Happy Thanksgiving to you and your families.
TCU -5.5
The game is in Austin which to me seems to be the only advantage that Texas has in this game. Texas has played well of late winning 4 of 5 however, a look inside the numbers show that they've feasted on the bottom of the Big 12 beating Ok St, Tx Tech, West Virginia, and Iowa St and their loss was to Kansas St in a game where they were completely dominated and shut out. Iowa St put up 45 points, 545 yards and probably should have won the game. West Virginia went to Texas off the heartbreaking last second loss to TCU where the Frogs kicked a FG at the gun so it was a flat spot for the Mounties. The other thing that those teams have other than K State is a QB that is stationary and does not move around. QB's in the pocket give UT a chance to blitz and get after the QB. They tend to have a bit more trouble with QB's that make plays outside the pocket. I don't put much stock in the "Improved" Texas defense. The Texas offense also looked better but again, they were playing against defenses that rank in the bottom half of the Big 12. Looking at the Texas/Tx Tech game, Texas was only able to put up 33 on Tech. But comparing other teams, TCU put up 82, Okla put up 42, Okie state put up 45, and K State put up 45.
TCU comes into the game with everything to play for. They are getting healthy and are rolling offensively. Frogs have hung atleast 31 points on every Big12 team they have played this year. So the first thing you have to ask yourself is can the Texas Offense score atleast 32 points in this game? TCU also comes into this game with rest and off a very lack luster performance against Kansas and believe me, that GP has reminded his team about this. Also this is a national TV game and TCU would love nothing more than to play lights out because recruiting is king and to be able to get in front of those HS kids and their coaches is important. So expect a motivated Horn Frog team. The other thing is the TCU special teams which is near the top of the Big 12 versus a less than stellar UT special team. This is a huge advantage for the Frogs because it can provide them with short fields and better scoring opportunities. I read a stat that TCU has rushed for 5.5/carry or 300 yards passing on every team they've played this year. That's impressive.
Final note is something I mentioned earlier this season about TCU and members of the Big12 from Texas. Any time they get a chance to play these teams and run up the score they will and do. GP won't call off the dogs if he gets up big.
LSU/Texas A&M OVER 53
This game has shootout written all over it. LSU can run it and Ags don't stop the run very well. So LSU should move the ball effectively all night. A&M can move the ball with those big receivers and LSU has had trouble defending the pass all year long. I don't see either team slowing the other one down and I see both teams in the 30's here.
Good Luck
TCU -5.5
The game is in Austin which to me seems to be the only advantage that Texas has in this game. Texas has played well of late winning 4 of 5 however, a look inside the numbers show that they've feasted on the bottom of the Big 12 beating Ok St, Tx Tech, West Virginia, and Iowa St and their loss was to Kansas St in a game where they were completely dominated and shut out. Iowa St put up 45 points, 545 yards and probably should have won the game. West Virginia went to Texas off the heartbreaking last second loss to TCU where the Frogs kicked a FG at the gun so it was a flat spot for the Mounties. The other thing that those teams have other than K State is a QB that is stationary and does not move around. QB's in the pocket give UT a chance to blitz and get after the QB. They tend to have a bit more trouble with QB's that make plays outside the pocket. I don't put much stock in the "Improved" Texas defense. The Texas offense also looked better but again, they were playing against defenses that rank in the bottom half of the Big 12. Looking at the Texas/Tx Tech game, Texas was only able to put up 33 on Tech. But comparing other teams, TCU put up 82, Okla put up 42, Okie state put up 45, and K State put up 45.
TCU comes into the game with everything to play for. They are getting healthy and are rolling offensively. Frogs have hung atleast 31 points on every Big12 team they have played this year. So the first thing you have to ask yourself is can the Texas Offense score atleast 32 points in this game? TCU also comes into this game with rest and off a very lack luster performance against Kansas and believe me, that GP has reminded his team about this. Also this is a national TV game and TCU would love nothing more than to play lights out because recruiting is king and to be able to get in front of those HS kids and their coaches is important. So expect a motivated Horn Frog team. The other thing is the TCU special teams which is near the top of the Big 12 versus a less than stellar UT special team. This is a huge advantage for the Frogs because it can provide them with short fields and better scoring opportunities. I read a stat that TCU has rushed for 5.5/carry or 300 yards passing on every team they've played this year. That's impressive.
Final note is something I mentioned earlier this season about TCU and members of the Big12 from Texas. Any time they get a chance to play these teams and run up the score they will and do. GP won't call off the dogs if he gets up big.
LSU/Texas A&M OVER 53
This game has shootout written all over it. LSU can run it and Ags don't stop the run very well. So LSU should move the ball effectively all night. A&M can move the ball with those big receivers and LSU has had trouble defending the pass all year long. I don't see either team slowing the other one down and I see both teams in the 30's here.
Good Luck
