what are my chances of bumping this guy off

[The_Man]

week 1 fantasy match up vs last years undefeated champ. who is the chalk? i listed my bench players in case anyone has suggestions on substitutions.

mine
qb- farve @ det----- qb- vick @ phily
wr- owens vs atl---- wr- moss @ ne
wr- burleson vs tb--- wr- walker @ det
wr- s.smith vs car---- wr- horn @ car
rb- holmes vs kc----- rb- portis vs chi
rb- c.martin @ kc---- rb- c.brown @ pit
te- da.clark @ balt---- te- shockey vs arz
k- nugent @ kc------- k- vinatieri vs oak
d- nyj @ kc---------- d- ne vs oak

bench
wr- bruce @ sf
rb- f.taylor vs sea
rb- arrington @ nyg
rb- r.brown vs den
rb- l.johnson vs nyj
d- tb @ min