Who Will Be The SEC's Top 1st Year QB?

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[h=1]Coker will be SEC's top first-year QB
By [FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]Travis Haney[/FONT] | ESPN INSIDER
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s we count down 50 days until the start of the 2014 college football season, ESPN Insider Travis Haney is answering at least one big question a day until South Carolina and Texas A&M’s kickoff on Aug. 28.

Heisman contenders, breakout freshmen, conference winners -- it will all be covered as part of Insider’s Ultimate Season Preview.

Today’s question: Which of the SEC’s new starting QBs will have the best season?

What I notice first is that, with the possible exception of Missouri’s [FONT=verdana, helvetica, arial, sans-serif]Maty Mauk[/FONT], each first-year starting QB in the SEC is inheriting great talent around him.

When in doubt, go to the program with the most talent, and even though he feels like a college football tall tale at this point, Alabama’s Jake Coker absolutely has the best chance to excel.

Even with what little we have seen of him, Coker is already on Mel Kiper Jr.’s radar (tied for fifth among [FONT=verdana, helvetica, arial, sans-serif]underclassmen QBs for the 2015 NFL draft[/FONT]). The fact that he is 6-foot-5 and 235 pounds does not hurt. Neither will the situation he is entering.

In fact, based on what I hear about his arm strength and knowing the skill around him, it is not that bold of a prediction that this could be his first and only season with the Tide before bolting for the NFL.

Alabama, named Thursday the SEC favorite by media members, is smarting after consecutive losses to end last season. The last time it was doubted to this degree, the Tide responded with consecutive national titles in 2011 and '12.

But it was obviously more settled then at QB. If anything, Nick Saban overplayed the position as a question mark when he addressed reporters at this week’s SEC Media Days.

It was both admirable and predictable that Saban would try to shield Coker from attention. But conduct a quick Internet search: There are stories about Coker everywhere, and it’s the middle of July. So Saban isn’t really fooling anyone when he didn’t mention Coker on Thursday, instead calling him a nameless “transfer” to Alabama.

It reminded me, actually, of Jimbo Fisher almost bristling last summer when I asked him how good [FONT=verdana, helvetica, arial, sans-serif]Jameis Winston[/FONT] could be. He knew. But he didn’t want to tell me.

It makes sense, considering Fisher’s background on Saban’s staff. Coincidentally, it’s now Fisher talking about how good of a QB Coker could be at Alabama. Fisher told TideSports.com this summer that Coker is “much more talented than anything they’ve had.”

Add arguably the best running backs in the country and a strong set of wideouts, led by complete receiver [FONT=verdana, helvetica, arial, sans-serif]Amari Cooper[/FONT], and Coker is suited to be the best first-year QB in the SEC. He could be the best overall.

No first-year QB in the SEC, and maybe America, has as much of a range as LSU’sBrandon Harris. But he could still be beaten out by Anthony Jennings, who led a late comeback against Arkansas and played for the Tigers in the bowl game.

Harris was mentioned this week by coach Les Miles as one of four freshmen who “we expect to have great impact on our season.” Great impact probably would not include backing up Jennings.

Harris, running back [FONT=verdana, helvetica, arial, sans-serif]Leonard Fournette[/FONT] and receiver[FONT=verdana, helvetica, arial, sans-serif]Malachi Dupre[/FONT] make for the most intriguing offensive set of freshmen in the country. Are they ready now? Or does it just mean LSU is a team to watch in 2015? The Wisconsin opener is absolutely must-see TV.

Considering that Miles linked Fournette to Michael Jordan and a teammate said what I have (that he looks physically like Adrian Peterson did as a freshman), I would anticipate his time to be now. Those close to the program think Dupre is ready as well. Harris is the one I’m most curious about. If he’s as good as LSU believes he can be, the Tigers are not being talked enough in the league and nationally.

As good as Johnny Manziel was, and he was a once-in-a-generation college talent, most coaches I've talked to don't anticipate regression from Texas A&M’s offense.

“Not with that line,” one said.

Coaches remember, too, that Kevin Sumlin’s system worked fine at Houston, with Case Keenum as more of a pocket thrower.

I do wonder what freshman [FONT=verdana, helvetica, arial, sans-serif]Kyle Allen[/FONT], whom I’ve been told is a terrific kid, thinks about Kyler Murray being pursued for the 2015 class. Does that give Allen urgency to try to win the job this fall, so he can hold off Murray next summer? Whether the Aggies say they are or not, does the staff approach the QB spot any differently knowing that Murray, whom they internally have dubbed the “next Johnny,” will soon be on campus?

Whether it’s Allen or [FONT=verdana, helvetica, arial, sans-serif]Kenny Hill[/FONT] this fall, it’s sort of a similar situation as the one Coker enters: The players around the starter are so good that it relieves some of the pressure of the position. The A&M QB will put up good-if-not-great numbers; it’s still the defense that’s most concerning in College Station.

Former Georgia QB Aaron Murray told me in January that he didn’t think there would be any noticeable drop-off from him to Hutson Mason.

“He’s been here as long as I have,” Murray said at the Senior Bowl. “He does everything I do. He knows what I know. He’ll be great, I think.”

It’s helpful that Mason will work with All-America running back [FONT=verdana, helvetica, arial, sans-serif]Todd Gurley[/FONT] and a number of experienced receivers, some of them returning from injuries that made 2013 a challenge for the Bulldogs.

We didn’t see a prodigious performance from Mason in the bowl loss to Nebraska, but that’s not a reason to count him out. The fifth-year senior has had several months to digest that it’s his time at UGA.

Like the narrative at A&M, defense is the bigger question for Georgia.

I’m more skeptical than most about Dylan Thompson at South Carolina.

Steve Spurrier likes to point out that Thompson was the only QB in America to defeat UCF last year. Besides that being an odd claim to fame, he also led a hapless offense that was shut out for three quarters at Missouri. A gimpy Connor Shaw immediately sparked the offense when he was inserted.

I just know that South Carolina’s offense became one of the country’s most efficient units because of Shaw’s ability as a dual threat.

With a shift back to a pure pocket passer, the first time South Carolina has really had one since Chris Smelley, you’ve got to wonder what that means for the offense. Good thing it has an All-America running back in Mike Davis and the best O-line in Spurrier’s tenure.

Spurrier has said before that he thinks Thompson has an NFL arm. Surely this excites him because it means he can be more involved in the offensive planning. But is that necessarily good? The man’s a genius, but it wasn’t working well until the (non-Spurrier) zone-read influence appeared. Could the shift back lead to play-calling arrhythmia?
 

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If we're talking "stat" wise , i'd guess the new A&M qb (whoever it may be) but i really only see A&M as a 7-5 type team (8-4 at best) , so if we're looking for an mvp type on a contending team i'd go with Mason of Georgia.

...I do expect big things from Coker , but just b/c Saban hired Kiffen i still dont believe Bama is going to start throwing the ball 40 times per game , and personaly i thought AJ McCarron was a stud but everybody called him a game manager just b/c of play calling and i just dont see that changing.
 

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gonna be some good ones....mason, coker, harris, thompson, aTm choice

very good chance the sec title game is led by two first year qb's .... hopefully coker is the west rep ;)
 

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As a diehard Gamecocks fan, I too am skeptical about Thompson. Have been since day 1. Was a wasted scholie coming out of HS is how I honestly put it. Having Davis and Wilds in the backfield really helps, and possibly the best OL ever, but if either doesn't stay healthy, I don't think Thompson has what it takes. I hope he totally proves me wrong, though...
 

