This one is a gimme. Of course your better value is DEFINITELY Zito, and here is why.. Now i am not saying that Zito will have more K's, because Pedro can easily strike out 12 tonight and have a great game. But if you are looking for value, here is why you have to take Zito..
2 reasons..
1- If Oakland wins, most likely they will not need their last at bat, as they are the home team.. So that means that Zito will have pitched 1 inning more than Pedro. So if Zito pitches 9 innings and Pedro only pitches 8 innings, you'd have to give the edge to Zito... One full inning more is huge in baseball for a pitcher, in terms of K's.. Plus, they are both averaging close to 1 strikeout per inning..
2- Zito is getting +1.5 to boot, and laying NO VIG.. it's at even. This alone makes it worth taking Zito..
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So having perhaps one more inning pitched this game and the 1.5 strikeout lead makes Zito a great bet.. Not including Pedro has been throwing a lot of late..