Which Would You Say Is More Likely; Orlando To Sweep The Cavs 4-0 Or Win Series 4-1?

[HacheMan]

Obviously none of us think the Magic will win this series 4 games to 1, but I'm sure we would all agree even more that they are not going to sweep Cleveland.

If that is the case, then it seems to me the 2 wagers below are backwards.....


<TABLE class=module borderColor=#111111 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=800 border=0 rgfloat="440,600"><TBODY><TR style="HEIGHT: 28px" vAlign=bottom bgColor=#f6f6f6><TD noWrap>Fri 5/22</TD><TD noWrap>1601 </TD><TD noWrap>Orlando wins series 4-0</TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap><INPUT language=javascript id=radiox onclick="return OnButtonClick()" type=radio value=M1_0 name=radiox>+1700 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 28px" vAlign=top bgColor=#f6f6f6><TD noWrap>8:35PM (EST) </TD><TD noWrap>1602</TD><TD noWrap>Not Orlando in 4 games</TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap><INPUT language=javascript id=radiox onclick="return OnButtonClick()" type=radio value=M2_0 name=radiox>-2700 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 28px" vAlign=bottom bgColor=#e9eeee><TD noWrap>Fri 5/22</TD><TD noWrap>1603 </TD><TD noWrap>Orlando wins series 4-1</TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap><INPUT language=javascript id=radiox onclick="return OnButtonClick()" type=radio value=M1_1 name=radiox>+2000 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 28px" vAlign=top bgColor=#e9eeee><TD noWrap>8:35PM (EST) </TD><TD noWrap>1604</TD><TD noWrap>Not Orlando in 5 games</TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap><INPUT language=javascript id=radiox onclick="return OnButtonClick()" type=radio value=M2_1 name=radiox>-3000 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[MackDonald]

Your observation is correct; they do seem to be backwards.

 

[Brotherwo]

it makes sense... it completely hinges on the fact that Game 5 is in Cleveland

 

[MackDonald]

You're right (that is truly the pivot game).

 

[HacheMan]

I kindly disagree as this situation is different than the angle the books usually use to base those series prices.



Orlando has already beaten the Cavs in Cleveland so that makes game 5 kind of irrelevant on where it is.

So the bottom line is this.....

Which is more likely....

A. Cleveland winning at least 1 game & Orlando winning the series 4-1
B. Cleveland not winning 1 single game & Orlando winning the series 4-0

A. by a mile......

 

[X-Files]

No way Cavs gwt swept. More likely they win one.
Even more likely they win the series.