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As a diehard Gamecocks fan, I too am skeptical about Thompson. Have been since day 1. Was a wasted scholie coming out of HS is how I honestly put it. Having Davis and Wilds in the backfield really helps, and possibly the best OL ever, but if either doesn't stay healthy, I don't think Thompson has what it takes. I hope he totally proves me wrong, though...
..Well; Spurrier is quick to change qb's; I know whatcha mean about Thompson; that Davis is a real stud at rb; just might hand the ball to him; and manage the games; AJ McCarron style.... Go Cocks; only 6 weeks now..!!
 

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Why is Missouri's Mauck not mentioned? He's as good as any of them...and w/ a few starts under his belt, has proven experience to prove it. He showed more than Thompson and Mason.

On that note, I think Thompson will do just fine. Spurrier didn't even allow it to be a battle. The kid is a senior and is 3-0 as a starter. He's a proven commodity.
 

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Why is Missouri's Mauck not mentioned? He's as good as any of them...and w/ a few starts under his belt, has proven experience to prove it. He showed more than Thompson and Mason.

On that note, I think Thompson will do just fine. Spurrier didn't even allow it to be a battle. The kid is a senior and is 3-0 as a starter. He's a proven commodity.

Mauk started half their conference games last year so i wouldn't really consider him a first year starter. A lot less targets this year w/o their #1-2-3 WR from 2013 incl 167 catches and a b2b 1100+ yard RB.

but dude has confidence...already said he's ready for a johnny manziel-like season

speaking of confidence to hear dylan thompson speak you'd think he won 2 crystal footballs already.
 

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speaking of So Carolina anyone else shocked they would make ESPN's top 10 ncaaf offenses? i'd put UGA way above them on the O side of the ball

Using data that we have found indicative of future performance, ESPN Stats & Information projected the offensive efficiency ranking of every Football Bowl Subdivision team next season. Factored into the ratings are prior years' efficiency using ESPN's Football Power Index, the average of four recruiting rankings (Scouts, Rivals, Phil Steele, ESPN) over a three-year span, coaching tenure and information on returning starters (according to ESPN Insider Phil Steele).Here's a look at the top 10 offenses based purely on statistical projections. The numbers in parentheses refer to efficiency, in terms of expected points added per game that each team's offense is projected to contribute to its scoring margin. Since the ratings are scaled against the FBS baseline, an average offense would contribute zero net points per game against an average defense.For a full list of offensive, defensive and overall preseason rankings heading into the 2014 season, click here.

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[h=3]1. Oregon Ducks (offensive efficiency: plus-17.9)[/h]Returning starters: 8 (Including QB)
2013 offensive efficiency rank: 3rd
Three-year recruiting class average rank: 20.5
When QB Marcus Mariota announced his intentions to return to school for his junior season, Oregon instantly became a national title contender again. In the two seasons with Mariota at quarterback, Oregon has scored the most touchdowns, averaged the second-most points and had the third-highest offensive efficiency rating in the nation.In addition to Mariota, the Ducks return their top rusher, Byron Marshall, and all five of their starting offensive linemen to an offense that averaged the fifth-most yards per rush (6.3) in the nation in 2013.

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[h=3]2. Florida State Seminoles (plus-16.9)[/h]Returning starters: 7 (including QB)
2013 offensive efficiency rank: 1st
Three-year recruiting class average rank: 6.5
Florida State returns Jameis Winston, its Heisman Trophy-winning quarterback, and six other starters from the most efficient offense in the nation last season. In 2013, the Seminoles scored at least 34 points in all 14 of their games, and their 723 total points were the most scored by a team in FBS history. Efficiency was the key to their success: Florida State averaged 3.7 points per drive, which was the best rate of any automatic-qualifying conference team in the past 10 seasons.Florida State lost two of its top three rushers in Devonta Freeman and James Wilder Jr., as well as two of its top receivers in Kelvin Benjamin and Kenny Shaw. Winston and the Seminoles will look to their depth -- specifically RB Karlos Williams, WR Rashad Greene and TE Nick O'Leary -- to compensate for these losses.

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[h=3]3. Auburn Tigers (plus-15.0)[/h]Returning starters: 8 (including QB)
2013 offensive efficiency rank: 6th
Three-year recruiting class average rank: 10.2
Auburn is looking to build upon a strong close to last season in its second year with Gus Malzahn as its head coach. In their final eight games, the Tigers had the second-most efficient offense in the nation, despite facing five teams in the AP Top 25. They averaged 43 points and an FBS-high 359 rushing yards in those games.The Tigers' biggest holes are left by RB Tre Mason and LT Greg Robinson, but they return QBNick Marshall, who was one of the most improved quarterbacks in the country from the start of the 2013 season until the end of the campaign. Marshall had an 88.3 Total QBR in his final eight games, the best of any quarterback with at least five starts during that time.

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[h=3]4. Baylor Bears (plus-13.5)[/h]Returning starters: 5 (including QB)
2013 offensive efficiency rank: 2nd
Three-year recruiting class average rank: 31.6
Baylor featured one of the most explosive offenses in college football history this past season. The Bears averaged an FBS-high 52.4 points per game and were on pace to break every major FBS offensive record before being slowed in their final four games. Baylor's fans learned to keep their eyes glued to the TV at all times; the Bears' average touchdown drive lasted just 1 minute, 32 seconds, and they scored an FBS-high 60 touchdowns after drives of two minutes or less.Quarterback Bryce Petty returns to a Baylor team that has ranked in the top two in offensive efficiency each of the past three seasons. Petty had an 85.5 Total QBR last year, which ranked fifth in the nation, and averaged more than 10 yards per pass attempt. The Bears will have to replace running backs Lache Seastrunk and Glasco Martin, but Shock Linwood, who averaged 6.9 yards per rush last season, should play a larger role in 2014.

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[h=3]5. Ohio State Buckeyes (plus-12.8)[/h]Returning starters: 5 (including QB)
2013 offensive efficiency rank: 4th
Three-year recruiting class average rank: 3.8
Ohio State won 24 straight games on the back of an efficient offense built on power running and explosive plays. Last season, the Buckeyes averaged an FBS-high 6.8 yards per rush, including 4.3 yards before first contact. They gained a first down or touchdown on 35 percent of their rushes, the highest rate for any team over the past 10 seasons.Despite losing running backs Carlos Hyde and Jordan Hall, Ohio State can be expected to reload in the backfield with a variety of starting running back options heading into next season. Plus, Braxton Miller will look to improve upon a junior season in which he raised his QBR rank from 29th as a sophomore to 13th in the nation.

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[h=3]6. UCLA Bruins (plus-12.0)[/h]Returning starters: 8 (including QB)
2013 offensive efficiency rank: 10th
Three-year recruiting class average rank: 14.8
Brett Hundley, the Bruins' leading passer and rusher in 2013, decided to forgo the NFL draft and return to UCLA for his junior season. Upon his announcement, UCLA instantly became one of the top projected offenses in the nation in 2014. Hundley ranked seventh in the FBS with an 84.8 Total QBR in 2013, and no player had a higher QBR than Hundley in the final two months of the season (after Nov. 1).Last season, UCLA struggled offensively when its top rusher, Jordon James, went down with an injury. This ultimately thrust linebacker Myles Jack into the running back role. With James, Jack, Hundley and Paul Perkins all returning, UCLA should have one of the top rushing offenses in the nation in 2014. One thing that UCLA must improve is its pass protection, after allowing the third-most sacks in the nation (52) since the start of the 2012 season. The Bruins return four starting offensive linemen, which should at least provide stability at a crucial position group.

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[h=3]7. Texas A&M Aggies (plus-11.9)[/h]Returning starters: 6
2013 offensive efficiency rank: 5th
Three-year recruiting class average rank: 10.5
The seventh-ranked offense may seem high in the absence of QB Johnny Manziel, but the Aggies are projected to have about the same offensive efficiency as in the year before Manziel's first season playing at College Station.The Aggies should return one of the top rushing offenses in the nation, led by RB Tra Carson and four offensive line starters, and whichever player wins the starting quarterback job will learn from one of the top offensive coaches in the country. Kevin Sumlin's teams have ranked in the top five in ESPN's offensive efficiency rating in four of his six seasons as a head coach, including the No. 1 ranking in both 2009 (Houston) and 2012 (Texas A&M).

