weEK 9 upsets and picks!!!!!!!!! GOTW 5-0 ats YTD!!!!!!!

Search

0

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
0
YTD 25-15-2 ATS 60% + 165 UNITS

GOTW 5-0 ATS 100% (Game of the Week) + 125 UNITS

Going to be posting a large Thursday night play currently handicapping game


stay tuned....



cheers
:toast:



tsf
 

0

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
0
Now that we are virtually at the half way point of the season I look to lines that strictly have value based on my line's and my power ranking's versus the lines set by the books !!!! combined with logical choices, injuries and some trends!!! Its worked for me in the past in week 9 thru 11

I've decided not to play this Thursday's game but have 7 game's that fall into my formula, but i will do something different and post my lines for all the games this week but will only play 7 games including my GOTW


Thursday game




falconsb_logo.gif


Bucsb_logo.gif

FALCONS -4 AT BUCS.....MY LINE FALCONS -4..... VALUE ONLY -.5 LINE IS TOO CLOSE I DO THINK FALCONS COVER BUT THE BUCS ALWAYS PLAY THE FALCON'S TOUGH AND HAVE BEATIN THEM LAST 3 GAMES SU THIS IS A PASS FOR ME !!!!!


THE REST FOR SUNDAY
jaguarsb_logo.gif

chiefsb_logo.gif


JAGUARS AT CHIEFS -7.5.....MY LINE CHIEFS -10.....VALUE -2.5 THIS MIGHT BE A PLAY FOR ME BUT THE 7.5 DOES SCARE ME A BIT WITH RB CHARLES OUT AND RB WARE AND QB SMITH ON CONCUSSION PROTOCOL, THE CHIEFS ARE THE VASTLY SUPERIOR TEAM BUT TOO MANY QUESTION'S TO KEY PLAYERS WORRY ME, AND JAX DID GET EMBARASSED LAST THURSDAY ON NATIONAL TV AND BORTLES DOES LIKE TO THROW GARBAGE POINTS LATE WHEN THEY ARE DOWN WHICH IS PROBABLY THE CASE HERE......



lionsb_logo.gif

vikingsb_logo.gif

LIONS AT VIKINGS -6.....MY LINE VIKINGS -7....VALUE -1 THE VIKINGS SHOULD COVER HERE BUT AGAIN THERE ARE SOME NEGATIVES, OC NORV TURNER RESIGNED TODAY WHICH IS A BIZARRE MOVE HALF WAY THROUGH THE SEASON, UNLESS HE WAS GIVEN AN ULTIMATUM TO BE FIRED OR RESIGN ??? LOOKS LIKE SHURMER WILL TAKE OVER OC JOB HE HAS WORKED WITH BRADFORD IN THE PAST AND THE WEST COAST OFFENSE, BUT IT WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO GEL I WOULD IMAGINE ?? THE LIONS HAVE NO REAL RUNNING GAME BUT STAFFORD IS PLAYING LIGHTS OUT WITH HIS RECIEVERS AND COULD PUSH FOR A LATE TD IN A LOW SCORING AFFAIR FOR A POSSIBLE BACKDOOR ????



steelersb_logo.gif


ravensb_logo.gif


STEELERS AT RAVENS -3....MY LINE NO LINE.... ILL PASS ALL TOGETHER WITHOUT THE STATUS OF ROELISBERGER ??? EVEN SO IF HE PLAYS HE MIGHT BE LIMITED AND HE IS A HUGE PART OF THERE OFFENSE


saintsb_logo.gif


49ersb_logo.gif

SAINTS -3.5 AT 49ERS.... .MY LINE SAINTS -7.....VALUE 3.5 THIS MIGHT BE A PLAY FOR ME BUT IS NOT IN MY TOP 7 FOR THE VERY REASON I DONT TRUST THE SAINTS AS A ROAD FAVOURITE AND THE 49ERS HAVE NOT COVERED A GAME ALL YEAR AND ARE DUE??? THE PUBLIC IS POUNDING THE SAINTS AS WELL SO FAR ???? PASS FOR ME BUT MY SYSTEM SAYS A COVER



coltsb_logo.gif


packersb_logo.gif


COLTS AT PACKERS -7.5.....MY LINE PACKERS -6.....VALUE -1.5 FOR THE COLTS HOWEVER I CANT TRUST THE COLTS TO KEEP THIS ONE CLOSE, REASON MY LINE IS UNDER A TD IS BECAUSE YOU CANT TRUST THE PACKERS AT HOME ANYMORE TO BLOW OUT TEAMS LIKE THEY HAVE DONE IN THE PAST, THEY BLEW 2 LARGE LEADS THIS YEAR WITH THE LIONS AND GIANTS THE VALUE IS WITH THE COLTS..... PASS FOR NOW HOWEVER



HERE IS MY TOP 7 OFFICIAL PLAYS
1ST GAME
GOTW (GAME OF THE WEEK)


broncosb_logo.gif


raidersb_logo.gif



BRONCOS AT RAIDERS PK......MY LINE BRONCOS -6.....VALUE BRONCOS -6 AND THEY ARE ON THE ROAD, BOTH THE RAIDERS AND BRONCOS ARE 6-2 HOWEVER THE BRONCOS ARE BY FAR THE BETTER TEAM, THE RAIDERS HAVE COME BACK FROM THERE LONG ROAD TRIP, BUT HAVE BEATEN MEDIOCRE TO BAD TEAMS, THE BRONCOS HAVE THERE AWESOME DEFENSE, AND WILL CAUSE ALL KINDS OF HAVOC FOR QB CARR, AND THE RAIDERS LIKE ALL RAIDER TEAMS OF THE PAST ARE EXTREMELY UNDISCIPLINED, HENCE THEY BROKE THE RECORD FOR PENALTIES LAST WEEK VERSUS THE BUCS, AND STILL WON BECAUSE THE BUCS ARE TERRIBLE AT HOME, THEY NOW FACE THE BRONCOS A DIFFERENT ANIMAL !!! BRONCOS ARE GETTING NO RESPECT AS A PK IN OAKLAND THEY SHOULD BE FAVOURED BY -2.5 TO -3 POINTS, LAST TIME A GOOD DEFENSIVE TEAM CAME INTO OAKLAND AS A PICK WAS THE CHIEFS THIS YEAR, AND THE CHIEFS CLOBERED THEM !!!!


TAKING BRONCOS PK GOTW 25 UNITS !!!!!! GET IT NOW BEFORE THE LINE MOVES !!!

BRONCOS 30 RAIDERS 17


I HAVE 6 MORE GAMES TO POST WILL POST TOMMOROW



CHEERS


TSF

BRONCOS
 

0

New member
Joined
Oct 22, 2016
Messages
219
Tokens
0
You legend. Love the write ups and analysis. Already ON BOARD with that broncos pick too!! Feeling MUCH better now that I read its your GOW.

Also love the new style of your post with posting your lines compared with the offered ones even on games you're not playing. Gives more insight to novices such as my self to get a handle on forming some sort of protocol/system.

Bill
 

0

Member
Joined
Sep 25, 2005
Messages
2,662
Tokens
0
Appreciate the early write ups and thoughts. Great season so far !! In regards to the Vikings I would not touch them until their offensive line gets healthy and fixed.
 

0

Member
Joined
Feb 16, 2016
Messages
13,680
Tokens
0
Thanks TSF - just played Den pk - I like it!
 

0

Member
Joined
Jun 14, 2006
Messages
53,738
Tokens
0
S/caster...........nicely done YTD, especially your GOTW..........lov the Den play..........looking forward to your entire thought's.............BOL ...........indy
 

0

New member
Joined
Nov 19, 2006
Messages
7,158
Tokens
0
Thanks for sharing your insights and congrats on the nice season thus far TSF. I like that Broncos play, should be an interesting match-up of strength (Raiders passing offense) versus strength (Broncos passing defense). Usually in these type of situations its the defense that has the advantage, see the 2014 Super Bowl. On the other side of the ball is weakness (Broncos offense) versus weakness (Raiders defense) although there is some some hope there that the Broncos might be able to get their run game going like they did against Houston as the Raiders rush defense might be a little bit worse than the Texans giving up 4.8 ypr against teams that only average 4.1 ypr on offense. Of course the RB situation in Denver might be a bit of a concern as Booker's shoulder might still be hurting and he's shown a tendency to fumble the football. Anyways, good luck and go Broncos!
 

