Will Barry Bonds Reach 700 Home Runs This Year?

[oldmanTED]

With 58 games remaining, Bonds just deposited number 685 into McCovey Cove in the first inning against the Cardinals. He now currently has 27 home runs for the year in 232 at bats. Will the contenders pitch enough to him in the stretch drive for him to reach 700 this year?

 

[wilheim]

Needs 15 more with 57 games to play, I would say he has an excellent shot to get there.


wil...

 

[Journeyman]

I think so....He still will need to play two more years though...or hit 55 in '05

 

[oldmanTED]

Wil:

Not so sure. He has accumulated those 232 at bats in 90 games. That's 2.577 AB's per game. He has missed 13 games. At the same rate, he would missed 7 games. Say he plays 50 games with the same AB rate, he gets a total of 128 AB's. At the rate of one home run every 8.6 AB's, he comes up at 14+. With September games against division rivals the Dodgers and Padres, does he see enough pitches to reach the milestone. Not to mention the pressure as he gets closer. Books should look to offer this prop.

Yes +140
No -160

 

[oldmanTED]

JMan:

The question was not would he reach Aaron, but will he reach 700 this year. Looks tough too call. Nice prop if it were posted.

 

[Journeyman]

OMT- yes i was just adding that it would be tough to reach Aaron in '05....

I think he makes it(700) on Sept 30'th to be exact..

 

[wilheim]

OMT - Sitting out is a factor as is a pennant race. Your line looks pretty good to me. I do however give him a chance for certain.


wil.

 

[oldmanTED]

Close to be sure. Agree, that he will need to play into '06 to reach Aaron.

 

[Journeyman]

50/50...it really does look that close...Bonds hasnt been insanely hot since very early...

He may be due for a 7 HR week.

 

[oldmanTED]

Having the luxury to see all of the Giants games, can say that his current bat speed is the best it has been all year. He gets to see only about 2 to 3 pitches to hit per game. If one of those is a mistake, he doesn't miss it. Either he hits it out or a base hit. Should come down to how many mistakes he sees and whether he can play through the magnitude of hitting the 700th.

 

[wilheim]

Barry Bonds homered twice and rookie Noah Lowry carried a no-hit bid into the seventh inning on the way to his first major league victory in the Giants' 11-0 win over the the Reds on Tuesday night. Bonds matched a season high with five RBIs, raising his home-run total to 29 this season and 687 in his career.

 

[postaldoug]

I'll guess 3 short.

 

[oldmanTED]

Bonds has homered twice more tonight giving him 691 and their still in the 4th inning. 41 games more to play. Going to be close.

 

[wilheim]

I like his chances - he should play at least 35 games and get 100 or so at bats after walks. Might be a nice sub-plot to division and wild card races in the last week of the season. Good for baseball.


wil.

 

[lander]

I'd imagine that more teams will pitch to him as they fall out of the race.

 

[Webmaster]

33 HR / 121 games = .2727 per game

.2727 x 41 games remaining = 11.2 more HR's

691 + 11 = 702

 

[wilheim]

Barry just hit 692 against the Expos in game 2 of their double header. He sat out the first game (6-2 Expos win). Losing 10-1 in the bottom of the 5th. the Expos pitched to Bonds, who hit the first pitch from Francis Beltran out to right field. Eight more needed to reach 700.


wil.

 

[wilheim]

Barry hit # 693 today - a two run shot (35th) off Mets' righty Matt Ginter in the first inning.

wil.

 

[red007]

bonds +325 to win mvp at olympic is a steal.

BA-OBP-SLG-OPS-HR-RBI-BB-K
Bonds .371-.612-.822-1.434-35-79-176-24
Rolen .329-.415-.623-1.039-31-110-57-78
Pujols .321-.405-.642-1.047-38-96-66-41
Beltre .330-.378-.636-1.014-38-87-36-67

The stats aren't even close. Bonds should win by a landslide.

 

[red007]

now bonds is the favorite at olympic at +150.
bonds should be -300.
no one close to him