Wk 1 // 2-7
Wk 2 // 4-3-1
Wk 3 // 6-3
Wk 4 // 6-2
Wk 5 // 2-4-1
Wk 6 // 4-5
Wk 7 // 4-3
Wk 8 // 7-2
The Finalized Plays:
Locked in on Thurs.:
KCy +9 (vs TBy)
NYJ +5' (@ Buf)
Chi -13 (vs Det)
GBy +4' (@ Ten)
Sea +7 (vs Phi)
ADD:
Jax -8 (@ Cin)
Bal +2 (@ Cle)
StL +3 (vs Azo)
Also have a play on NEn tonight but that line is movin' up. +6' now at Bodog. Maybe I can catch 7 before gametime.
The study I did this week is a bit confusing to explain but I'll try my best. Checked both SU and ATS records for matching teams on Week 9 over the past two years (no time to go back further as this study involved recreating records. Time consuming.).
When the ATS records were within one game but one team had a better SU record, the team with the better SU record was 9-1 ATS in Week 9 (4-0 as favs; 4-1 as dogs; 1-0 as a pick.)
The teams that qualify this week under the above study are:
Jax
Bal
NEn
///
When one team had better SU and ATS records by at least more than one game they were 3-9 ATS in Week 9.
The Play againsts this week were:
TBy (on KCy)
Chi (on Det)
Ten (On GBy)
Azo (on StL)
NYG (on Dal)
Phi (On Sea)
///
Other stuff of interest supporting my plays this week:
- Green Bay is 2-0 both SU and ATS in their after bye games under Mike McCarthy (both wins were outright as road dogs).
- 3-14 ATS Bills when favored after playing Miami
3-12 ATS Bills when favored at home after playing Miami
3-15 ATS Bills at home after playing Miami
4-24 ATS Bills all venues after playing Miami
1-5 ATS Bills when playing the NYJ after playing Miami
2-12 ATS Bills when playing another Division rival after playing Miami
I use the Goldsheet logs. Only go back to '93. So all above stats since, and including '93
- Double Digit Favorites (Chicago) are 1-10 ATS (Goldsheet logs) thusfar in '08. That imbalance won't last.
Think that's it for today. Be back with the NEn line (8:15 game) later. Good luck.
Wk 2 // 4-3-1
Wk 3 // 6-3
Wk 4 // 6-2
Wk 5 // 2-4-1
Wk 6 // 4-5
Wk 7 // 4-3
Wk 8 // 7-2
The Finalized Plays:
Locked in on Thurs.:
KCy +9 (vs TBy)
NYJ +5' (@ Buf)
Chi -13 (vs Det)
GBy +4' (@ Ten)
Sea +7 (vs Phi)
ADD:
Jax -8 (@ Cin)
Bal +2 (@ Cle)
StL +3 (vs Azo)
Also have a play on NEn tonight but that line is movin' up. +6' now at Bodog. Maybe I can catch 7 before gametime.
The study I did this week is a bit confusing to explain but I'll try my best. Checked both SU and ATS records for matching teams on Week 9 over the past two years (no time to go back further as this study involved recreating records. Time consuming.).
When the ATS records were within one game but one team had a better SU record, the team with the better SU record was 9-1 ATS in Week 9 (4-0 as favs; 4-1 as dogs; 1-0 as a pick.)
The teams that qualify this week under the above study are:
Jax
Bal
NEn
///
When one team had better SU and ATS records by at least more than one game they were 3-9 ATS in Week 9.
The Play againsts this week were:
TBy (on KCy)
Chi (on Det)
Ten (On GBy)
Azo (on StL)
NYG (on Dal)
Phi (On Sea)
///
Other stuff of interest supporting my plays this week:
- Green Bay is 2-0 both SU and ATS in their after bye games under Mike McCarthy (both wins were outright as road dogs).
- 3-14 ATS Bills when favored after playing Miami
3-12 ATS Bills when favored at home after playing Miami
3-15 ATS Bills at home after playing Miami
4-24 ATS Bills all venues after playing Miami
1-5 ATS Bills when playing the NYJ after playing Miami
2-12 ATS Bills when playing another Division rival after playing Miami
I use the Goldsheet logs. Only go back to '93. So all above stats since, and including '93
- Double Digit Favorites (Chicago) are 1-10 ATS (Goldsheet logs) thusfar in '08. That imbalance won't last.
Think that's it for today. Be back with the NEn line (8:15 game) later. Good luck.
:toast:
