OK jls that explains it partially, but doesn't a huge majority of the money come in on game day? As far as I know, the early lines come with small limits and the lines are very sensitive. So a half point move on the last day could easily indicate more money than a 4-point move in the period before the final week, or am I wrong?
Shrink,
Is there any way that someone with no insider information could tell (with only a rough amount of accuracy) which games are getting heavy one-sided action? If it has to do with watching line moves, is it simply the difference between opening vs. closing lines or is there something more to it?
Is there any way that someone with no insider information could tell (with only a rough amount of accuracy) which games are getting heavy one-sided action? If it has to do with watching line moves, is it simply the difference between opening vs. closing lines or is there something more to it?
jls,
It's hard to imagine that any syndicate could have such a big influence, especially in NFL, the most heavily bet sport on the planet (on a per game average basis, that is...the world cup of soccer is huge but an average soccer match gets much less than an average NFL game). After all, the betting public consists of millions of people, so hundreds of millions (if not billions) of dollars gets bet on each game. Are there really syndicates that can make a sizeable dent into that!?
It's hard to imagine that any syndicate could have such a big influence, especially in NFL, the most heavily bet sport on the planet (on a per game average basis, that is...the world cup of soccer is huge but an average soccer match gets much less than an average NFL game). After all, the betting public consists of millions of people, so hundreds of millions (if not billions) of dollars gets bet on each game. Are there really syndicates that can make a sizeable dent into that!?