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[h=3]8. South Carolina Gamecocks (plus-11.3)[/h]Returning starters: 8
2013 offensive efficiency rank: 8th
Three-year recruiting class average rank: 18.5
South Carolina's offensive efficiency ranking in 2013 was by far its highest in the past 10 years. The Gamecocks were led by senior QB Connor Shaw, who threw 24 touchdowns and one interception, en route to posting the 15th-best QBR in the country.Unlike other teams that lost their starting quarterback, South Carolina has a veteran backup in Dylan Thompson, who has thrown more than 200 passes in his career. Thompson has a 71.4 career QBR, which would have placed him in the top quarter of the FBS if he had enough action plays. Look for South Carolina to excel running the football. Second-team All-SEC RB Mike Davis returns, as do four starters on the offensive line.

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[h=3]9. Arizona State Sun Devils (plus-10.9)[/h]Returning starters: 7 (including QB)
2013 offensive efficiency rank: 9th
Three-year recruiting class average rank: 32.4
According to ESPN's strength-of-schedule rankings, Arizona State played the most difficult schedule in the nation this past season. Every FBS defense Arizona State faced had an efficiency rating that ranked in the top half of the FBS, including seven in the top 25.Despite the difficult schedule, Arizona State averaged the 10th-most points per game (39.7) in the nation. The Sun Devils return quarterback Taylor Kelly, who improved his Total QBR rank from 37th to 25th from 2012 to 2013. Kelly should have an arsenal of wide receivers, led by Jaelen Strong, to continue his success from last season.

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[h=3]10. Alabama Crimson Tide (plus-10.9)[/h]Returning starters: 7
2013 offensive efficiency rank: 11th
Three-year recruiting class average rank: 1.5
Despite losing its all-time winningest quarterback, AJ McCarron, Alabama should again have one of the top offenses in the nation. The case can be made that the Crimson Tide have the best skill position players in the country. RB T.J. Yeldon is coming off back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons, while the experienced wide receiver group of Amari Cooper, DeAndrew Whiteand Christion Jones could be the best in the SEC.First-year offensive coordinator Lane Kiffin will look to implement an even more efficient offense, and he should have a bounty of talent from which to choose. Alabama has had the best average recruiting rank of any team over the past three seasons. Including players listed as "athletes," the Tide have signed four more ESPN 300 offensive players than any other team in the country during that time.
 

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Baylor will probably end up statistically as the best offense because of their schedule. But I'll be surprised if Auburn doesn't have the best offense in the country. Just think about it, Malzahn took a 3-9 team and made it all of the way to the title game in the first season of implementing his offense. This had never been done before in the BCS era or any era as far as I know. I see no reason why this offense can't be even better in it's second season with basically the same players. I don't think they'll miss a beat without Mason.
 

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Hutson Mason, Georgia is a 5th year senior and filled in well a couple of games last year when Murray went down. He had a great spring and all the players and coaches have confidence in him.

I think Mason will put up some big numbers this season, especially with all the weapons around him.
 

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Mauk started half their conference games last year so i wouldn't really consider him a first year starter. A lot less targets this year w/o their #1-2-3 WR from 2013 incl 167 catches and a b2b 1100+ yard RB.

but dude has confidence...already said he's ready for a johnny manziel-like season

speaking of confidence to hear dylan thompson speak you'd think he won 2 crystal footballs already.

Didn't Mauk only start 3 games? Dylan Thompson has 3 career starts and Mason (at UGA) started the last 2 games for UGA (and played in a couple others). Why is Mauk not "considered" a 1st year starter but Thompson and Mason are?
 

