there are way more double-digit upsets in the nit than there are in the ncaas. of course, these nit upsets barely got a 30-second highlight on espn whereas if a double-digit dog won in the ncaas, it would be lead highlight for sportscenter's opener.
betting nit totals can be tricky. it is almost an over-or-pass kind of thing. so many teams have zero defensive intensity and it leads to a plethora of overs. the problem is that you dont always get the fouling and free throws in the nit that you get in the ncaas. coaches tend to call the dogs off and dont go all-out for a win by fouling if theyre down 8 with 0:30. lots of games end more traditionally, without a ton of foul fests. having said that, a LOT of nit games fly over the total sometimes as early as 5:00 left in the game. but you dont get a lot of 'backdoor overs' (i.e. 17 pts in the final 2:00 like in some conference tourneys, ncaa gms, or even reg season). then again, a lot of times the totals are a foregone conclusion and you dont even need the fouls.