What is your most important stat???

[TrackingSuccess]

What stat/info do you all find to be most relevant when capping a hockey game. PK%, Shots per game, goalie, home/away... Just curious to see what everyone feels is the most important stat/information to a game.

 

[Zetterberg]

Team Chemistry + good offense + good defense....if you have that, you r the winner...attack is best defense and if you have good defense, your goalkeeper has not so much work...if you look Detroit, you can see what makes good offense (good PP) and good defense (good PK + blue line)...

I also think, that good and fast skating brings success...

 

[VegasVic]

How about winning percentage.

 

[sneadmeister11]

style of play in previous game, you can tell if a team will play well next game by watching the effort they put up in the 3rd period usually.

 

[barman]

I am most interested in recent form, notably Past5 and Past10.

Plus, as most fellow Pucksters have observed, I am very actuarial and like to catch spots where teams will 'revert to center'.

For example, a good defensive team allows 4 or 5+ goals in a game....they tend to have above average win percentages in next outing, especially if that outing is within no more than two days later. In similar vein, a weaker offensive team cuts loose with four to five (or more) goals....Their next game is at risk since they are likely to revert back to scoring zero to two goals.

 

[Bushay]

Great question. I hope everyone including all the regulars chime in.

Me. I like when one team has another teams number at a certain venue. You just can't ignore that stat. For instance tonight. The blackhawks were 1 and 9 in Minnesota the last 10 times they played in Minny. Sens were 6 and 1 the last 7 in Buffalo. I put the Wild in a parlay with the Wings but didn't have the balls to play the sensm. BTW. 2-2 wings right now to start the 3rd here ar the Hilton. Big smile.

 

[Bushay]

Oh oh. 3-2 kings just like that.


Bushmeister

 

[TrackingSuccess]

Since it is my thread I will chime in.... I like to look at road trips but not just one game. Say a team has a 3 game roadie coming up. I like to look at the team in particular. We all know it is tough to win multiple games in a row on the road so I think teams look for spots to win on a road trip. Maybe it is an extra day of rest or a matchup, but I think like many sports teams look for spots to win especially away from home.

Also I think the obvious ones are great to look at.. Shots per game (Opportunity breeds success), also PK%.

 

[The-Chairman]

For me the most important aspect of any hockey game is who is in the net that night.

 

[Bushay]

Wings were also 8-1 last 9 in LA.

 

[PassTheBuck]

I think if you can get the jump on an injury or weak backup goalie playing, you can get an edge on the bookies.

Great question!

 

[Bushay]

For me the most important aspect of any hockey game is who is in the net that night.

Great point but not sure if yours and mine are alike. I have done research on rookie goalies and found them to, for instance , be born in a certain town and if he's starting tonight, he's extra fired up for the game and plays out his ass.

 

[Magica]

There is no stat!

Theres no way any game of any sport or any league, can say THERES THIS STAT I LOVE TO FOLLOW, IT WORKS EVERYTIME!! LOL

Man, there are close to about 26 Different aspects of capping for Each sport, Some mentioned allready, some not
I mean Sure Starting goalies, Recent Form, History between the two involved, Both recent and In some cases over a longer span, Injuries, Weather (In obvious Sports), Coaches who make changes during the week to certain aspects (Aka Line Changes, QB Changes, Point Guard Changes), I mean where does it end? And yes i could go on.

Some Stat about ONE THING?

No way there is A STAT to chase/follow/Count on, to help with the outcome of games

Kinda like the Mental midgets we see saying I HAVE A SYSTEM!!
Yeah sure you do, youre a fuckin idiot who's too stupid to really cap games, so you think you can x/+/-/% better instead?

The day a Mathematical solution can determine the outcome of a sports contest? Ask everyone whos tried that Brilliant theory!! Rocket Scientists using Sheridans This and This guys pythagorian theory, multiplied by the Glow chart from Barbie's closet, added to the Air Pressure in the Bat Mobile's Front two tires, Divised by the Weight of your mothers Ass !!

Yeah, keep that lunacy, get a rope and chair and call it good!! LOL


So anyway, i say there is NO indiv stat that can do it for you, there are to many aspects to it all, and more to those too... Just My Opinion i guess , Sorry if i offended - kinda lol %^_

 

[Bushay]

Dude.

 

[pats3peat]

i think a great stat is how many games in a row a team has been aggressive and also how many goals they allow per minute

 

[barman]

Since it is my thread I will chime in.... I like to look at road trips but not just one game. Say a team has a 3 game roadie coming up. I like to look at the team in particular. We all know it is tough to win multiple games in a row on the road so I think teams look for spots to win on a road trip. Maybe it is an extra day of rest or a matchup, but I think like many sports teams look for spots to win especially away from home.

Also I think the obvious ones are great to look at.. Shots per game (Opportunity breeds success), also PK%.

In somewhat similar vein, I have assembled records for past season (and should have previous two completed in next couple weeks) for all teams

After Away Win

and

After Home Loss

This has been a big help to me for identifying which teams have some consistent demonstration of "bounce back" (pro or con) from the two above Results.

Also assembling a second subset for

After 2+ goal Away Win

After 2+ goal Home Loss

 

[barman]

Dude.

What he said


When I read the heavily amphetamine driven posts like that of MAGICA it's challenging to filter out his worthy points (and he has a few above) from the hyperbolic gauntlet he lays down overall.