~Week Three~ [ My Analysis and Bets ]~

Search
Joined
Jul 19, 2014
Messages
3,455
Tokens
Denver Broncos vs Miami Dolphins... One of the best receivers in the NFL last year will be featured when Tyreek Hill and the Miami Dolphins host the Denver Broncos on Sunday, September 24, 2023. Tagovailoa delivered 11 passes to Hill, whose 215 receiving yards were third-most in a Week 1 game in NFL history. Tagovailoa is now the fourth quarterback in NFL history to have multiple games of at least 450 passing yards and three touchdown passes in their first four seasons, joining Marc Bulger, Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes. He's just the fifth quarterback in NFL history with multiple road games of at least 450 passing yards and three touchdown passes, joining Joe Montana, Tom Brady, Patrick Mahomes and Boomer Esiason.
In their last outing, the Dolphins won 24-17 over the New England Patriots. Tua Tagovailoa threw for 249 yards, with one touchdown and one interception on 21-of-30 passing (70.0%) for the Fins in that matchup against the Patriots. Raheem Mostert totaled 121 rushing yards on 18 carries (6.7 yards per carry), scoring two touchdowns on the ground. He added one catch for six yards. Jaylen Waddle led the receiving charge against the Patriots, catching four passes for 86 yards. My Bet Miami Dolphins-5 1/2 & Hedging Money Line -$260 ______________________________________________________

New England needs a win and is finally taking on a team that isn't clearly better than them. The Patriots have loved facing the Jets, hence the seven-season-long winning streak, and it'll extend on Sunday. Their defense will take away the Jets' running game and force Zach Wilson to beat them with his arm. Weather will factor into this game and likely keep things mostly to the ground. That will surprisingly favor New England, largely due to Hall’s knee issues. Last weekend it was Wilson who was the Jets top rushed with 36 yards. I think New England can handle that. The question is can Wilson give the Jets a chance? I don’t think he can. The Jets defense is going to be better than they were in the last game, but the Patriots aren’t going to need to score many points in this game to cover the spread. The Patriots are going to score at least 17 points here and that is going to need to be the difference here. Wilson is going to have at least a couple of turnovers here, and that is going to be the difference here as the Patriots will get the job done There is also the matter of Belichick being a master in this sloppy weather kind of game, which this is fully expected to be as a potential tropical cyclone looms. It may be another 10-3 affair, but I’m thinking the results stay trending. 7 Point Teaser New England + 4 1/2 & Miami Dolphins + 1 ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ The Bears looked mediocre for the second consecutive week as they fell to 0-2, losing 27-17 on the road against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They have lost 12 straight games dating back to last season and there is a lot of turmoil in Chicago. They lost their defensive coordinator, and Justin Fields appears to be regressing in an offense he has repeatedly questioned. Chris Jones returned to the KC lineup after missing the first week holding out on a new contract and made an immediate impact. He will wreak havoc on an ineffective Bears offensive line all game. Chicago gained only 236 yards of total offense and only 67 rushing yards, and facing a resurgent Chiefs D, you will see a similar output from an offense that just cannot seem to get out of their own way. The Bears have been awful on both sides of the ball through 2 games, and they were both winnable matches against the Packers and Buccaneers. The Bears have failed to cover 9 of their last 11 games as double-digit underdogs. We know what the Kansas City Chiefs are capable of when in good form, and they're going to only get better with Travis Kelce and Chris Jones back. Massive line, especially for this early in the season still, but there's quite a gap between the Bears and Chiefs. 7 Point Teaser Miami Dolphins + 1 & Kansas City Chiefs -4 1/2 With the Money Line Chiefs -$715 X 10 ..__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Anthony Richardson was 100% playing, the Colts at +8 might be a consideration. However, even if he suits up, the Ravens dominating is the more likely outcome. The Colts gave up 31 to the Jaguars, 20 to the Texans, and can't stop the pass. Baltimore's offseason revamp of the passing game has been crisp so far, and that efficiency will lead to another healthy day offensively. Indianapolis' defense is the main reason this won't be close. Still, the Colts' offense will struggle to muster anything too. They can't run the ball well and have to take on a stout rushing defense. The passing game isn't impressive plus it might be relying on a backup QB this week. One who is also far less of a threat to run, which also hampers the offense. Baltimore tends to dominate at home, and they'll do it again on Sunday. 7 Point 3 Team Super Teaser>> Baltimore -1 & Chiefs -4 1/2 & Miami + 1 with Baltimore Money Line -$375 X 2 ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ The handicapping information taken from internet sports media and other sources connected with NFL Sports.*****Stats taken from Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power rating has game with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating & There Calculated Point Spreads [Cleveland OH] With Bobby Lancer Exclusive ratings. My betting system is heavily dependent on statistics, requiring some data gathering and assumption building regarding future performance. My analysis with information using three Power ratings with a comparison factoring in home team edges. Trying to analyze a clear idea what teams are inflated with the point spread. Looking at stats from many different media sources with the point spreads compared to all three power ratings.
 
