WeEK 7 upsets and picks!!!!!!!!! including large GOTW

Search

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
YTD 15-9-1 ats 100 units!!!!!!!
GOTW 3-0 ats

last week 7-3-1 ats +62 units !!!!


Going to start right off with my GOTW (Game of the week) 25 UNITS

Iam posting this today because I feel this line might go higher !!!!



Monday Night


texansb_logo.gif


broncosb_logo.gif


Texans at Broncos -7.5 line opened -6 !!!!


Taking Broncos -7.5 25 UNITS


I have many reasons why I like the Broncos and will post later this week with more information, I want to lock in this now feel the Texans are extremely overmatched going to Denver !!! I think line could move upwards but it will not go below 7 thats fact !!! if it does go to -7 I would consider playing it again thats how much I like the Broncos !!!! This potentially could be a bad blowout or shutout !!! Will explain later



cheers


tsf



more to come......




 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
Here is 2nd Pick


saintsb_logo.gif


chiefsb_logo.gif


SAINTS AT CHIEFS -7 (YOU CAN GET +7 -115 IF YOU SHOP AROUND KEY NUMBER !!)


TAKING SAINTS +7 -115 10 UNITS


Again will post later this week with more [FONT=Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]information just want to jump on the line now +7 can see this line going to -6 or -5 ??? one big reason I like the Saints is Drew Brees getting a TD !! Brees is 6-1 ATS when getting +6.5 or better on the road !!! I personally thought this line would of opened -3.5 to -4 Chiefs !! The potent Saints Offense is too lethal and you always got that possible back door with Brees !!!
[/FONT]



cheers


tsf


more to come .....
 

New member
Joined
Feb 12, 2009
Messages
1,541
Tokens
I agree revenge game for Denver. Marshall was quoted saying they want to kill Osweiler. Broncos are coming off a bad loss to the Chargers in SD. They've been a bit hot and cold but this could get them back on the right track.
 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
I agree revenge game for Denver. Marshall was quoted saying they want to kill Osweiler. Broncos are coming off a bad loss to the Chargers in SD. They've been a bit hot and cold but this could get them back on the right track.


Couldn't agree with you any more NYG the revenge factor is Huge and that doesn't go Osweilers way LOL!!!! This kid is a prick and the Broncos Defence will lay the boots to him!! I could see this game circled on the Broncos calendar in the locker room !!!! Osweiler had the balls to tell Bronco's Management he should of been the starter instead of Hall of Famer Manning ??? Broncos did the right thing in letting him go he is the texans headache now!!! Broncos will teach this kid a lesson Monday Night !!!



cheers tsf
 
Joined
Oct 7, 2008
Messages
1,156
Tokens
Yea I like Denver with 11 days of rest on this one. How do you feel about Miami vs Buffalo? I like Miami in this spot since Buffalo swept them last year and this is Buffalo's 3rd road game in 4 games.
 

Member
Joined
Dec 12, 2006
Messages
16,073
Tokens
I Like SD to cover that 6.5 against Atlanta this week.

Regarding Houston, it's wise to assume they lose because the next big game they win will be their first.
 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
Yea I like Denver with 11 days of rest on this one. How do you feel about Miami vs Buffalo? I like Miami in this spot since Buffalo swept them last year and this is Buffalo's 3rd road game in 4 games.


Saints fan I like Miami+3 and might make it a play just waiting on some more information this line won't go below 3, it might however go 3.5 which i would jump all over!!! the public are in love with the bills here are a few reasons i like the dolphins

1. that dolphin win last week was no fluke everyone said it was because Big Ben got hurt that's partly the reason but why didn't the steelers Defence step up ?? Miami's O line is getting heather C Mike Pouncy back is huge!! and they ran on the steelers for 200 plus yards with a rookie back Ajaji and they still have A.Foster who came back last week off hamstring injury but was limited with only 6 touches !!

2.That Titans game 2 back at home was a mess the dolphins team could not prepare for the game because of hurricane Matthew which I cashed in on with the titans, the dolphins minds were elsewhere they are human with friends and family that was a huge hurricane !! I know the storm passed before that Sunday but the week was a disaster to prepare for that game.

3. The Bills are riding a nice 4 game streak, but after beating the cardinals with old man QB Palmer which was a good win ill say, they beat a bradyless patriot team with a 3rd string Qb who got hurt in that game, the rams which the game was tied in the 4th quarter until QB Case Keenum threw that pick 6, and the 49ers and chip kelly's mess of a team probably worst in the league!!

4. good let down spot for the bills knowing rex ryan and his cockiness, i think they overlook this dolphin squad and get bit in the ass in this divisional game !!!!

But i'd wait maybe for +3.5..... 80 % of the money is on the Bills so far its possible Still think Id take Dolphins +3 however !!



cheers


tsf











 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
I Like SD to cover that 6.5 against Atlanta this week.

