There have been five playoff teams who finished the season with a win percentage of .688 or less and their running back gained over 1,850 yards during the regular season. These teams have gone 0-5 SU & ATS in the playoffs. Both the Ravens and the Packers fall into this category as RB's Jamal Lewis and Ahman Green have gained 2,066 & 1,883 yards respectively.
In the Titans/Ravens matchup Tennessee has a huge QB edge with Steve McNair bringing his 4-3 career playoff record into this one while Ravens QB Anthony Wright makes his 14th overall start as a pro and first ever in the playoffs. I'm on Tennessee +1 for 3 units.
Green Bay's best playoff days are behind them, especially since Mike Sherman became coach. His team has gone 1-2 SU in the post-season and have trailed at halftime in all three games. QB Brett Favre has not looked good in those games either, tossing 5 TD's and 9 INT's.
I also like to fade any team that lost SU as favorites in the Wild Card round last year if they made it back to the Wild Card round this year as they have gone 0-7 SU & 0-6-1 ATS since 1990. (As many of you remember Green Bay lost to the Falcons at Lambeau Field last year as seven point chalk). So I have two units on the Seahawks +7.5 and 1 unit on the ML +240.
Good luck to everyone and enjoy the second season!
Big Lou
In the Titans/Ravens matchup Tennessee has a huge QB edge with Steve McNair bringing his 4-3 career playoff record into this one while Ravens QB Anthony Wright makes his 14th overall start as a pro and first ever in the playoffs. I'm on Tennessee +1 for 3 units.
Green Bay's best playoff days are behind them, especially since Mike Sherman became coach. His team has gone 1-2 SU in the post-season and have trailed at halftime in all three games. QB Brett Favre has not looked good in those games either, tossing 5 TD's and 9 INT's.
I also like to fade any team that lost SU as favorites in the Wild Card round last year if they made it back to the Wild Card round this year as they have gone 0-7 SU & 0-6-1 ATS since 1990. (As many of you remember Green Bay lost to the Falcons at Lambeau Field last year as seven point chalk). So I have two units on the Seahawks +7.5 and 1 unit on the ML +240.
Good luck to everyone and enjoy the second season!
Big Lou
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by mr. teaser:
Thats what someone told him last year when they played the falcons!! New Guy was that you last year??<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
Nope that wasn't me, but if you had any sort of common sense you could have figured it out YOURSELF instead of asking stupid questions.
Listen to me or don't and you'll be either thanking me later or inserting your foot in your ass.
Thats what someone told him last year when they played the falcons!! New Guy was that you last year??<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
Nope that wasn't me, but if you had any sort of common sense you could have figured it out YOURSELF instead of asking stupid questions.
Listen to me or don't and you'll be either thanking me later or inserting your foot in your ass.
Panther, you suck. I wonder why it is that you do it so well...Could it be that you don't have any teeth, you ignorant hillbilly?
Lou, I'm thinking that you're off base on the Seattle pick. The 1850 yard trend doesn't apply to GB. They don't have an unbalanced offense, which is what that trend addresses. I've posted on this in the GB/SEA thread at the top, but it looks to me as if GB is just getting started. They have just found their mojo. Favre is healthier than he's been in 3 months.Seattle was on a 4-0 roll when they went into GB the first time and the Packers let them know exactly where they stood in the world. I don't buy that Seattle is hot and won their 1st "Must Win" game. But that's the nice thing about football; you can sit and think and think and think and never really know until Sunday. Oh, well. I'm going to roll with you on Tennessee, but I have got to lean towards the Pack.
Lou, I'm thinking that you're off base on the Seattle pick. The 1850 yard trend doesn't apply to GB. They don't have an unbalanced offense, which is what that trend addresses. I've posted on this in the GB/SEA thread at the top, but it looks to me as if GB is just getting started. They have just found their mojo. Favre is healthier than he's been in 3 months.Seattle was on a 4-0 roll when they went into GB the first time and the Packers let them know exactly where they stood in the world. I don't buy that Seattle is hot and won their 1st "Must Win" game. But that's the nice thing about football; you can sit and think and think and think and never really know until Sunday. Oh, well. I'm going to roll with you on Tennessee, but I have got to lean towards the Pack.
