In the Derby, one horse I won't like is the favorite. The favorite is 1 for 23 last 24 Derbys, only six finishing in the money. But every year comes along another "this one will get it done."
One of my favorite bets in horse racing is a $5 six-horse ex-box ($150), taking six longshots in a 12 horse field, preferable low to mid level claimers, but the bet has also worked well in the Derby. Hit the Baffert-Lucas exacta two years back. ($5 Ex paid $3,300) The bet basically relies on dumb luck. But this is horse racing...