Joined
Jul 19, 2014
Messages
3,455
Tokens

2023 NFL Standings

The following are the current 2023 NFL Standings.

American Football Conference

  1. EAST
WLTPctPFPAHomeAwayDivConfNFC
Miami Dolphins2001.00060510-0-02-0-01-0-02-0-00-0-0
New York Jets110.50032461-0-00-1-01-0-01-0-00-1-0
Buffalo Bills110.50054321-0-00-1-00-1-01-1-00-0-0
New England Patriots020.00037490-2-00-0-00-1-00-1-00-1-0

  1. NORTH
WLTPctPFPAHomeAwayDivConfNFC
Baltimore Ravens2001.00052331-0-01-0-01-0-02-0-00-0-0
Pittsburgh Steelers110.50033521-1-00-0-01-0-01-0-00-1-0
Cleveland Browns110.50046291-0-00-1-01-1-01-1-00-0-0
Cincinnati Bengals020.00027510-1-00-1-00-2-00-2-00-0-0

  1. SOUTH
WLTPctPFPAHomeAwayDivConfNFC
Jacksonville Jaguars110.50040380-1-01-0-01-0-01-1-00-0-0
Indianapolis Colts110.50052510-1-01-0-01-1-01-1-00-0-0
Tennessee Titans110.50042401-0-00-1-00-0-01-0-00-1-0
Houston Texans020.00029560-1-00-1-00-1-00-2-00-0-0

  1. WEST
WLTPctPFPAHomeAwayDivConfNFC
Las Vegas Raiders110.50027540-0-01-1-01-0-01-1-00-0-0
Kansas City Chiefs110.50037300-1-01-0-00-0-01-0-00-1-0
Denver Broncos020.00049520-2-00-0-00-1-00-1-00-1-0
Los Angeles Chargers020.00058630-1-00-1-00-0-00-2-00-0-0






 
Joined
Jul 19, 2014
Messages
3,455
Tokens

National Football Conference

  1. EAST
WLTPctPFPAHomeAwayDivConfAFC
Dallas Cowboys2001.00070101-0-01-0-01-0-01-0-01-0-0
Philadelphia Eagles2001.00059481-0-01-0-00-0-01-0-01-0-0
Washington Commanders2001.00055491-0-01-0-00-0-01-0-01-0-0
New York Giants120.33343980-1-01-1-00-1-01-2-00-0-0

  1. NORTH
WLTPctPFPAHomeAwayDivConfAFC
Green Bay Packers110.50062450-0-01-1-01-0-01-1-00-0-0
Detroit Lions110.50052570-1-01-0-00-0-00-1-01-0-0
Minnesota Vikings020.00045540-1-00-1-00-0-00-2-00-0-0
Chicago Bears020.00037650-1-00-1-00-1-00-2-00-0-0

