Why are the Mavs favored?

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Is Marion out?

I don't follow NBA hardly at all but from the stats I think Miami +2 (if Marion plays) is a good number. Anyone know the status?
 

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Last I read he's probably out. imo it doesn't matter much. The Heat have been playing great without him anyway. I want to take Miami here but on an away/home back to back I'm thinking no play here.
 

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