Well I guess the ESPN nype machine has done its work here. Opened about right, moved to what I figured it might (although I didn't think to see more than 3), now waiting for the buy on Villanova. Wouldn't be surprised to see this game a PK or Nova -1 before tip.
But all depends on what kind of hype angle ESPN takes.
The NFL used to be similar but the influence there is lessened, but in NCAA hoops the hype is still good for 2-5 points.