What affect does playing in a dome have on team totals

MackDonald · Feb 5, 2012

There have been (13) Super Bowl Games played in a "Domed" Stadium counting
the 2011 Super Bowl Game played in Jerry's Jones's re-retractible monstrosity in Dallas, Texas; (8) totals were under the Number and (5) were over depending on which line was available to the bettors.

Does this put a lean toward the under and if so why? These two QB's (Brady & Manning) have demonstrated that they have plenty of fire-power along with an adequate receiving corp that will lead to "moucho" scoring.

This years game opened at 55' at many houses and now is being offered at 53'
in many of these same places.

I like the (under) 53' with a projected final of 27-24 final. i beleive both of these defenses will step-up to the pate this year. Who ends up with the (27) :think2:

New England with this being Brady's last hurrah.....

Good luck to all.......which-ever way you go.

rolltide · Feb 5, 2012

in 12 of the domed bowls equal or more points were scored in 2h over 1h

seer · Feb 5, 2012

wont matter if the o lines cant protect the qb

MackDonald · Feb 5, 2012

rolltide said:
in 12 of the domed bowls equal or more points were scored in 2h over 1h

Good question "Tide"....I did not research 1st and 2nd half results.

MackDonald · Feb 5, 2012

seer said:
wont matter if the o lines cant protect the qb

I was "probing" as to what a "Dome" environment has on the effect-of-play. We all know there is a big difference playing "indoors" as to playing outdoors (open air)
etc. It, can affect athlete's including professional ball players, especially offensive players if the are not playing for a "Dome" team (i.e.) New Orleans Saints/Drew Brees.

rolltide · Feb 5, 2012

Mack Donald said:
Good question "Tide"....I did not research 1st and 2nd half results.

here's Sharps' analysis on the play:

Sharp: “This is a play borne from a quote I read from former Patriots linebacker Tedy Bruschi last week. He mentioned how the defense gets really gassed in a hot dome in the second half of a Super Bowl. There is a huge halftime show and the game has more frequent, longer commercial breaks. So I went back and looked at dome Super Bowls. Since 1977, 12 of 14 have seen more points scored in the second half, including all three Patriots Super Bowls from 2001-2007.

New England has been scoring early as of late, but in eight of New York’s last 12 games, more points came in the second half.

The other thing going for us here is that the Giants and Patriots rank back-to-back in fewer points scored in the first half, with only 45% of their total point production coming in the first two quarters, which means 55% of their scoring is coming in the second half.

Finally, in the last three meetings between New York and New England, 16 points per game have been scored in the first half and 34 points per game have come in the second half. We also have the potential for overtime to help us, in a game my computer predicts should be very close.”

MackDonald · Feb 5, 2012

rolltide said:
here's Sharps' analysis on the play:

Sharp: “This is a play borne from a quote I read from former Patriots linebacker Tedy Bruschi last week. He mentioned how the defense gets really gassed in a hot dome in the second half of a Super Bowl. There is a huge halftime show and the game has more frequent, longer commercial breaks. So I went back and looked at dome Super Bowls. Since 1977, 12 of 14 have seen more points scored in the second half, including all three Patriots Super Bowls from 2001-2007.

New England has been scoring early as of late, but in eight of New York’s last 12 games, more points came in the second half.

The other thing going for us here is that the Giants and Patriots rank back-to-back in fewer points scored in the first half, with only 45% of their total point production coming in the first two quarters, which means 55% of their scoring is coming in the second half.

Finally, in the last three meetings between New York and New England, 16 points per game have been scored in the first half and 34 points per game have come in the second half. We also have the potential for overtime to help us, in a game my computer predicts should be very close.”

As usual, well researched Tide........the number(s) on this game are very tight plus or minus the human element (turn-overs, injuiries, bad coaching decisions, "stage-fright" etc). You bring up the "hype" issue (Hollywood, music including how the National Aanthem is conveeyed/sung including that longggggg half-time show.
We'll never know what happens in those locker rooms during the half-time lay-off while the "circus takes place under the "Big Top".

rolltide · Feb 5, 2012

another prop thought on the game...not from Sharps' site but just from some research...

Pats 3Q -125 looks very interesting

- NYG avg just 3.6 points per game in 3q this year and NE allowed just 20 points in 3rd quarter in final 10 games of the season. You also have roughly a 75% chance of NYG getting the 1st half Kickoff (NE will defer if win toss...50/50 what NYG would do with toss) meaning NE should have one extra 3q possession. NE were 2nd in NFL with over 8 ppg in 3Q. NE were also better in 3Q defense allowing 3.6 ppg vs NYG's 4.7