what is the % of hitting this middle

[MudSlideSlim]

not a hypothetical

nfl

carolina +7.5
st lou +1.5 yes, plus 1.5

 

[lander]

Where did you find that +1.5?

 

[MudSlideSlim]

3rd and final of a teaser

 

[D2bets]

Based on the lines, it's about 25%, maybe slightly better.

 

[D2bets]

If you believe the line then it's 50/50 whether STL covers 7.5.

If you believe the ML which is roughly -300 (+280/-320). -300 means STL should win SU 3/4 times -- 75% of the time.

So put this on a graph. A 50% of STL covering 7.5 and a 25%chance of Car winning SU leaves 25% for evrything else contained in your middle.

Of course you also own Car by 1, but that's probably not even a 2% chance so that's why I say slightly better than 25%.

Of course you should adjust accordingly if you think the lines are not accurate.

 

[MudSlideSlim]

thx d2bets and may the force be with gen clark

 

[MudSlideSlim]