0

New member
Joined
Nov 19, 2006
Messages
7,158
Tokens
0
Looks like Aqib Talib is not practicing again today, still out with a back issue which is a concern. Although Bradley Roby, who had the pick 6 last week against SD is probably one of the best #3 corners in the NFL.
 

0

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
0
2nd pick (large play)



eaglesb_logo.gif

giantsb_logo.gif


EAGLES AT GIANTS -2.5......MY LINE EAGLES -3....LINE VALUE OF +5.5 FOR THE EAGLES!!!! EAGLES ARE 3-1 AS UNDERDOGS ATS THIS YEAR BUT ALSO 3-1 SU IN THOSE GAMES, AND EVEN THOUGH I WAS ON THE COWBOYS LAST WEEK EAGLES SHOULD OF WON OR COVERED THAT GAME LEADING BY 10 UNTIL THAT FUMBLE!!!! EAGLES EASILY COULD OF BEEN 4-0 ATS IF COWBOYS JUST WIN BY A FIELD GOAL IN OT, THE GIANTS ARE COMING OFF THE BYE AFTER BEATING THE RAMS 17-10 IN LONDON BUT THEY SHOULD OF BLOWN THE RAMS AWAY WITH ALL THE RAMS TURNOVERS AND DIDNT BECAUSE ALL ELI MANNING HAS IS OBJ WITH NO RUNNING GAME TO SPEAK OF!!! THE ROAD TEAM IN THIS DIVISIONAL RIVARY HAS COVERED 15 OF ITS PAST 22, AND THE EAGLES HAVE WON 13 OF ITS LAST 16 SU VERSUS THE GIANTS!!!!!! AND THE EAGLES ARE 2ND BEST IN THE NFL IN PLUS/MINUS POINTS DIFFERENTIAL AND THE ALSO WIN THE TURNOVER RATIO... EAGLES ARE + 6 5TH BEST IN NFL AND THE GIANTS ARE -7 28TH WORST IN THE NFL!!!!! THE BETTER TEAM WINS AND EASILY COVERS

TAKING EAGLES +2.5 LARGE PLAY 15 UNITS !!!!!


EAGLES 24 GIANTS 20


CHEERS
:toast:


TSF



more to come.....



 

0

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
0
3rd play



jetsb_logo.gif


dolphinsb_logo.gif



JETS AT DOLPHINS -3.5......MY LINE DOLPHINS -1...LINE VALUE +2.5 FOR THE JETS!!!! HEY I HAVE BEEN NOTED AS NOT A BIG FAN OF FITZPATRICK AND THE JETS BUT THEY HAVE IMPROVED IN THE PAST 2 GAMES AND I HAVE MADE MONEY PLAYING THE DOLPHINS WHEN GETTING POINTS, I JUST FEEL THE LINE IS INFLATED ALL OF A SUDDEN SINCE THE FISH HAVE WON A COUPLE GAMES AT HOME!!! THE JETS HAVE BEAT THE DOLPHINS IN THERE PAST 3 MATCHUPS SU COMFORTABLY I MIGHT ADD BY 18, 13, AND 13 POINTS !!!! THE JETS HAVE HAD A VERY DIFFICULT SCHEDULE COMPARED TO THE DOLPHINS, AND THE JETS DO HAVE THE 2ND BEST RUN DEFENSE IN THE NFL TO SLOW DOWN RB AJAJI THAT WILL FORCE QB TANNEHILL TO BEAT THEM IN THE AIR VS A SUSPECT JETS SECONDARY, BUT I CANT TRUST TANNEHILL WHEN GIVING THAT OPPORTUNITY, THE DOLPHINS PLAY BETTER WHEN GETTING POINTS, THE TWO GAME'S THIS YEAR WHEN FAVORED THEY LOST ATS... ONE IN OT VS THE BROWNS THE OTHER SU VS THE TITANS!!! DOLPHINS ARE 7-21 ATS AS FAVS OF 3.5 OR MORE SINCE 2008, DOLPHINS 10-34 ATS AT HOME VS TEAMS WITH LOSING RECORDS, AND DOLPHINS ARE 4-10 ATS AS A FAV COMING OFF A SU WIN AS AN UNDERDOG SINCE 2007!!!!!


