Arghhh with the Cardinals/Reds game going into extra innings thanks to a 9th inning comeback I'm stuck at work on my Friday a bit longer. Lovely. Might as well update CFL.
Nick Moore probable for Winnipeg.
Barnes returned last game but Coombs/Owens/Durie out for the foreseeable future for Argos it appears.
Fred Stamps expected back for Esks but John White on 6-game list.
Hamilton has week off but sounds like Dan LeFevour is done for the year. Collaros back though.
Not sure on Andrew Harris for BC. He's tough. Guessing he goes based on that but just purely a guess. Questionable for official purposes.
Nick Moore probable for Winnipeg.
Barnes returned last game but Coombs/Owens/Durie out for the foreseeable future for Argos it appears.
Fred Stamps expected back for Esks but John White on 6-game list.
Hamilton has week off but sounds like Dan LeFevour is done for the year. Collaros back though.
Not sure on Andrew Harris for BC. He's tough. Guessing he goes based on that but just purely a guess. Questionable for official purposes.
I send out a weekly email to talk to some other quality CFL bettors each week. Figured I'd start adding these in here so you guys could see my opinions. The leans may eventually get turned into plays but only like 25% actually do. The "My Odds" part is my own handicapped odds which I then compared to what the sportsbooks have. Good luck this week.
3-0 last week, 5-0 combined last 2 weeks. Hopefully I'm finally "dialed in" as they say.
My Odds:
Winnipeg -7, 43
Edmonton -18, 46
Calgary -11, 45
Saskatchewan -1, 43
Leans:
Montreal/Winnipeg u50.5
Winnipeg's defense has been a mess but can we really count on Montreal to score points here? Alouettes don't pass protect, can't run, and have a quarterback making his first road start. Blues can't run either and their pass protection has been a joke lately. Winnipeg is going to be passing a lot here but the teams that have put up big points against Montreal have been able to run to set up the pass and the Blue Bombers simply aren't that team. You have a lean here Mike? The fact that this one got bet up from 49 early kinda scares me.
Saskatchewan +3.5
Saskatchewan/BC u50.5
Not sure how I feel about either of these. Roughriders at +3.5 (books all over the place on this line right now) looks good in a tossup game that I feel should be slower paced and therefore lower scoring. BC's defense isn't great but Sask seems happy to run the ball a million times a game which produces low-scoring totals. BC's offense has looked much improved lately but they have pass protection issues and are facing a team with a great rush that also shuts down the running game. Not sure if Lulay plays here or not so just a lean for now. Everyone is going to be on the Roughriders which scares me even more about the spread.
Plays:
Edmonton -8
This has rout written all over it and I'm pissed I didn't get the -7 opener, even though I doubt it will matter. Toronto has a ton of offensive injuries and they are facing a top defense on the road. Esks have an elite secondary and Toronto has trouble scoring when they can't pass since their running game is bad. Argos defense is a joke against the run and they give up huge points when teams can run well against them. Just so happens the Eskimos are running better than any team in the league. There is no way this stays close out all. 33-14 type final sounds right.
3-0 last week, 5-0 combined last 2 weeks. Hopefully I'm finally "dialed in" as they say.
My Odds:
Winnipeg -7, 43
Edmonton -18, 46
Calgary -11, 45
Saskatchewan -1, 43
Leans:
Montreal/Winnipeg u50.5
Winnipeg's defense has been a mess but can we really count on Montreal to score points here? Alouettes don't pass protect, can't run, and have a quarterback making his first road start. Blues can't run either and their pass protection has been a joke lately. Winnipeg is going to be passing a lot here but the teams that have put up big points against Montreal have been able to run to set up the pass and the Blue Bombers simply aren't that team. You have a lean here Mike? The fact that this one got bet up from 49 early kinda scares me.
Saskatchewan +3.5
Saskatchewan/BC u50.5
Not sure how I feel about either of these. Roughriders at +3.5 (books all over the place on this line right now) looks good in a tossup game that I feel should be slower paced and therefore lower scoring. BC's defense isn't great but Sask seems happy to run the ball a million times a game which produces low-scoring totals. BC's offense has looked much improved lately but they have pass protection issues and are facing a team with a great rush that also shuts down the running game. Not sure if Lulay plays here or not so just a lean for now. Everyone is going to be on the Roughriders which scares me even more about the spread.
Plays:
Edmonton -8
This has rout written all over it and I'm pissed I didn't get the -7 opener, even though I doubt it will matter. Toronto has a ton of offensive injuries and they are facing a top defense on the road. Esks have an elite secondary and Toronto has trouble scoring when they can't pass since their running game is bad. Argos defense is a joke against the run and they give up huge points when teams can run well against them. Just so happens the Eskimos are running better than any team in the league. There is no way this stays close out all. 33-14 type final sounds right.
