Week Four - Points ATS on Ranked Teams.

[G-Man!]

In the Fla St.-1.5 ranked (4) vs Clemson game . FSU won.31-24.The Tigers. are now unranked?
Oklahoma ranked (16) covers against Unranked Cincinnati
Number 2 ranked Michigan pushed -24 over Rutgers.
Oregon Ranked(8) buried Colo who made the top 25 but now is unranked
MIA.FL, ranked (18) covered vs Temple by 10
Kansas Ranked (24) covered by 2 over BYU
Duke (#16) covered by 11 over Conn,
Alabama (11) covered by 7 over Miss.
Utah (#10) -2.5 covered by 3.5 over UCLD. The lowest scoring game in a win by Utah in years.14-7.
Tennessee (19) covered by 6 over UTSA.
Oregon St. (21) -3 lost to Wash state(17) 35-38.
Florida (23) toyed with Charlotte and lost ATS by 13 in a 23-7 game.
Over inflated LSU -18.5 (12) barely won but failed badly vs The spread vs Arkansas.34-31.
#22 ranked Missouri -7.5 won but lost ATS. in a 7 point win vs Memphis.
Penn State (7) -14, zeroed-out Iowa 31-0.
Number #1 Georgia Barely outscored the spread and filed to cover -41 over UAB in a 49-21 win.
Texas (5) -17 spanked unranked Baylor 38-6.
Ohio State (3) pushed -3 over Notre Dame (13). 17-14.
Kan St. -6 (25) covered vs UCF. 44-31.
North Carolina -7 (15) covered over Pitt. 41+24.
USC -34 (6) failed to cover over Arizona State/42-28. AZ scored in every quarter/
Washington (8) -21.5 covered over Cal 59-32 by 5.









.

 

[VegasKnows]

Georgia, Michigan, and Ohio State are combined 1-8-3 ATS.
And 2 Overs to 10 Unders.

 

[LSUpete]

Curious.....why do you characterize LSU as "overinflated" when they fail to cover a RIVALRY game as an 18 point favorite, but you don't say shit about USC failing to cover against a patsy as a 34 point favorite?

 

[G-Man!]

Curious.....why do you characterize LSU as "overinflated" when they fail to cover a RIVALRY game as an 18 point favorite, but you don't say shit about USC failing to cover against a patsy as a 34 point favorite?

Pete.
Just because they were not covering the expected lines with FSU+ which I had FSU. and I had FSU vs Clemson. (Clemson is also over rated now) - and after a big win over Miss state that line should have been much lower for Ark. Thats why I said the line was over inflated. It was jacked up a full TD after blowing out Miss state.

They only gave Miss state 9.5? No way Akkass is not better than Miss state. SO I think the line was way over priced.
LSU should NOT be favored at Ole Miss either. They're only averaging 27 pts per game vs winning teams.
I know they are your boys - but numbers are more important.


In regards to USC. I wrote it up that USC is also way over rated and they have no defense. It was obvious in every game. Too many people are high on The USC offense. They will be crushed by every team with a better defense later in the season.
I had AZ State +34 last week.

I'll likely be fading USC vs. Notre Dame, UCLA and Oregon.
And Im Probably taking Colorado this week to cover against them as well +22.
USC was one of the worst teams in the bowls last year with a 28 py/gm defense vs bowl level teams.
They gave up 46 to Tulane! and lost!
Sure the offense is great - but those scores are drastically overvalued because they faced 4 losers this season. Nevada, Stanford, AZ State, San Jose.

Id say that Colorado right now is better than all four of them - even after the destruction in Oregon.

 

[G-Man!]

Georgia, Michigan, and Ohio State are combined 1-8-3 ATS.
And 2 Overs to 10 Unders.

Mich and OSU all coasted and shut down early. thats why.
Georgia my be struggling some this season.. Losing your starting QB to the NFL is huge! They re no longer a 41point offense like last year.

They've only scored 24pts vs one winning team this year.
FWIW - Georgia was outscored by North Carolina(31) and Miss Sate(30) who both aslo played S.Carolina.
That should be enough - as to be careful betting on Georgia..

 

[LSUpete]

LSU should NOT be favored at Ole Miss either. They're only averaging 27 pts per game vs winning teams.

LOL…..now you’re just being ridiculous. LSU will beat Ole Miss by double digits. LSU -2.5 will be my biggest play of the weekend….and it has nothing to do with my wanting them to win.

 

[G-Man!]

LOL…..now you’re just being ridiculous. LSU will beat Ole Miss by double digits. LSU -2.5 will be my biggest play of the weekend….and it has nothing to do with my wanting them to win.

It may sound redicuulous.
BUT if they are that good the line should be -9.5 based on the two teams - not -2.5.
BOL Pete.