFACTION - exotic booster


FYI, definitions:
"pick to click" - most likely (aka best bet)
"bomb alert" - very possible, don't ignore if big price
"exotic booster" - use underneath only
Good luck to all!

 

[Lt1]

Good luck Prof.:toast:

 

[Prof_Factor]

Good luck Prof.:toast:

Thanks, Lt. Same to you.

 

[Saddlesore]

:smoking:...Very nice Professor you killed it today highlighted by that 6th race....Well Done

 

[Saddlesore]

:smoking: Professor my Calculations for you if i please...Based on boxing your horses and of course the 2 dollar standard

Wagered 180.00.....Returned.....+325.00......Net +145.50

 

[Saddlesore]

:smoking: Professor i also noticed your top pick Won 6 out of 11 races from a track that's not easy to play...Well Done

 

[Prof_Factor]

Thanks, SS ... and thanks for the numbers!
Actually I only hit 5 winners, but it felt like 6. lol
I key-box top pick in exactas. Also play straight wins on top picks and any 'bombers'.
When I have my bearings, top pick runs 1st or 2nd much of the time.
If I don't specify a bet/play then the above format is what I recommend for players of my plays. It's what I do.
Using $2 bets (generally I bet more to win) here's what it looked like today.

     win$2  exacta$2    
r3    7.20
r4   10.50   51.70
r6   11.10  117.30
r7    2nd    37.40
r8    2nd    10.20
r9    6.70   24.80
r11   8.90
    ======  ======
    $44.40 $241.40
  - $22.00  104.00
    ======  ======
net +22.40 +137.40

$126 total wagered, $285.80 returned (2.27 ROI)

I also like Pick-3's at Woodbine. Although I don't recommend them to followers. I hit 4 of them today but that is not where my bread and butter lies.


Woodbine is actually very easy to play. I think most would be experts after 3 days of capping, or less. The turf races are all ran around 1 turn, so there's no adjustments needed for sprints and routes. They have Tapeta now, and that's much easier to handicap than the Poly track. I do miss that Poly track very much. Once you learn to predict/calc horses switching surfaces and weather biases, it's a great track to bet with a lower takeout and wager menu for any situation.