Jags +4 (You can get 5.5) & under 42
The Bills are frustrated after losing two of their top players last week. Sammy Watkins is wearing a boot and Kyle Williams didn't make the trip. Kyle Williams is Buffalos top defensive lineman. Buffalo got zero pressure on Dalton last week. It's not gonna help that their offense is anemic. The jaguars proved last week that their secondary is burnable by top tier wide receivers like Deandre Hopkins, but luckily Buffalo will have no such weapon to rely on. Percy Harvin is hurt and things don't look great for Watkins. Buffalo will need to win on the ground in London. Otherwise they will be relying on Robert Woods and Chris Hogan as their receivers. The Jaguars are the 14th ranked rush defense. They also recently returned two huge pieces of their defense last week in Posluszny and Sen'Derrick Marks. Marks looked extremely impressive last week and will be a handful for this buffalo offense. The Jags were ranked fifth in the NFL through week 4 but dropped to 14th after giving up 183 yds on the ground to the bucs with Posluszny on the bench. I expect a reversion back to the mean. It's not a good matchup for Buffalo's offense. I do think both defenses will have their way, but I think Jacksonville will have an easier time scoring. Other small factors include Buffalo is in London now. Distracted, on vacation, trying to prepare for a football game. This is Buffalos first go around with NFL international league. Jags have been twice before and the NFL wants to move jags to London. Problem is jags have never won in London. Jags plan on keeping week normal and flying out on Friday. They've done the week in London but felt it added more distraction then just being there. Buffalos coaching staff now play for the Jags. The Jags also have a ton of exbills on the team. Just something to think about. Jags win. Take the under. Good luck!
The Bills are frustrated after losing two of their top players last week. Sammy Watkins is wearing a boot and Kyle Williams didn't make the trip. Kyle Williams is Buffalos top defensive lineman. Buffalo got zero pressure on Dalton last week. It's not gonna help that their offense is anemic. The jaguars proved last week that their secondary is burnable by top tier wide receivers like Deandre Hopkins, but luckily Buffalo will have no such weapon to rely on. Percy Harvin is hurt and things don't look great for Watkins. Buffalo will need to win on the ground in London. Otherwise they will be relying on Robert Woods and Chris Hogan as their receivers. The Jaguars are the 14th ranked rush defense. They also recently returned two huge pieces of their defense last week in Posluszny and Sen'Derrick Marks. Marks looked extremely impressive last week and will be a handful for this buffalo offense. The Jags were ranked fifth in the NFL through week 4 but dropped to 14th after giving up 183 yds on the ground to the bucs with Posluszny on the bench. I expect a reversion back to the mean. It's not a good matchup for Buffalo's offense. I do think both defenses will have their way, but I think Jacksonville will have an easier time scoring. Other small factors include Buffalo is in London now. Distracted, on vacation, trying to prepare for a football game. This is Buffalos first go around with NFL international league. Jags have been twice before and the NFL wants to move jags to London. Problem is jags have never won in London. Jags plan on keeping week normal and flying out on Friday. They've done the week in London but felt it added more distraction then just being there. Buffalos coaching staff now play for the Jags. The Jags also have a ton of exbills on the team. Just something to think about. Jags win. Take the under. Good luck!
Redskins -3 -125
Doug Martin carried Tampa Bay vs the Jags. Winston only threw 19 passes and was an effective game manager in a home game where he was asked to do very little. Winston has yet to throw more then 1 td pass in his two road games this year. In houston, his team lost to a Ryan mallett led Texans team with no Arian Foster. Tampa Bay gave up 140 yds to Alfred Blue on the ground. Yeah they held a Yeldon less jags team to under 60 yds rushing, but Matt Jones and Alfred Morris will run wild on this defense. I expect Washington to shut down the run, forcing rookie Winston to beat them through the air. I expect 10 or less points from the bucs. Washington 24-10. In addition to me thinking that Washington will run wild, I also think Cousins will have a field day with Jordan Reed returning and bucs having the worst secondary. Not only do I think Cousins doesn't turn the ball over, but he will actually have a good game and balance out the attack. This is the same Washington team that beat the Eagles at home and almost won a huge road game in Atlanta after dominating the game and losing on a pick 6 in ot. They caught the Jets coming out of a bye and playing very well at home after playing a tough road game. I won't fault them for that. This game is too easy, put the house on it.