TAKING JETS +3.5 10 UNITS


DOLPHINS 24 JETS 23


CHEERS


TSF

 

0

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
0
Sorry for posting so late with the rest of my plays boys, it's been a very hectic week had no time to post but I did handicap the rest I'll post my plays before I bet them this am I won't have more info to share will make it short !!!!

4th play (I've decided to play this game after further handicapping)

COLTS at PACKERS -7.5

Colts have scored 120 points in the 2nd half this season most in the AFC so you know they are capable of keeping up.
Packers have allowed qb's a 110+ passer rating in last 4 of 6 games look for 5 of 7 in today's game versus LUck !!!!

Taking Colts +7.5 10 Units


PACKERS 30 COLTS 27


5th play

BILLS at SEAHAWKS -7

Seahawks have scored 1 Offensive TD in there past 2 games !!!! Russel Wilson has not thrown a TD pass since week 4 ??? And I should know he is on my fantasy team this year and he has been brutal !!!! Hence he is injured and limited in his mobility and he seems not be getting healed fast enough !!!!
Bills are 4-0 SU when they rush the ball this year when attempt's go past 27+ And Shady McCoy will be back !!
Seattle stout run defence has all of a sudden allowed 128 YPg rushing last 2 games ??
low scoring game 7 too much to give with the way Seattle's offence has been going lately

Taking Bills +7 large play 15 UNITS

SEATTLE 17 BILLS 14



6Th play

PANTHERS at RAMS -3

Panthers will be facing off versus the 3 rd worst Offense in the NFL averaging only 17 PPG ???
Panthers are averaging 39 PPG since Cam Newton has been back 2nd best in the NFL
Cam Newton since back has only one turnover and when he limits the turnovers he is a stout 40-20-1 SU
Bottom line Panthers will score more than the rams even with the rams better defense, Panthers win and cover !!!!

Taking Panthers +3 large play 15 Units

Panthers 30 Rams 21



7th play small lean

COWBOYS at BROWNS +7.5

I wasn't going to play this game cause I asked myself if I am that crazy too take the Browns, I was seriously thinking of taking them as my GOTW that's how much I liked it, but my common sense changed my mind.....the Browns ??? But I still like them in this spot the Cowboys are travelling this is out of there division and could be a classic let down situation for them after emotional OT win last week vs the Eagles!! The Browns are desperate at home and getting key pieces back in there lineup Corey Coleman Cody Kessler Joe Haden and newly acquired LB Collins who the Patriots traded away for reasons unknown too me !!!! I am a Patriot fan deal made no sense to me !!!!

hunch play and major upset

Taking Browns+7.5 small lean 5 Units
Taking Browns ML +265 small lean 5 Units

BROWNS 28 COWBOYS 27


cheers


tsf
 

0

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
0
recap (8 plays)


GOTW
Broncos PK 25 Units

Large play
Eagles +2.5 15 Units
Panthers +3 15 Units
Bills +7 15 Units

Reg play
Jets +3.5 10 Units
Colts +7.5 10 Units

Small lean
Browns +7.5 5 Units

ML play
Browns ML +265 5 Units


Cheers and good luck today fellas !!!!


tsf
 

0

New member
Joined
Nov 10, 2010
Messages
221
Tokens
0
If someone followed your picks today and did any big bets on your GOTW!!!!!! or your 15 UNIT PLAY!!!!! with the eagles over giants, i sincerely feel sorry for them...
 

0

Member
Joined
Oct 25, 2007
Messages
47,388
Tokens
0
If someone followed your picks today and did any big betts on your GOTW!!!!!! or your 15 UNIT PLAY!!!!! with the eagles over giants, i sincerely feel sorry for them...

Damn man, cut the guy some slack.

Panthers won for his 15U play.....
Eagles lost....
Bills are pending.

Sure Denver didn't hit.....but why u doggin the guy?
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,922
Messages
13,575,255
Members
100,883
Latest member
iniesta2025
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com
TheRX uses cookies to help us provide, protect & improve our services. See our Privacy Policy for more details.
Accept & Close