what the hell is going on with the USC line...????!!!!!

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opened at -14 not at -20...!! moved 3.5 points in the last hour or so...

cant be just steam...?? any thoughts?
 

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The same deal happened last week Cal opened around -2.5 against Oregon and with only 36% of the bets on the Ducks the line moved all the way to Oregon -3 on game day. This week Usc opened around -14.5 and with only 34% on the Trojans, the line has now moved to USC -20. I guess there are some deep pockets out there that don't like Cal much?
 

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hard to play the chalk now after losing almost a TD of value...

but they will probably win 52-20...

i just don't see the value now... so since i'm not playing it, they will blow them out of course...!
 

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Sometimes when the play has moved so much that everyone cannot find value any more that was the GAME that should have doubled down on. Especially if you can't point to a real justification. Points aren't given away for free. And there is a heavy juice to pay for them usually especially 3 points

that said i didn't like this matchup but now I need to re look it


a real tracking f such games would tell a good story
 

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Ok I was drinking some cool-aid when I wrote the above message
 

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This post came close to making me pull the trigger on usc. Atm I wish I did
 
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usc has been bombed hard all year, like most recent years....LA crowd is dialed into that program and knows what is up. The line moved 3.5 pts in a matter of five minutes

colorado -2 to -6 and vs AZ -7 to like -13 are two recent examples in the last few wks
 

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Glad I held out for +21, which never showed. Didn't have to watch the game, went to bed and got great nights sleep
 

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