Regarding Houston, it's wise to assume they lose because the next big game they win will be their first.


Glad to hear you are on the Chargers they were almost my GOTW play but i like them as a large play +6.5 will post soon as a pick of mine !!!!


cheers


tsf
 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
More Info RE Monday Game

texansb_logo.gif


broncosb_logo.gif



Two more large factor's be it Revenge and Humilation angles !!!!

1.Coach Kubiak who is now back from his illness last week, would like to, more than anything lay the boots to the Texans a team that fired him a few years back !!!!!

2. A proud and last year's Super Bowl Champ's were embarrassed last Thursday on National T.V !!!

Broncos -7.5 LOVE THIS GAME !!! GOTW



cheers
:toast:


tsf
 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
Thursday night Game


bearsb_logo.gif


packersb_logo.gif


Bears at Packers -8

Interesting facts game opened -9 now -8 and dropping -7.5 you can still get 8 however!!!

1 Something is wrong with A rodgers no question check this decline:

2014 YPP (yards per play) 8.4 QB rating 112.2
2015 YPP
(yards per play) 6.7 QB rating 92.7
2016 YPP (yards per play) 6.5 QB rating 88.4

2. Last years excuse was no Jordy Nelson now he is back and that twosome still can't get going ??

3. Is it me or does A Rodgers look disinterested, his body language on the sideline's last week vs the Cowboys was as if he didn't believe in the play calls and I heard today through a web site that A Rodgers does not like Coach McCarthey at all infact HATES HIM!!!.... wouldn't that be something if the Bears beat Pacckers in Lambeau maybe McCarthey needs to go ?????

4. Eddy Lacy will not play Thursday and could be gone for several weeks ankle, hence they traded and signed Knile Davis in desperation from the Chiefs today !!! he has two days to get accustomed to the playbook ??? I don't think so !!!

5. Packers secondary is a mess no CB shields and are rumoured to be going after CB Joe Haden from the Browns, the Packers have lot of back up type players and rookies in the secondary, only saving grace is there supposed good run stop Defence but they didn't look that good versus mind you a superstar in the making Ekezeil Elliot !! but they now get another stud rookie RB in Howard !!!

6. Only negative is I can't trust QB Brian Hoyer!!! Yes he has looked good in replacing Jay Cutler but they are still losing games, even though QB Hoyer has racked up the big yardage game in and game out, Hoyer's problem is he can't throw the deep ball, and makes mistakes when under pressure

7 Still there are more positives than negatives in siding with the Bears +8 Packers being favoured by more than a TD seems too high ???



Taking Bears +8 (small lean) 5 UNITS
NOTE: Because I haven't been that good on thursdays games of late this is small lean... but I think bears can hang in +8 but lose the game !!!



PACKERS 24 BEARS 21


CHEERS :toast:



TSF
 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
3rd pick of my top 5 for the week !!!! LARGE PLAY


chargersb_logo.gif


falconsb_logo.gif


San Diego Chargers (+6.5) at Atlanta Falcons

All four of the Chargers losses have come in the final 2 minutes in very close games. The Chargers score a ton of points and are in every game, averaging 29 points per game, they are now facing the NFL’s top-ranked offense the Falcons that average 33 points per game with the dynamic duo of Julio Jones and Matt Ryan, which at times looked unstoppable vs a very good Seahawks secondary, my brother was at that game in Seattle and he told me that he was in awe how fast and crazy good Julio Jones is, and how he schooled CB Sherman, he made Sherman look feeble in covering him !!!.... but lets look and see who the Falcons beat at home so far, the Panthers who have not looked close to there Super Bowl appearance last year 1-5 to date, and the Bucs beat them in the home opener also a mediocre team at best !!!! The Falcons are a poor 11-14 SU and ATS at home last 25 and there wins were by an average of .5 (half) a point !!!.... Philip Rivers is 12-4 ATS when an underdog of 6.5 or more on the road just like my Saints pick with Drew Brees ATS when getting 6.5 or better!! And no one has been talking about how well LB rookie Joey Bosa has been playing !!! He has turned that defense around playing much better last 2 games !! This game could be decided by which team has the ball last, I think the Chargers luck has changed with that win vs the Broncos last week !!!! Take the very underrated 2-4 Chargers and the points !!!


TAKING CHARGERS +6.5 LARGE PLAY 15 UNITS

CHARGERS
27 FALCONS 24



CHEERS



TSF
 

Member
Joined
Nov 19, 2006
Messages
3,998
Tokens
Wow, I'm glad I wandered in here. I love CHI & DEN this wk, & seeing your angles I will definitely be putting in a play on DEN.

