What's the deal with New England-Oakland?

[letsgohoosiers]

I remember a thread posted a while ago on "Sucker Bets". There was some criteria involved:

1. Public hitting the team hard (>70%)
New England has been hit hard by the public (87% on SportsInsights).

2. Reverse line movement
The line hasn't moved at all, in fact there's some reverse movement towards Oakland.

3. Good public perception vs poor public perception
New England is a team fighting for the playoffs, Oakland is in shambles.

4. Pinnacle lean
Pinnacle is giving some juicy odds compared to the other books for people to take New England.

I'm thinking of taking a blind leap of faith on Oakland +7.

 

[thecruncher]

New England's defense isn't just shit, it's shit on crutches and walkers. They'll make J. Russell look like an NFL calibre quarterback, which is a feat.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

New England's defense isn't just shit, it's shit on crutches and walkers. They'll make J. Russell look like an NFL calibre quarterback, which is a feat.

Congrats on your next post, whatever it is! :toast:

 

[caseymcgillis]

the patriots defence CANT make jamarcus russell look like an NFL calibre QB because even on his finest day he is not. NE will likely come away with 2 or 3 to's courtesy of jamarcus and very likely they wont even have to do anything on 1 since he is always good for at least 1 bobbled snap.

-7 has a bad bad smell here and i have tried throughout the week to try and figure out what it was. cassel is definitely playing despite the passing of his father, the pats almost have no choice but to assume they have to win out ( mia and nyj too ).

the only thing i can see is that the NE injury report is very large right now and includes 7 LB's.

but i think OAK has shut it down losing 2 weeks ago at home to Kansas City and then getting blown out and putting up an embarassing net yard total of 160. their only hope is to get mcfadden and fargas the ball as many times as they can because jamarcus cant handle running a pro offense right now as evidenced by oakland being dead last in passing offense and all but 1.5 games of that is on him.

something isnt right but betting against bill belichek and the ne patriots in important games for them is not often a good bet.

i like the pats -7

 

[ajreeb]

I remember a thread posted a while ago on "Sucker Bets". There was some criteria involved:

1. Public hitting the team hard (>70%)
New England has been hit hard by the public (87% on SportsInsights).

2. Reverse line movement
The line hasn't moved at all, in fact there's some reverse movement towards Oakland.

3. Good public perception vs poor public perception
New England is a team fighting for the playoffs, Oakland is in shambles.

4. Pinnacle lean
Pinnacle is giving some juicy odds compared to the other books for people to take New England.

I'm thinking of taking a blind leap of faith on Oakland +7.

I used to follow/contribute to the "sucker bet" thread a few weeks back, and I'd have to agree with you that this game matches all the criteria for Don Dollars Sucker Bet. However, like most followers of the system a few weeks back, I went 0-4 so I gave up on it. That being said, I've seen a few candidates for sucker bets come in recently (last week SF v. NYJ-4.5)would have qualified and SF won.
Good luck with whatever you decide!

 

[kidman232]

alot of wild cards in the air, will cassell play???? if he does, where will his head be? randy moss first game back in oakland, will he let the crowd get to him? the game will probably go one way or the other. pats win by 3 on a comeback or the game will be a 17+ pt blowout. Either way i dont think people will be sweating covers on either side, it will be obvious by halftime.

 

[MistaFlava]

huge sucker bet...bet the Raiders

 

[Proman]

Don't be surprised if Walter plays instead of Russell. Jamarcus does not want to play. He only cares about collecting a fat paycheck. Also, does anybody really think the Cable guy is capable of beating Belichek?

 

[benny0420]

New England's defense isn't just shit, it's shit on crutches and walkers. They'll make J. Russell look like an NFL calibre quarterback, which is a feat.

Where in Oregon are you? Did you hear about the bomb at the Wells Fargo in Woodburn? It killed a cop that was messing around with it.

 

[benny0420]

I remember a thread posted a while ago on "Sucker Bets". There was some criteria involved:

1. Public hitting the team hard (>70%)
New England has been hit hard by the public (87% on SportsInsights).

2. Reverse line movement
The line hasn't moved at all, in fact there's some reverse movement towards Oakland.

3. Good public perception vs poor public perception
New England is a team fighting for the playoffs, Oakland is in shambles.

4. Pinnacle lean
Pinnacle is giving some juicy odds compared to the other books for people to take New England.

I'm thinking of taking a blind leap of faith on Oakland +7.

This is 2 weeks in a row New England has to travel 3000 miles to play.

Last week Seattle hung in there til the end last week. The Raiders should too. The Raiders are my favorite team and it is hard to root for them while Al Davis is in charge. Who pays big $$$$ then cuts the guy in week 7?

 

[AllAboutTheBenjamins]

the pats stayed on the west coast all week...there was no travel involved this weekend.

last time the pats stayed on the west coast for a week was the beginning of the season when they played the 49ers and the chargers back-to-back. they beat the 9ers, and then got crushed by the chargers.

 

[benny0420]

the pats stayed on the west coast all week...there was no travel involved this weekend.

last time the pats stayed on the west coast for a week was the beginning of the season when they played the 49ers and the chargers back-to-back. they beat the 9ers, and then got crushed by the chargers.

Nice info.