  1. SOUTH
WLTPctPFPAHomeAwayDivConfAFC
Atlanta Falcons2001.00049342-0-00-0-01-0-02-0-00-0-0
New Orleans Saints2001.00036321-0-01-0-01-0-01-0-01-0-0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers2001.00047341-0-01-0-00-0-02-0-00-0-0
Carolina Panthers020.00027440-1-00-1-00-2-00-2-00-0-0

  1. WEST
WLTPctPFPAHomeAwayDivConfAFC
San Francisco 49ers3001.00090421-0-02-0-01-0-02-0-01-0-0
Los Angeles Rams110.50053430-1-01-0-01-1-01-1-00-0-0
Seattle Seahawks110.50050610-1-01-0-00-1-01-1-00-0-0
Arizona Cardinals020.00044510-1-00-1-00-0-00-2-00-0-0

KEY: W = Games Won, L = Games Lost, T = Games Tied, Pct = Win Percentage, PF = Points For, PA = Points Against, Home = Home Record, Away = Away Record, Div = Division Record, Conf = Conference Record
 

RX - Prescription Required
Joined
May 9, 2008
Messages
1,431
Tokens
GL Harry!!
One clarification please.....when you have a teaser and you say WITH BAL ML -375 x 2, can youdescribe exactly how you bet this please? Are these two separate bets? as in: 7 Point 3 Team Super Teaser>> Baltimore -1 & Chiefs -4 1/2 & Miami + 1 (Say for one unit)
and additional bet Baltimore Money Line -$375 X 2 (for 2 units)?
That's how I read it and just want to make sure. Thanks Harry if you get this in time.
 

Member
Joined
Jun 14, 2006
Messages
53,639
Tokens
H. Hat.........always appreciate your solid info and thought's.....
on your NE and KC plays.....sweep your card....indy
 
Joined
Jul 19, 2014
Messages
3,455
Tokens
GL Harry!!
One clarification please.....when you have a teaser and you say WITH BAL ML -375 x 2, can youdescribe exactly how you bet this please? Are these two separate bets? as in: 7 Point 3 Team Super Teaser>> Baltimore -1 & Chiefs -4 1/2 & Miami + 1 (Say for one unit)
and additional bet Baltimore Money Line -$375 X 2 (for 2 units)?
That's how I read it and just want to make sure. Thanks Harry if you get this in time.
Baltimore Money Line -$375 X 2 (for 2 units)? I, am Nickle and Dime player in the NFL only... I really don't bet other sporting events only the NFL....DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating & There Calculated Point Spreads [Cleveland OH] With Bobby Lancer Exclusive ratings had SF -10 & Money line also, as there top pick for week 3 . Which I won big time!!! There 2 nd top pick was Money Line Chiefs -$715.. I bet them both Mr. Green . I am only in Vegas for NFL season also lived in Vegas 70 s 80s and 90s .. Now live in lake Tahoe, Incline Village rest of the year.. Good luck to you for the remainder of NFL season Mr. Green
 
Joined
Jul 19, 2014
Messages
3,455
Tokens
Bets>>> Miami Dolphins-5 1/2 Win & Hedging Money Line -$260 Win, 7 Point Teaser New England + 4 1/2 & Miami Dolphins + 1 Win, 7 Point Teaser Miami Dolphins + 1 & Kansas City Chiefs -4 1/2 Win, Money Line Chiefs -$715 X 10 Big Win, 7 Point 3 Team Super Teaser>> Baltimore -1 & Chiefs -4 1/2 & Miami + 1 Lost , Baltimore Money Line -$375 X 2 Lost ............ Not a Bad Sunday !!!!!! Guys
 

my clock is stuck on 420 time to hit this bong
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
8,476
Tokens
Great stuff Harry your a gentleman and a scholar
 

Member
Joined
Nov 5, 2006
Messages
2,246
Tokens
Congrats Harry, great job!
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,630
Messages
13,570,634
Members
100,833
Latest member
bhushanoils
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com