HPark1 said:
I think you are slightly overconfident. If you've noticed he didn't exactly cruise to the title in Germany last week. Soderling almost defeated him in the 1st round (after losing the first set, won the second set 8-6 in a tiebreaker), Haas gave him a challenge and then of course in the final Safin took him to another 3 setter.
Federer can be beaten.
Ancic and Roddick are probably the next favs imo.
Real longshots could include Stepanek and Nalbandian.
roger had a lot more time to prepare for grass court season in 2003 (after his first round loss to horna at RG) and in 2004 ( after 3rd round loss to Guga) than he did this year w/ his SF loss to nadal. that explains why he wasn't at his best at Halle this year.
he sounds very confident in his post match interviews from Halle and I can't see him losing this year at Wimbledon if he is healthy.
i see roger already at -190 at some books.
as for the women, the draw is loaded on the bottom half.
1/4..either kim or davenport will get to the final.
2/4..no one is there
3/4..serena/henin
4/4 all maria
so going w/ value w/ the women
6.5 units on Clijsters @ +633
3.5 units on davenport @ +1200