What are the odds of this?

[D2bets]

Craps Player Sets Record
at NJ Casino

Updated: Monday, 25 May 2009, 7:56 PM CDT
Published : Monday, 25 May 2009, 7:55 PM CDT

• By The Associated Press

ATLANTIC CITY, N.J. - Saturday was a record-setting night for a novice craps player at an Atlantic City casino.
Patricia Demauro set a new record for the longest craps roll, hanging on for four hours and 18 minutes at the Borgata Hotel Casino & Spa.
Borgata officials say she beat the previous record by one hour and 12 minutes. They say Stanley Fujitake of Honolulu, set that record nearly 20 years ago in Las Vegas.
"This was only my second time playing craps, so this was very exciting for me to be a part of history," says Demauro, who lives in Denville in northern New Jersey.
Demauro bought into a game for $100 and quickly amassed a cheering crowd. When she finally lost around 12:31 a.m., after 154 rolls of the dice, she was greeted by Borgata with a champagne toast.
The casino wouldn't say how much Demauro won.
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I don't know craps that well but isn't each roll just under 50% to hit the pass line? 154 rolls? Somebody pull out the calculator? That's gotta be several trillion to 1 at least. This story has to be wrong.

 

[trytrytry]

each roll to avoid 7 out is 1 in 6....

whe did roll some 7's for sure but only after she made her number and was coming out...

amazing 154 rolls and no 7 out..

unreal..

My guess is this is in the 1 billion to 1 range...

 

[D2bets]

If I'm understanding right, the pass line won 154 times in a row. Isn't the odds of each new pass line bet just under 50% before the roll. So isn't this basically 154 coin flips in a row? That has to be WAY more than a billion. Like into the impossible range. I got to 1.7 billion after 34. I wouldn't even know the word to use when it got to 154. Seems like just about infinity.

 

[Boxer22]

What are the odds of the Rays blowing a 10 run lead and the Indians needing 7 runs before getting 1 out to beat them? Unreal.

 

[DesertDevil]

If I'm understanding right, the pass line won 154 times in a row. Isn't the odds of each new pass line bet just under 50% before the roll. So isn't this basically 154 coin flips in a row? That has to be WAY more than a billion. Like into the impossible range. I got to 1.7 billion after 34. I wouldn't even know the word to use when it got to 154. Seems like just about infinity.

The pass line did not win 154 times in a row. Thats just how many times the dice were rolled. In those rolls, either a 7 was hit on the come out roll, or the 7 was avoided until the number was hit.

Anyway you slice it, thats crazy. I bet those fortunate enough to be at that table came away with a nice chunk of change.

 

[D2bets]

The pass line did not win 154 times in a row. Thats just how many times the dice were rolled. In those rolls, either a 7 was hit on the come out roll, or the 7 was avoided until the number was hit.

Anyway you slice it, thats crazy. I bet those fortunate enough to be at that table came away with a nice chunk of change.

Oh I see. Sort of. Can any craps/math wizzes out there calculate the probability of this? Still seems astronomical.

 

[texansfan]

Found this while googling the story. Supposedly this guy was there when it was happening...

Posted by db615 on 05/25/09 at 6:04PM

I was right next to that table for the last 2 hours of her role, watching well I played cards. Unbelievable, I watched one guy walk away with $115,000. I could not get on the table but any real gambler there that long should have at very least walked away with a half million(come on 4 hours on that hot of a table). I couldn't tell how much she won she was swormed with people, but knowing the story she obviously did ok; the one guy at the table, who I was told won the most during her role by a pitt person(has a title don't want to say his name or title b/c the winning amounts were not published), had a bigger stack then she did. Was defintilely a crazy thing to watch. Also, ironically a guy at the roulette table right next to her let it ride four times on a 7, hitting for in a row walking away a heafty stack of 1000$ chips, very shortly after(within 15 minutes) she crapped out... Found that amusing...

 

[romecloneout]

wow wish i was there

 

[texansfan]

wow wish i was there

No kidding.

 

[Scoops]

Wow ,thats amazing,sounds like a night to remember for sure,I bet the casino will,lol.Thanks for posting.

 

[nimue77]

at 50% a roll, my calculator says 4.3790577E -47

whatever the hell that means

 

[D2bets]

at 50% a roll, my calculator says 4.3790577E -47

whatever the hell that means

Gee thanks thats no help whatsoever.