Avid forum watcher, thanks to all you guys for your plays, always consult the fourm before wagering. Have been hot the last few weeks and decided to start posting (what can go wrong right?).
KC -2.5 vs Miami (neutral site)
The dreaded reverse line movement, opened KC -5.5 down to -2.5 with most of the public on KC. Miami is healthier in the secondary than they have been all year. My angle is who have they beaten this year? Getting a top defense with Mahomes at the controls giving less than a TD? Yessir.
Buffalo @ Cincy -2.5
I for the life of me cannot figure out why this is only 2.5/3?! Buffalo is still being bet and talked about like they're an elite team, they are most certainly not. They rely solely on Allen who can beat average teams but struggles vs good defenses and schemes. I count on Anarumo having another gameplan that will take Diggs away and force them to beat them another way which I don't think Buffalo is capable of. The one pause is the Buff pass rush which was neutralized by the snow last year. I just think Burrow being fully healthy is the equalizer, best pocket presence in the league outside of Mahomes. They're at home, offense is clicking and the defense while not "elite" is very well coached and capable of getting stops and forcing TOs. Either I'm the biggest sucker on earth or this is just too easy. Cincy, large.
KC -2.5 vs Miami (neutral site)
The dreaded reverse line movement, opened KC -5.5 down to -2.5 with most of the public on KC. Miami is healthier in the secondary than they have been all year. My angle is who have they beaten this year? Getting a top defense with Mahomes at the controls giving less than a TD? Yessir.
Buffalo @ Cincy -2.5
I for the life of me cannot figure out why this is only 2.5/3?! Buffalo is still being bet and talked about like they're an elite team, they are most certainly not. They rely solely on Allen who can beat average teams but struggles vs good defenses and schemes. I count on Anarumo having another gameplan that will take Diggs away and force them to beat them another way which I don't think Buffalo is capable of. The one pause is the Buff pass rush which was neutralized by the snow last year. I just think Burrow being fully healthy is the equalizer, best pocket presence in the league outside of Mahomes. They're at home, offense is clicking and the defense while not "elite" is very well coached and capable of getting stops and forcing TOs. Either I'm the biggest sucker on earth or this is just too easy. Cincy, large.