You've been doing great so far TSF, keep up the great work.
 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
4th pick


billsb_logo.gif

dolphinsb_logo.gif


BILLS -3 AT DOLPHINS


1. that dolphin win last week was no fluke everyone said it was because Big Ben got hurt that's partly the reason but why didn't the steelers Defence step up ?? Miami's O line is getting heather C Mike Pouncy back is huge!! and they ran on the steelers for 200 plus yards with a rookie back Ajaji and they still have A.Foster who came back last week off hamstring injury but was limited with only 6 touches !!

2.That Titans game 2 back at home was a mess the dolphins team could not prepare for the game because of hurricane Matthew which I cashed in on with the titans, the dolphins minds were elsewhere they are human with friends and family that was a huge hurricane !! I know the storm passed before that Sunday but the week was a disaster to prepare for that game.

3. The Bills are riding a nice 4 game streak, but after beating the cardinals with old man QB Palmer which was a good win ill say, they beat a bradyless patriot team with a 3rd string Qb who got hurt in that game, the rams which the game was tied in the 4th quarter until QB Case Keenum threw that pick 6, and the 49ers and chip kelly's mess of a team probably worst in the league!!

4. good let down spot for the bills knowing rex ryan and his cockiness, i think they overlook this dolphin squad and get bit in the ass in this divisional game !!!!

5. Shady McCoy got hurt in practice today no further updates, obviously its concerning to the Bills camp, WR Robert Woods was seen walking in a boot after practice these would be major blows if one or both can't play, I like the Doplhins regardless and if they both play they will be banged up !!


TAKING DOLPHINS +3 10 UNITS

DOLPHINS 20 BILLS 17


CHEERS


TSF
 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
Wow, I'm glad I wandered in here. I love CHI & DEN this wk, & seeing your angles I will definitely be putting in a play on DEN.

You've been doing great so far TSF, keep up the great work.


Much appreciated wormy here is to a profitable week cheersgif


tsf
 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
5th pick


vikingsb_logo.gif


eaglesb_logo.gif



VIKINGS -2.5 AT EAGLES


1. I don't get this line? too me the Vikings at the moment are the best team in the NFL with the Patriots not far off, ask yourself the question if the Patriots were facing the Eagles what would the line be 6 or 6.5 probably ??? The Vikings aren't a sexy team no flashy QB RB or WR, but they do have hands down the best Defense in the NFL and they are ferocious and punishing on there opponents, and all they do is WIN and more importantly cover!!!

2. they are coming off there bye well rested and don't you think QB Sam Bradford has spent endless hours with the Vikings coaches going over the playbook of the Eagles something he is very familiar with !!!

3.
The Vikings have not yet allowed an opponent to score more than 16 points in any game this season. Here is what they have done to opposing quarterbacks, and now they are facing a rookie Qb Carson Wentz !!!!



QB Comp-Att (Comp %) Yards (YPA) TD-INT Rating
Marcus Mariota 25-41 (61%) 271 (6.6) 2-1 86.5
Aaron Rodgers20-36 (55.6%) 213 (5.9) 1-1 70.7
Cam Newton21-35 (60%) 262 (7.5) 0-3 47.6
Eli Manning25-45 (55.6%) 261 (5.8) 0-1 63.3
Brock Osweiler19-42 (45.2%) 184 (4.4) 1-1 56.1
TOTAL111-200 (55.5%) 1194 (6.0) 4-7 65.3


4. The Vikings lead the league in sacks per game, they're only allowing 77.8 rushing yards per game on 3.7 yards per carry, thats miles ahead of the rest of the pack!!!!

5. Vegas set this line under 3, I think hoping to lure bettors to take the points with the Eagles, cause the Vikings have been killing them for quite some time now ATS. The line is still available at 2.5 and the sharps
haven't touched the game 85 % of the money is on the Vikings, i don't like doing it, but ill side with them as well this time !!!


TAKING VIKINGS -2.5 10 UNITS

VIKINGS 21 EAGLES 13

CHEERS


TSF
 

Your Bookies Worest Enemy
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 27, 2009
Messages
60,785
Tokens
Thursday night Game

Bears at Packers -8

Interesting facts game opened -9 now -8 and dropping -7.5 you can still get 8 however!!!

1 Something is wrong with A rodgers no question check this decline:

2014 YPP (yards per play) 8.4 QB rating 112.2
2015 YPP
(yards per play) 6.7 QB rating 92.7
2016 YPP (yards per play) 6.5 QB rating 88.4

2. Last years excuse was no Jordy Nelson now he is back and that twosome still can't get going ??

3. Is it me or does A Rodgers look disinterested, his body language on the sideline's last week vs the Cowboys was as if he didn't believe in the play calls and I heard today through a web site that A Rodgers does not like Coach McCarthey at all infact HATES HIM!!!.... wouldn't that be something if the Bears beat Pacckers in Lambeau maybe McCarthey needs to go ?????

