West coast week 11

[Conan]

Wow I can hardly believe that there's just a couple of weeks
left this year!!

I like 5 (or more) right off the bat this week. Nice to see it.

Here they are...

Utah -5½/ASU
WY -7/UNLV
WSU -14½/CAL (with a whopping lot of points)
Stanford -3/Oregon
UDub -8/USC

A lot of chalk I guess.
Discussion to follow.

 

[indiana]

Conan.........solid looking card.........lov Wash and Wyo...........BOL with all your action this week............indy

 

[DC.]

love utah and udub

both lines will go up nice to get them early

 

[KDawgg]

Absolutely on Stanford -3 and UW -8. Was considering Utah and this tipped me to lay with Utah. Wyoming away from home worries me tho..

 

[DesertDevil]

I believe ASU is 5-0 ATS at home this year. And 0-4 ATS on the road.

Wilkins should be back and healthy for this one.

 

[Conan]

I finally see a total in the UCLA/OR St. game.
All the Bruins have left it seems is their defense which
also happens to be the Beaver's greatest strength. It
makes for a low scoring game.

OR St./UCLA U50½

 

[Conan]

Something to point out in the WSU/CAL game to keep in mind.
A pretty simple thing going here is a difference in team defense.

WSU has one and CAL doesn't.

 

[Conan]

Utah -5½/ASU
WY -7/UNLV
WSU -14½/CAL
Stanford -3/Oregon
UDub -8/USC
OR St./UCLA U50½

 

[Stickee]

Nice card conan!

 

[Conan]

On case no one knows, Colorado is still on autoplay so add his one to the card.

Colorado -15/AZ

The wildcats are in terrible shape. I can't see how they are going to hold off
Liufau or do much scoring themselves. Forgot to mention that Richrod is on
the hotseat sharing it with Mora in the Pac.

Buffs are 9-1 ATS -- their only ATS loss last week to UCLA by 2 points (20-10)
What an ugly game!! Typical blunder for the Bruins, the predicted southern
division champ.

So this is what I have for W11... a lot of chalk, busy week

Utah -5½/ASU
WY -7/UNLV
WSU -14½/CAL
Stanford -3/Oregon
UDub -8/USC
OR St./UCLA U50½
Colorado -15/AZ


​

 

[predman]

do you like the over in asu game? whats your opinion Conan?

thanks and GL on your card

PM

 

[Conan]

do you like the over in asu game? whats your opinion Conan?
thanks and GL on your card

PM

Wilkins has a TD/Int ratio of about 1-1. Yikes!
The Utes defense has allowed just 23 ppg.
The Sun Devil defense has given up an average of over 500 ypg.
Most of the scoring indicates it will come from Utah.
So far the under has been pounded. I lean that way.

About the Stanford Oregon game....
The nut is simply this:
What Stanford does best (run the ball)
is also what Oregon does worst (defend the run)

 

[predman]

Thanks for your input! Love all your write ups and breakdowns..
Keep doing what you do
Appreciate it!

GL Conan

PM

 

[Conan]

Here's an interesting stat...

Jake Browning has thrown about 15½% of his passes for a TD.
That's about 1 in 6 or 7.
If that isn't saying something to you, the current CFB record
is around 11.1% (1 in 9)

He is miles ahead of the pack in passing efficiency.
Take that Sam Darnold !!

 

[bigwang]

On case no one knows, Colorado is still on autoplay so add his one to the card.

Colorado -15/AZ

The wildcats are in terrible shape. I can't see how they are going to hold off
Liufau or do much scoring themselves. Forgot to mention that Richrod is on
the hotseat sharing it with Mora in the Pac.

Buffs are 9-1 ATS -- their only ATS loss last week to UCLA by 2 points (20-10)
What an ugly game!! Typical blunder for the Bruins, the predicted southern
division champ.

So this is what I have for W11... a lot of chalk, busy week

Utah -5½/ASU
WY -7/UNLV
WSU -14½/CAL
Stanford -3/Oregon
UDub -8/USC
OR St./UCLA U50½
Colorado -15/AZ


​

Players quit on Rich Rod very early in season. The way he handled Solomon after a strong freshman season hurt him in the eyes of most players. Az has been an auto fade for me all season(1-8 ats). So as good as Col has been ats, Az has been equally bad lol.

 

[Conan]

Imagine if you had loaded up on both every week
Nickel a game and you'd be up $13900 in 2½ months.

Also the Ducks are 1-7-1 ATS

 

[Coldweather]

BOL My friend. cheersgif

 

[bigwang]

Imagine if you had loaded up on both every week
Nickel a game and you'd be up $13900 in 2½ months.

Also the Ducks are 1-7-1 ATS

I know we covered this 3 or 4 weeks ago but Pac 12 has had some great ats outliers this season.

I've been loaded up against Cats every single week after the byu opening game.

On Buffs 6 times for 6 wins. Faded Ducks 6 times to go 5-1.

Pac 12 has fattened my accounts a lot this season. Passed the 13900 mark weeks ago lol.

Hope you sweep the card this week.

 

[bigwang]

I believe ASU is 5-0 ATS at home this year. And 0-4 ATS on the road.

Wilkins should be back and healthy for this one.

Yup. ASU is a mess but they cover at home.

 

[Cantpickem]

Just curious as to why the Stanford line is only -3. Seems too good to be true. Do you have any insight into this one? Like your picks BTW.