Which teams are adjusting to the biggest time difference?

[s4shadow]

Maybe we should track this ATS. Track "betting AGAINST teams that have to travel and LOSE time?". Minimum 2 hour difference? Maybe we should even backdate this info for the first 2 weeks. Anybody have a site that already has this info? **1 QUALIFICATION IS THAT THEY MUST HAVE PLAYED AT HOME THE WEEK BEFORE**. I can do it myself later on but if anybody wants to throw a couple in here that'd be great I think it could be interesting stuff.:think2:

 

[SaintsFan1977]

Arizona, Denver, San Diego, and Oakland this week.

Im not good with SDQL

This is an Away Dog in week 3 travelling East

SU:	48-94-0 (-5.82, 33.8%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	72-65-5 (0.07, 52.6%)	avg line: 5.9	+6: 100-41-1 (70.9%)	-6: 48-92-2 (34.3%)	+10: 106-34-2 (75.7%)	-10: 27-109-6 (19.9%)
O/U:	66-73-3 (-0.42, 47.5%)	avg total: 41.0	+6: 41-99-2 (29.3%)	-6: 88-51-3 (63.3%)	+10: 32-110-0 (22.5%)	-10: 108-31-3 (77.7%)

Here is an Away Favorite travelling East in week 3

week = 3 and AF and o:time zone = E
SU: 35-16-0 (5.37, 68.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 28-22-1 (1.26, 56.0%) avg line: -4.1 +6: 34-15-2 (69.4%) -6: 19-30-2 (38.8%) +10: 41-10-0 (80.4%) -10: 15-35-1 (30.0%) O/U: 24-27-0 (0.00, 47.1%) avg total: 41.2 +6: 14-36-1 (28.0%) -6: 33-16-2 (67.3%) +10: 12-39-0 (23.5%) -10: 39-12-0 (76.5%)

I dont know how to add if they played at home the week before. This is about all I can do.

 

[Twisted]

Maybe we should track this ATS. Track "betting AGAINST teams that have to travel and LOSE time?". Minimum 2 hour difference? Maybe we should even backdate this info for the first 2 weeks. Anybody have a site that already has this info? **1 QUALIFICATION IS THAT THEY MUST HAVE PLAYED AT HOME THE WEEK BEFORE**. I can do it myself later on but if anybody wants to throw a couple in here that'd be great I think it could be interesting stuff.:think2:

Fading those W-E early games worked well in the past but hard to go against AZ. Cinncy and Tits should def make the play list tho

Bolts and LA are after 4pm est

Tampa Mia GB and Cinncy return home after startin year with B2B roadies. Dunno what that means but tossin it out there:think2:

 

[SaintsFan1977]

Fading those W-E early games worked well in the past but hard to go against AZ.

Found this trend.
[FONT=&quot]Trend: Any NFL home underdog of 5.0 or less (Buffalo), coming off a division home loss, versus an opponent (Arizona) coming off a home favorite ATS win, resulted in those home underdogs going [/FONT]12-0 ATS since 1983

 

[Twisted]

YOWZA!! Good find, will be interesting to see if it goes 13-0

 

[rolltide]

best time zone situation i have is to oppose teams in eastern time zone after playing out west and allowing less points than expected. no fit this week, NE was a play last week vs Miami

po:time zone = P and NB and p:A and p:dpa <= -1 and season > 1999 and o:time zone = E SU: 48-60-0 (-0.63, 44.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 39-68-1 (-1.63, 36.4%)

not surprisingly overs have been very good as well:

po:time zone = P and NB and p:A and p:dpa <= -1 and season > 2008 and o:time zone = E
SU: 21-23-0 (1.00, 47.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 19-24-1 (0.65, 44.2%) avg line: -0.4 +6: 32-11-1 (74.4%) -6: 12-32-0 (27.3%) +10: 36-8-0 (81.8%) -10: 9-35-0 (20.5%) O/U: 32-11-1 (5.78, 74.4%)

 

[rolltide]

Found this trend.
Trend: Any NFL home underdog of 5.0 or less (Buffalo), coming off a division home loss, versus an opponent (Arizona) coming off a home favorite ATS win, resulted in those home underdogs going 12-0 ATS since 1983

must be more to it than that this to find 12-0 ATS.

