texas 9-4 as a home dog, boston 13-15 as a road fave. texas already took 2 of 3 at fenway this year with the one boston win coming from the gem that lester tossed. boston bats this road trip have been next to pathetic when you actually look at what they've done to create opportunities(is jason bay trying to play himself into less money?) beckett is still solid, but away from fenway, he's about 55-60% of his normal self and it's hot in arlington today. while that may only be a minor edge, the rangers are still the ones used to it. now, the biggest pro-boston part of the whole equation, a wet behind the ears rookie, throwing for the rangers against big bad boston, tommy hunter. he got absolutely shelled the first and only time he played the sox. so bad that they sent him back to the minors. i'd remember that if i were him. this year so far for hunter, every single game he's found something he did wrong, managed to fix it and the next game, drastically improved it. his gb/fb totals have gotten better every game 5/17, 10/11, 7/7, 10/7, illustrating he knows how to quickly adjust his command. righties are hitting a meager .209 against him and boston's mainstay left handed batters(drew, papi and ellsbury) are all marred in personal slumps that they couldn't buy their ways out of. and lastly, randy marsh is at home plate and of the 80+ umps that have worked games behind home plate, marsh on average issues more walks than all but approx 5 of them. we all know how tight josh beckett is and how rarely he issues walks as of late, but that could actually be his downfall in this situation as to avoid walks, he's going to have to fire off with pinpoint accuracy. nothing wrong with that, except guys like ian kinsler, josh hamilton, mike young, etc will take monster hacks at pitches that have to be dialed in so tightly. and i won't go into depth about the bullpens, but since the break, the last month, the entire year so far, texas wins that matchup and papelbon is questionable with the flu(another reason the heat doesn't help.) plus as you said, boston tends to struggle a bit against pitchers they haven't faced much. all this could mean nothing and texas gets blown out, but barring a meltdown, i see texas in a tight one. either way, good luck everyone.