how does kalshi define a recession?
polymarket.com
even money here but that is a vague term
US recession in 2025?
Polymarket | This market will resolve to “Yes”, if either of the following conditions are met: 1. The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) publicly ...
polymarket.com
even money here but that is a vague term
A recession is an economic downturn characterized by two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth, or negative GDP. Recessions can lead to job losses, reduced consumer confidence, and financial challenges for businesses. Fun fact: The word 'recession' has been used to describe economic setbacks since the 19th century, but the modern concept of recessions as we understand them today emerged during the Great Depression of the 1930s.
So just the mainstream definition. This happened in 2022 but nobody called it a recession obviously
So just the mainstream definition. This happened in 2022 but nobody called it a recession obviously
how does kalshi define a recession?
US recession in 2025?
Polymarket | This market will resolve to “Yes”, if either of the following conditions are met: 1. The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) publicly ...
even money here but that is a vague term
Heavy orange is now on board, he's actually openly talking of a possible rescission .thinking you can attract industry with just a 25% tarrifs is obviously not in the cards with the cost and time associated in building out manufacturing and supply chain support.
Compound that with tarrifs on steel and aluminum plus labor costs...
Not a chance....trump is a lame duck, 4 years is nothing compared to timelines in setting up manufacturing ..most manufacturers will wait this erratic clown out.
And we'll all pay...good thing is the uber wealthy will get massive tax cuts for the cherry on top.
The working class got conned...
Oh well.
but I think with the tariffs if it brings some low CPI prints then can refi the short term debt and the new issuance can be at lower rates, get Powell to finally see the data he needs to cut is one of the reasons they're fine with the short term chaos
but we'll see how it shakes out, Americans aren't that tolerant of short term disruption or egg breaking to make omelets
but we'll see how it shakes out, Americans aren't that tolerant of short term disruption or egg breaking to make omelets
You realize this is a rear view mirror look?
The next reading should tell the story more accurately but i'd give this a few quarters honestly.
2.8 yoy and feb +.2 (pre tariffs)
I know you outa anyone here understands how this works.
Next one you'll blame joe but this one is trumps even with the yoy of 2.8
25% on steel , make that 50% then back to 25% all within a few days...
Markets hate shit like this as you'll learn shortly.
Whoop whoop
Patriots have done well in FA..impressed.