HD and line <= 5 and pIV and p:HL and op:HFW and op:ats margin > 0 SU: 13-10-0 (-1.13, 56.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 15-8-0 (2.37, 65.2%) avg line: 3.5 +6: 18-5-0 (78.3%) -6: 10-13-0 (43.5%) +10: 21-2-0 (91.3%) -10: 4-19-0 (17.4%) O/U: 13-10-0 (3.61, 56.5%) avg total: 41.0 +6: 8-14-1 (36.4%) -6: 18-5-0 (78.3%) +10: 7-16-0 (30.4%) -10: 20-3-0 (87.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.8 109.3 31.1 18.2 190.8 1.8 3.8 6.8 5.0 6.0 21.7 Opp 27.3 109.1 36.0 21.0 231.1 2.0 5.1 6.2 5.1 6.4 22.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Bills Cardinals home 4.0 47.0

 

[Michelangelo]

Think that should be HF ATS win, rolltide. Is that what you queried or just HFW?

 

[s4shadow]

Nice work EVERYBODY! Let's keep this going and see what happens!

 

[s4shadow]

Think that should be HF ATS win, rolltide. Is that what you queried or just HFW?

I was interested in strictly ATS...But SU info could be interesting especially on lines 3 points or less.. (might give us the chance to look at individual games and backdoor covers?) But let's just keep it simple and focus on ATS?

 

[rolltide]

Think that should be HF ATS win, rolltide. Is that what you queried or just HFW?

op:HFW and op:ats margin > 0

yes this means opponent is off a home fav win that covered the spread​

 

[SaintsFan1977]

op:HFW and op:ats margin > 0

yes this means opponent is off a home fav win that covered the spread​

I didnt use SDQL for that last trend. It was something I found online. Thanks for confirming it was false.

 

[justanobserver]

Here is exactly what the OP asks for:

Teams that are home the previous week and from the west coast on the road in the east:

