Week 8 by Well-Seasoned

[Well-Seasoned]

ATS= 2-0 ATS (+3.0 STARS)

Teasers= 0-1 (-1.5 STARS)

TOTAL= +1.5 STARS

Best of luck.

 

[Well-Seasoned]

2 STARS---------------------OLE MISS +4.5

I'll take Ole Miss here +4.5 for 2 STARS...................

 

[Well-Seasoned]

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^writeup for above game

Ole Miss travels to LSU to play at night..............Since 1984, Ole Miss is 12-1 ATS as a Road Dog (5-8 SU) at LSU so they seem comfortable playing there over the years.............On a neutral field, I have these teams very close to even via my created power ratings...........LSU in the Conference Home Chalk role is 9-27 ATS when playing off a Home Game........As far as Ole Miss, I have them in a few situational systems here with bigger sample sizes (one is pretty unique) so that generates the 2 Star Play here..........Best of luck.

 

[Skeeter123]

WS - I like the play as well, but don't understand the line movement? Opens at -4, now -6? Something doesn't seem right. Any thoughts on the early movement?

GL

:toast:

 

[Well-Seasoned]

WS - I like the play as well, but don't understand the line movement? Opens at -4, now -6? Something doesn't seem right. Any thoughts on the early movement?

GL

:toast:

Yes............a little surprising considering some strong situationals on Ole Miss although still under 7.............Some might be thinking LSU With Revenge at Home coming off momentum-building blowout wins at Home........This is Orgeron's first real test as well and LSU has played Auburn and Wisky (and lost both)........The wins over Missouri and Southern Miss didn't really do much for me as Missouri just got blown out again and Southern Miss has lost twice this year already as Double-Digit Chalk..........And Ole Miss is the only team to hang with Alabama this year (they actually outgained Alabama in that game and put over 500 yards on that defense) so I think Ole Miss can win outright or play close here..

 

[Well-Seasoned]

2 STAR MONEYLINE PARLAY around the same odds as a regular ATS BET and the best part is all they have to do is win

Louisville
Houston
Alabama
Ohio State
Auburn

 

[Well-Seasoned]

Reason for each team in Moneyline Parlay

Louisville..............It seems like N.C.State has to be deflated after last week's game and now back on the Road again........I think Louisville gets the SU Wins

Ohio State..........Urban Legend has never lost a True Road Game while at Ohio State (20-0 I believe now).....and the Buckeyes are just one of two teams I have at a 100 or higher rating in my created power ratings system.........

Houston.........Houston is in a good situation here and should be able to win SU despite being on the Road.

Alabama.......Alabama has a 104 rating in my created power ratings system........Now time to prove it again.....

Auburn..........Auburn is in a good situational system here and the SU record is even better......The War Eagle are the toughest odds-wise, but I believe they get it done as some good situations point in their way.

Best of luck.

 

[Well-Seasoned]

^^^^^^^^^^^ this is now a 3 STAR PLAY..........................

 

[Well-Seasoned]

FINAL CARD

3 STAR MONEYLINE PARLAY

LOUISVILLE MONEYLINE
HOUSTON MONEYLINE
ALABAMA MONEYLINE
OHIO STATE MONEYLINE
AUBURN MONEYLINE

2 STARS Ole Miss +4.5

 

[indiana]

W/Sn'd...........on both with you (m/l parlay not available just yet)............BOL with your action............indy

 

[Well-Seasoned]

W/Sn'd...........on both with you (m/l parlay not available just yet)............BOL with your action............indy

Best of luck Indy.

 

[mws]

Good luck.

 

[United]

Good to see you posting again. Always enjoy your reasoning and takes on your plays.

 

[Well-Seasoned]

Good luck.

Good to see you posting again. Always enjoy your reasoning and takes on your plays.

Best of luck this week.

 

[Well-Seasoned]

WS - I like the play as well, but don't understand the line movement? Opens at -4, now -6? Something doesn't seem right. Any thoughts on the early movement?

GL

:toast:

yeah, line moved past 7..............That said, it still is the Magnolia Bowl so hopefully the Rival Road Dog shows up...........

 

[Well-Seasoned]

as far as the War Eagle...............they are in a big situational ATS as well with a big sample size..........record is even better Straight-Up in that situational so hopefully they show up along with the other teams on the ML Parlay and get the SU Win.

 

[xxthevillexx]

Good luck sir

 

[Well-Seasoned]

Good luck sir

Best of luck this weekend.

 

[Well-Seasoned]

FINAL CARD

3 STAR MONEYLINE PARLAY

LOUISVILLE MONEYLINE
HOUSTON MONEYLINE
ALABAMA MONEYLINE
OHIO STATE MONEYLINE
AUBURN MONEYLINE

2 STARS Ole Miss +4.5

..............this will be altered some now

 

[Well-Seasoned]

FINAL, FINAL CARD after making some adjustments

3.5 STAR MONEYLINE PARLAY

Louisville Moneyline
Houston Moneyline
Alabama Moneyline
Ohio State Moneyline
Auburn Moneyline................this moneyline parlay is now at 3.5 STARS..........

Ole Miss +4.5 is now at 1.5 STARS.........

Teaser added at 1 STAR

Georgia Southern -2.5
NFL Washington +10.5
NFL Tennessee +7.5