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Didn't Mauk only start 3 games? Dylan Thompson has 3 career starts and Mason (at UGA) started the last 2 games for UGA (and played in a couple others). Why is Mauk not "considered" a 1st year starter but Thompson and Mason are?

10/19FloridaW 36-17183629550.05211122.46152.517146.166.8
10/26South CarolinaL 27-24 (2OT)102524940.09611128.910121.213050.380.2
11/2TennesseeW 31-3122516348.04030142.4131148.828081.083.0
11/9@KentuckyW 48-17172820360.73550180.522412.019095.892.

there's 4 SEC games...

I believe Mason has 1 SEC start and that was vs Kentucky

think thompson started 1 SEC game as well but at least it was Missouri

a matter of semantics really as none of the 3 would have started without injuries to the #1 guy. call em what you will but if you have 110+ attempts & 4 starts against conference schools you've got enough experience in my book.


don't understand how mauk and thompson walk around like the cock on the block when they haven't done a damn thing yet but i guess that's what these young, brash little fucks are like these days. just cant root for kids like that (btw i get the thompson stuff from folks at sec media day while mauk's bravado is evident in everything he says)

mason at least seems like he has a clear head and just because you beat UK doesn't make you a heisman contender. i think he'll have a great year but he's got big shoes to fill as i liked murray a lot
 

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As a diehard Gamecocks fan, I too am skeptical about Thompson. Have been since day 1. Was a wasted scholie coming out of HS is how I honestly put it. Having Davis and Wilds in the backfield really helps, and possibly the best OL ever, but if either doesn't stay healthy, I don't think Thompson has what it takes. I hope he totally proves me wrong, though...
I agree with most of that. I agree in that, for me, my biggest question mark on the offense is Dylan Thompson. I think he *can* be a really, really good QB this year. However, I've also seen him play piss poor, making bad reads, threw at least two balls that should have been picked against Clemson two years ago, etc etc. I worry that his lack of legs (a la Connor Shaw) will hurt SoCar. HOWEVER...I've been hearing and reading great things about his offseason workouts, command of the offense, and leadership. And Spurrier and Mangus seem to be high on him as well. So, with the extremely deep and talented backfield SoCar has, and one of the best offensive lines in the SEC, if not the country, and DT's offseason progression and experience in this system, I'd say I'm now cautiously optimistic about DT under center for the Cocks this year. I hope he's all-world. Could be a fun season if so.
 

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A&M at #7 is the biggest joke ever. Really? They just had the singular most transformational player in the history of their school- and this writer thinks they'll just plug another QB in and they'll keep rollin? I haven't even brought up losing the best WR in their history along with quite possibly the best OLineman in their history. Give me a break. Aggies will be lucky to go bowling this year. Mark my words. They have 4 absolute layup cupcake games but might not win an SEC game. Haven't even brought up the defensive situation. Weird.
 

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A&M at #7 is the biggest joke ever. Really? They just had the singular most transformational player in the history of their school- and this writer thinks they'll just plug another QB in and they'll keep rollin? I haven't even brought up losing the best WR in their history along with quite possibly the best OLineman in their history. Give me a break. Aggies will be lucky to go bowling this year. Mark my words. They have 4 absolute layup cupcake games but might not win an SEC game. Haven't even brought up the defensive situation. Weird.

Sounds like a good bet... Are you really willing to take A&M under 6 wins? I guess you haven't heard much about the WRs(the biggest being Speed Noil, RSJ, Malcome Kennedy), TEs(Cameron Clear, Koda Martin) and RBs(Trey Williams, Tra Carson and Brandon Williams) A&M is fielding this year. Much less the QB situation. Kyle Allen, while he doesnt have the dual threat ability that Kenny Hill has, is apparently still winning out. The best Olineman in the history was probably gone last year, not this year. Cedric Ogbuehi is more than likely another first round draft pick when he leaves next year. And with 4 out of 5 returning offensive lineman, I see them holding up better than last year. And the defense... well thats just f'd up.
 

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