Doug Martin carried Tampa Bay vs the Jags. Winston only threw 19 passes and was an effective game manager in a home game where he was asked to do very little. Winston has yet to throw more then 1 td pass in his two road games this year. In houston, his team lost to a Ryan mallett led Texans team with no Arian Foster. Tampa Bay gave up 140 yds to Alfred Blue on the ground. Yeah they held a Yeldon less jags team to under 60 yds rushing, but Matt Jones and Alfred Morris will run wild on this defense. I expect Washington to shut down the run, forcing rookie Winston to beat them through the air. I expect 10 or less points from the bucs. Washington 24-10. In addition to me thinking that Washington will run wild, I also think Cousins will have a field day with Jordan Reed returning and bucs having the worst secondary. Not only do I think Cousins doesn't turn the ball over, but he will actually have a good game and balance out the attack. This is the same Washington team that beat the Eagles at home and almost won a huge road game in Atlanta after dominating the game and losing on a pick 6 in ot. They caught the Jets coming out of a bye and playing very well at home after playing a tough road game. I won't fault them for that. This game is too easy, put the house on it.
Eagles +3
I have to be honest. I thought the panthers would be favored by more. It was only after my research did I realize why Vegas was disrespecting the panthers at home in an apparent revenge game against the eagles. I mean Carolina is undefeated and just beat Seattle at home. No wonder everyone likes Carolina. Despite Newton somehow sneaking into the MVP conversation he ranks 22nd in passer rating, 29th in yds per game, and second to last in comp pctg. Those type of numbers might not be enough against the number 2 turnover defense in the league. The panthers still haven't beaten a team over 500 and have arguably the easiest schedule in the NFL. The teams that Carolina have beaten have a combined 9-20 record. Fraud! There I said it. Carolinas defense has been fantastic against the run but have a pair of suspect cover safeties in Roman Harper and Kurt Coleman. I sure hope Riley Cooper plays as he has developed as a situational deep threat and is tied for seventh in the league with catches of 40 plus yds. In 2013 Cooper finished sixth in the league on these types of catches so not unprecedented. He is 6-4 230lbs. But the other major contributor is defenses have been showing 60-40 zone early this year, but have moved to playing more then 50% man against our offense to stop the quick underneath pass. Carolina will not be able to run against this eagles defense which will quickly make them regret losing Benjamin this year since Maxwell won't worry about Ginn after covering Odell Beckham last week. I don't see a lot or any success from Carolina. I think Malcolm Jenkins and Mychael Kendricks, and Hicks will be able to handle Olsen. This eagles defense has swag. They'll need it for this away win. I and Vegas think this happens. Went large.
I have to be honest. I thought the panthers would be favored by more. It was only after my research did I realize why Vegas was disrespecting the panthers at home in an apparent revenge game against the eagles. I mean Carolina is undefeated and just beat Seattle at home. No wonder everyone likes Carolina. Despite Newton somehow sneaking into the MVP conversation he ranks 22nd in passer rating, 29th in yds per game, and second to last in comp pctg. Those type of numbers might not be enough against the number 2 turnover defense in the league. The panthers still haven't beaten a team over 500 and have arguably the easiest schedule in the NFL. The teams that Carolina have beaten have a combined 9-20 record. Fraud! There I said it. Carolinas defense has been fantastic against the run but have a pair of suspect cover safeties in Roman Harper and Kurt Coleman. I sure hope Riley Cooper plays as he has developed as a situational deep threat and is tied for seventh in the league with catches of 40 plus yds. In 2013 Cooper finished sixth in the league on these types of catches so not unprecedented. He is 6-4 230lbs. But the other major contributor is defenses have been showing 60-40 zone early this year, but have moved to playing more then 50% man against our offense to stop the quick underneath pass. Carolina will not be able to run against this eagles defense which will quickly make them regret losing Benjamin this year since Maxwell won't worry about Ginn after covering Odell Beckham last week. I don't see a lot or any success from Carolina. I think Malcolm Jenkins and Mychael Kendricks, and Hicks will be able to handle Olsen. This eagles defense has swag. They'll need it for this away win. I and Vegas think this happens. Went large.
