Polaris said:The offshore books probably will consolidate into mega-big sports books. Anyone who is not a big book, would be a shit book.
Internet sports betting could be driven underground in the USA. Meaning it will remain illegal, but maybe route bets thru proxy servers, ingenious ways of moving money betting funds back and forth between client and book, anything that makes it harder to get caught. The BOS saga has proved anyone operating out of Costa Rica is under risk from US prosecutors. You want a better address for your own book.
Exchanges should continue to growth, prehaps dominate. From a sports book point of view, it would makes sense for the market to define the risk of a game instaneously, than for yourself to hang lines and massage the numbers on a real time regular basis.
Legalization of sporting betting in the USA, from my view as a foreigner myself a Canadian, is I think a 2% to 5% chance within the next 25 years. Out of all the western countries, religious conservatives are taken seriously only in America. No other country in the west even takes the religious conservative seriously. The Republican party is against it, and the professional sports leagues are against it. The only way I see it happening is Las Vegas leads the charge or some Indian band mounts a successful court challenge. No one is gonna listen to the degenrate over the economic pros & cons of legalized sports betting.
The degenerate, being a gambler, will always be optimistic about his bets, and by nature, the future of the off-shore betting industry.
I think during this BOS saga, people are looking at it with rose coloured glasses. This BOS is a complete disaster. No book is safe from US DOJ if you have American clients. The industry is not on solid ground, at least in America, the US DOJ actions prove that. As for the rest of the world, it probably will be business as usual.
Only my opinions of a foreign degenerate who likes to bet a little on NFL.
We have a winner. Polaris nailed it.
Does anyone want to add anything?