Okay perfect thanks guys!
THE PLAY: LOS ANGELES DODGERS ML -114
Well the point of this poll/thread was to determine who I should bet on. Seeing how this is the last possible sports wager available anywhere tonight and seeing how this is a pretty high profile game, the best you can do in this case is fade the betting public. If you look at Wagerline's numbers right now, almost 60% are on the Mets to win this game. I find that oddly strange because as much as they are due for a win in this series, the Mets are still up against one of the best pitchers in baseball. Making things even more enticing for Mets backers is the fact that Brad Penny is a horrendous 3-10 lifetime in 16 career starts versus the Mets with an ERA of 6.16 and a WHIP of 1.53. However, most of those recent starts against the Mets were in New York and the last time he pitched at home against this Mets team, he pitched a complete game 2-1 win with 9 strikeouts. So what the hell is all this fuss about the Mets having to win this game?
I am also interested in all the fuss about Jorge Sosa. Yeah its nice that he is 6-1 on the year and that his ERA is 2.64 and WHIP 0.99 but is this the same Jorge Sosa that was 3-10 as a started last year with an ERA of 5.46 and a WHIP of 1.57? Yes it is. Up to this point in the season, Sosa has faced some pretty damn vanilla offenses like the Arizona Diamondbacks twice, the Milwaukee Brewers and the Florida Marlins. I know the Dodgers haven't exactly made some big time noise with their bats this year but they have been playing behind some great pitching and that usually slows down the offense anyways. You see the trap here is that the Mets batters all have outstanding career personal numbers against Brad Penny while the Dodgers batters tonight all have atrocious personal career numbers against Jorge Sosa. Once again, all the signs point to a New York Mets easy win tonight as the underdog but thats not always the case. Like I said earlier, the last time the Mets were here facing Brad Penny they were held to one run with Pedro Martinez on the mound for them with his 12-4 record and 2.96 ERA. Sounds pretty much the same as Jorge Sosa tonight.
To finish the talks about this game...the line opened at -140 for the Dodgers but the big boys have bet this thing down to a very small number which could mean we saw a ton of late action on the Dodgers. The Dodgers are 8-1 in Brad Penny's last nine starts against the NL East Division and 6-0 in his last six starts as a short price favorite. What that means is no matter what the circumstance or situation, Brad Penny should not be doubted and he should not be taken for granted. Right now looking at the POLL NUMBERS we have:
59.3% of Wagerliners are on the Mets
69.0% of voting RXers voting on a side are on the Mets (9 votes to 4 at 10:00pm)
This is the one game where losers are chasing, gainers are trying to double up!
FADE THE METS TO THE BANK!
:aktion033
THE PLAY: LOS ANGELES DODGERS ML -114
Well the point of this poll/thread was to determine who I should bet on. Seeing how this is the last possible sports wager available anywhere tonight and seeing how this is a pretty high profile game, the best you can do in this case is fade the betting public. If you look at Wagerline's numbers right now, almost 60% are on the Mets to win this game. I find that oddly strange because as much as they are due for a win in this series, the Mets are still up against one of the best pitchers in baseball. Making things even more enticing for Mets backers is the fact that Brad Penny is a horrendous 3-10 lifetime in 16 career starts versus the Mets with an ERA of 6.16 and a WHIP of 1.53. However, most of those recent starts against the Mets were in New York and the last time he pitched at home against this Mets team, he pitched a complete game 2-1 win with 9 strikeouts. So what the hell is all this fuss about the Mets having to win this game?
I am also interested in all the fuss about Jorge Sosa. Yeah its nice that he is 6-1 on the year and that his ERA is 2.64 and WHIP 0.99 but is this the same Jorge Sosa that was 3-10 as a started last year with an ERA of 5.46 and a WHIP of 1.57? Yes it is. Up to this point in the season, Sosa has faced some pretty damn vanilla offenses like the Arizona Diamondbacks twice, the Milwaukee Brewers and the Florida Marlins. I know the Dodgers haven't exactly made some big time noise with their bats this year but they have been playing behind some great pitching and that usually slows down the offense anyways. You see the trap here is that the Mets batters all have outstanding career personal numbers against Brad Penny while the Dodgers batters tonight all have atrocious personal career numbers against Jorge Sosa. Once again, all the signs point to a New York Mets easy win tonight as the underdog but thats not always the case. Like I said earlier, the last time the Mets were here facing Brad Penny they were held to one run with Pedro Martinez on the mound for them with his 12-4 record and 2.96 ERA. Sounds pretty much the same as Jorge Sosa tonight.
To finish the talks about this game...the line opened at -140 for the Dodgers but the big boys have bet this thing down to a very small number which could mean we saw a ton of late action on the Dodgers. The Dodgers are 8-1 in Brad Penny's last nine starts against the NL East Division and 6-0 in his last six starts as a short price favorite. What that means is no matter what the circumstance or situation, Brad Penny should not be doubted and he should not be taken for granted. Right now looking at the POLL NUMBERS we have:
59.3% of Wagerliners are on the Mets
69.0% of voting RXers voting on a side are on the Mets (9 votes to 4 at 10:00pm)
This is the one game where losers are chasing, gainers are trying to double up!
FADE THE METS TO THE BANK!
:aktion033
Not at all. This has almost always worked in baseball games where there is not other bettable sports (i.e. basketball, hockey) or anything in the late night action. Also this was a high profile game kinda like the Sunday Nighter a month ago Yankees-NY Mets where everyone in the world was on the Mets.