4. Eddy Lacy will not play Thursday and could be gone for several weeks ankle, hence they traded and signed Knile Davis in desperation from the Chiefs today !!! he has two days to get accustomed to the playbook ??? I don't think so !!!

5. Packers secondary is a mess no CB shields and are rumoured to be going after CB Joe Haden from the Browns, the Packers have lot of back up type players and rookies in the secondary, only saving grace is there supposed good run stop Defence but they didn't look that good versus mind you a superstar in the making Ekezeil Elliot !! but they now get another stud rookie RB in Howard !!!

6. Only negative is I can't trust QB Brian Hoyer!!! Yes he has looked good in replacing Jay Cutler but they are still losing games, even though QB Hoyer has racked up the big yardage game in and game out, Hoyer's problem is he can't throw the deep ball, and makes mistakes when under pressure

7 Still there are more positives than negatives in siding with the Bears +8 Packers being favoured by more than a TD seems too high ???

Taking Bears +8 (small lean) 5 UNITS

NOTE: Because I haven't been that good on thursdays games of late this is small lean... but I think bears can hang in +8 but lose the game !!!

PACKERS 24 BEARS 21

CHEERS :toast:


Good luck tonight
 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
ytd 15-9-1 ats 100 units!!!!!!!
gotw 3-0 ats

last week 7-3-1 ats +62 units !!!!


going to start right off with my gotw (game of the week) 25 units

iam posting this today because i feel this line might go higher !!!!



monday night


texansb_logo.gif


broncosb_logo.gif


texans at broncos -7.5 line opened -6 !!!!


taking broncos -7.5 25 units


i have many reasons why i like the broncos and will post later this week with more information, i want to lock in this now feel the texans are extremely overmatched going to denver !!! I think line could move upwards but it will not go below 7 thats fact !!! If it does go to -7 i would consider playing it again thats how much i like the broncos !!!! This potentially could be a bad blowout or shutout !!! Will explain later



cheers


tsf



more to come......






well i was right the line has moved by a full point -8 and -8.5 and as high as -9 at some places, i hope some of you guys locked in at -7.5 !!!


Cheers



tsf
 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
890
Tokens
thursday night game


bearsb_logo.gif


packersb_logo.gif


bears at packers -8

interesting facts game opened -9 now -8 and dropping -7.5 you can still get 8 however!!!

1 something is wrong with a rodgers no question check this decline:

2014 ypp (yards per play) 8.4 qb rating 112.2
2015 ypp
(yards per play) 6.7 qb rating 92.7
2016 ypp (yards per play) 6.5 qb rating 88.4

2. Last years excuse was no jordy nelson now he is back and that twosome still can't get going ??

3. Is it me or does a rodgers look disinterested, his body language on the sideline's last week vs the cowboys was as if he didn't believe in the play calls and i heard today through a web site that a rodgers does not like coach mccarthey at all infact hates him!!!.... Wouldn't that be something if the bears beat pacckers in lambeau maybe mccarthey needs to go ?????

4. Eddy lacy will not play thursday and could be gone for several weeks ankle, hence they traded and signed knile davis in desperation from the chiefs today !!! He has two days to get accustomed to the playbook ??? I don't think so !!!

5. Packers secondary is a mess no cb shields and are rumoured to be going after cb joe haden from the browns, the packers have lot of back up type players and rookies in the secondary, only saving grace is there supposed good run stop defence but they didn't look that good versus mind you a superstar in the making ekezeil elliot !! But they now get another stud rookie rb in howard !!!

6. Only negative is i can't trust qb brian hoyer!!! Yes he has looked good in replacing jay cutler but they are still losing games, even though qb hoyer has racked up the big yardage game in and game out, hoyer's problem is he can't throw the deep ball, and makes mistakes when under pressure

7 still there are more positives than negatives in siding with the bears +8 packers being favoured by more than a td seems too high ???



taking bears +8 (small lean) 5 units
note: Because i haven't been that good on thursdays games of late this is small lean... But i think bears can hang in +8 but lose the game !!!



packers 24 bears 21


cheers :toast:



Tsf


well my fate was sealed with the bears covering when hoyer went down with a broken arm, i turned off the tv when barkley came in he is hands down the worst backup in the nfl !!!! Jay cutler better get back in, or bears will lose outright rest of the year !!!!!!
As i said been dreadfull on thursdays i dont know why ?? Small lean or not its a loss..... On to sunday !!!


Cheers


tsf
 

Member
Joined
Jun 14, 2006
Messages
53,744
Tokens
S/caster..........nicely done YTD...........good looking card.............great write up and thought pattern..........good luck this week............indy
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,986
Messages
13,575,780
Members
100,889
Latest member
junkerb
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com