time zone = 'P' and A and o:time zone = ('E' or 'M' = M) and p:H and season >= 2002
SU: 42-77-0 (-4.39, 35.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 53-64-2 (-0.66, 45.3%) avg line: 3.7 +6: 77-33-9 (70.0%) -6: 36-82-1 (30.5%) +10: 95-22-2 (81.2%) -10: 27-90-2 (23.1%) O/U: 61-56-2 (2.85, 52.1%) avg total: 42.9 +6: 46-73-0 (38.7%) -6: 84-33-2 (71.8%) +10: 30-88-1 (25.4%) -10: 101-18-0 (84.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.7 110.9 32.8 20.0 213.4 1.7 4.2 5.4 4.6 6.4 20.7 Opp 28.7 119.8 33.7 20.8 239.3 1.4 5.2 7.8 4.8 7.2 25.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 23, 2012 Sunday 16 2012 Chargers Jets away 7-14 3-0 14-0 3-3 27-17 2.5 40.0 10 12.5 4 8.2 -4.2 W W O 0 Jan 06, 2013 Sunday 18 2012 Seahawks Redskins away 0-14 13-0 0-0 11-0 24-14 -3.0 46.0 10 7 -8 -0.5 -7.5 W W U 0 Jan 20, 2013 Sunday 20 2012 Fortyniners Falcons away 0-10 14-14 7-0 7-0 28-24 -3.5 48.5 4 0.5 3.5 2.0 1.5 W W O 0 Sep 15, 2013 Sunday 2 2013 Chargers Eagles away 3-3 10-7 7-10 13-10 33-30 7.0 52.0 3 10.0 11.0 10.5 0.5 W W O 0 Oct 20, 2013 Sunday 7 2013 Chargers Jaguars away 7-0 7-3 3-3 7-0 24-6 -7.0 45.0 18 11.0 -15.0 -2.0 -13.0 W W U 0 Nov 10, 2013 Sunday 10 2013 Seahawks Falcons away 3-0 20-3 3-7 7-0 33-10 -4.5 46.0 23 18.5 -3.0 7.8 -10.8 W W U 0 Nov 10, 2013 Sunday 10 2013 Raiders Giants away 10-7 7-7 3-7 0-3 20-24 7.0 42.0 -4 3.0 2.0 2.5 -0.5 L W O 0 Nov 17, 2013 Sunday 11 2013 Chargers Dolphins away 7-3 3-7 3-7 3-3 16-20 -2.0 45.0 -4 -6.0 -9.0 -7.5 -1.5 L L U 0 Dec 15, 2013 Sunday 15 2013 Fortyniners Buccaneers away 7-0 10-7 3-0 13-7 33-14 -5.0 42.5 19 14 4.5 9.2 -4.8 W W O 0 Jan 05, 2014 Sunday 18 2013 Chargers Bengals away 7-0 0-10 10-0 10-0 27-10 6.5 46.0 17 23.5 -9.0 7.2 -16.2 W W U 0 Sep 21, 2014 view Sunday 3 2014 Chargers Bills away 7-0 6-3 7-7 2-0 22-10 1.5 45.0 12 13.5 -13 0.2 -13.2 W W U 0 Sep 21, 2014 view Sunday 3 2014 Raiders Patriots away 3-0 0-10 6-0 0-6 9-16 14.0 47.0 -7 7.0 -22.0 -7.5 -14.5 L W U 0 Oct 06, 2014 view Monday 5 2014 Seahawks Redskins away 7-0 10-7 0-3 10-7 27-17 -7.0 45.5 10 3.0 -1.5 0.8 -2.2 W W U 0 Oct 26, 2014 view Sunday 8 2014 Raiders Browns away 0-6 6-3 0-0 7-14 13-23 7.0 44.0 -10 -3.0 -8.0 -5.5 -2.5 L L U 0 Nov 30, 2014 view Sunday 13 2014 Chargers Ravens away 7-10 3-6 3-7 21-10 34-33 5.5 46.0 1 6.5 21.0 13.8 7.2 W W O 0 Sep 20, 2015 view Sunday 2 2015 Chargers Bengals away 3-7 3-7 7-3 6-7 19-24 3.5 47.0 -5 -1.5 -4.0 -2.8 -1.2 L L U 0 Sep 20, 2015 view Sunday 2 2015 Fortyniners Steelers away 0-8 3-21 0-0 15-14 18-43 6.0 46.0 -25 -19.0 15.0 -2.0 17.0 L L O 0 Sep 27, 2015 view Sunday 3 2015 Raiders Browns away 3-0 14-3 3-7 7-10 27-20 3.5 43.5 7 10.5 3.5 7.0 -3.5 W W O 0 Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Seahawks Bengals away 7-7 3-0 14-0 0-17 24-27 3.0 44.0 -3 0.0 7.0 3.5 3.5 L P O 1 Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Fortyniners Giants away 3-3 3-10 7-7 14-10 27-30 7.0 43.5 -3 4 13.5 8.8 4.8 L W O 0 Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Chargers Ravens away 3-6 13-7 7-6 3-10 26-29 3.5 50.5 -3 0.5 4.5 2.5 2.0 L W O 0 Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Raiders Steelers away 7-3 7-18 7-0 14-17 35-38 6.0 48.0 -3 3.0 25 14.0 11.0 L W O 0 Nov 22, 2015 view Sunday 11 2015 Raiders Lions away 0-6 0-3 13-0 0-9 13-18 -0.0 48.5 -5 -5.0 -17.5 -11.2 -6.2 L L U 0 Nov 29, 2015 view Sunday 12 2015 Chargers Jaguars away 0-6 21-3 3-3 7-13 31-25 5.0 47.0 6 11.0 9.0 10.0 -1.0 W W O 0 Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Fortyniners Lions away 7-3 10-17 0-3 0-9 17-32 9.5 42.5 -15 -5.5 6.5 0.5 6.0 L L O 0 Sep 18, 2016 view Sunday 2 2016 Fortyniners Panthers away 3-7 7-10 0-14 17-15 27-46 13.0 45.0 -19 -6.0 28.0 11.0 17.0 L L O 0 Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Rams Buccaneers away 5.5 42.0 Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Chargers Colts away 2.5 51.5

 

[justanobserver]

As you can see the straight up is not the greatest winning at a 35.3% clip but ATS its roughly even considering vig.