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i think soko is way undervalued against luiz cane a semi-unknown while soko has had some tremendous ko's against very good opponents. i remember his line against noguiera was like -1100 to +800, with soko being the underdog and won that and similar against arona. soko should be a much heavier favorite.
Eklund/Schiavo:
Schiavo is well-rounded but has issues with quality wrestlers and submission guys. Eckland has a good chin and is a better fighter. Line has Eckland -215 which is just about right.
Baron/Miller:
Baron has a great chin and a good submission game. Miller is also a submission guy who has a weakness to wrestlers. I'd say Baron is just better all-around.
Bet Baron +155
Etim/Stout:
Stout has great standup but loses against guys with good chins that are well-rounded. Etin is an excellent submission fighter with decent standup but he has never been tested on the feet. Line of -265 on Stout seems right.
Schiavo is well-rounded but has issues with quality wrestlers and submission guys. Eckland has a good chin and is a better fighter. Line has Eckland -215 which is just about right.
Baron/Miller:
Baron has a great chin and a good submission game. Miller is also a submission guy who has a weakness to wrestlers. I'd say Baron is just better all-around.
Bet Baron +155
Etim/Stout:
Stout has great standup but loses against guys with good chins that are well-rounded. Etin is an excellent submission fighter with decent standup but he has never been tested on the feet. Line of -265 on Stout seems right.
Gono/Hardy:
Gono might get knocked out but his submission game is so far ahead of Hardy that Gono should be a fairly large favorite. -300 on Gono seems a little light but I'll lay off.
Taylor/Lytle:
Taylor has good standup but is not well-rounded. Lytle is. Lytle wins this easy, probably by submission. -360 is bettable.
Lytle -360
Davis/Kelly:
Davis has a great chin and is very well-rounded. He loses against more active guys who are well-rounded. Going against a wrestler today. I think Davis gets the sub at some point. -275 is too much though for a fight that could go to decision when you are betting against the hometown guy.
Gono might get knocked out but his submission game is so far ahead of Hardy that Gono should be a fairly large favorite. -300 on Gono seems a little light but I'll lay off.
Taylor/Lytle:
Taylor has good standup but is not well-rounded. Lytle is. Lytle wins this easy, probably by submission. -360 is bettable.
Lytle -360
Davis/Kelly:
Davis has a great chin and is very well-rounded. He loses against more active guys who are well-rounded. Going against a wrestler today. I think Davis gets the sub at some point. -275 is too much though for a fight that could go to decision when you are betting against the hometown guy.
Cane/Soko:
Cane is a great striker with a good submission game. One of the UFC up and comers. Soko has a judo background and strong standup but has problems with submissions at times. Soko also has shown a weak chin at times. Cane should be favored by -140 or so.
Cane -102
Jardine/Vera:
Jardine is a standup fighter who has a questionable chin against strong punchers. His gameplans win him decisions and he's very smart and active. Vera has more technical standup but is smaller and I'd make Jardine a tiny favorite.
Jardine +165
Cane is a great striker with a good submission game. One of the UFC up and comers. Soko has a judo background and strong standup but has problems with submissions at times. Soko also has shown a weak chin at times. Cane should be favored by -140 or so.
Cane -102
Jardine/Vera:
Jardine is a standup fighter who has a questionable chin against strong punchers. His gameplans win him decisions and he's very smart and active. Vera has more technical standup but is smaller and I'd make Jardine a tiny favorite.
Jardine +165
