2* Ole Miss +12.5 It's mid-season and these two teams are still a question mark for me. We can excuse Missouri's loss to Wyoming as being their 1st game and on the road. We can excuse Ole Miss' loss to Alabama because, well, it's Alabama. Ole Miss lost their receiving corp to graduation, and so far, only one new guy has stepped up. But, their running game has been very good, and I expect they'll play both QBs Saturday. Even though Plumlee is getting all the press, Matt Corral has played well for a redshirt freshman. Ole Miss has definitely improved defensively, although they are not in Missouri's league. Missouri lost their star defensive player to injury, Cale Garrett. He is their D leader, a playmaker, and soul of the defense. Combine that with Kelly Bryant being at 90% due to a knee bruise, and a decent but not great running game, Ole Miss can hang in there. Missouri's defensive stats, like many NCAAF stats after only 5-6 games, can be inflated(or deflated). They haven't played an offense better than South Carolina, with their backup QBs. Ole Miss HC, Matt Luke, has made some impressive hires as assistants, and his team is playing more disciplined than in the Hugh Freeze era. Upset? Not likely, but maybe a tight finish.
.6* SD State -4 Wyoming had a miracle win to start the season vs. Missouri, but overall, they have played some s**t defenses. SD State has got a terrific one, and they will be tough at home. I also not huge fan of Wyoming QB Sean Chambers. Looks like a poor man's Nick Fitzgerald, but makes more mistakes, and pads his stats vs. aforementioned bad Ds. SD State runs a pretty conservative offense, but I think it's a bit underrated. QB Agnew is a senior, and though he's no great passer, he is smart and poised.
.5 Washington -6 This small play might be a big mistake. Got a feeling the Arizona defense gives up a bunch of points, and UW finds a way to limit Khalil Tate. Arizona HC, Kevin Sumlin, will find a way to disappoint.
.5 Coastal Carolina -4 CCU might be the most overlooked Sun Belt team, but they are decent on both sides of the ball. At home vs. a dreadful Ga. State defense, I like their chances to further their bowl dreams.
.4 Iowa +3.5 Iowa and PSU have very strong Ds, but Iowa is at home, and has played the tougher schedule. Penn State will lose eventually.
.3 Texas A&M +17 Alabama defense is not quite the same, and A&M scores enough to stay within the number.
.4 Tennessee +6 Freshman QB, Mauer, looked pretty good last week vs. Georgia. Really can place the ball well. Don't think the MSU QB Shrader can do much in the passing game- especially on the road. Vols are desperate for a win.
.3 Nevada -2.5 After embarrassing loss to Hawaii, and a bye week, they have to be ready for redemption vs. a mediocre opponent. This team beat Purdue.
.5 Washington -6 This small play might be a big mistake. Got a feeling the Arizona defense gives up a bunch of points, and UW finds a way to limit Khalil Tate. Arizona HC, Kevin Sumlin, will find a way to disappoint.
.5 Coastal Carolina -4 CCU might be the most overlooked Sun Belt team, but they are decent on both sides of the ball. At home vs. a dreadful Ga. State defense, I like their chances to further their bowl dreams.
.4 Iowa +3.5 Iowa and PSU have very strong Ds, but Iowa is at home, and has played the tougher schedule. Penn State will lose eventually.
.3 Texas A&M +17 Alabama defense is not quite the same, and A&M scores enough to stay within the number.
.4 Tennessee +6 Freshman QB, Mauer, looked pretty good last week vs. Georgia. Really can place the ball well. Don't think the MSU QB Shrader can do much in the passing game- especially on the road. Vols are desperate for a win.
.3 Nevada -2.5 After embarrassing loss to Hawaii, and a bye week, they have to be ready for redemption vs. a mediocre opponent. This team beat Purdue.
o fred....................... SDSU vs Wyoming Game
I was very happy to see you on SDSU it added a lot of confidence to my play. I got them very early in the week at -3.5
I could not agree more with your write-up on this game. Wyoming sitting at 4-1 with a surprising win over Missouri is a team that is nowhere as good as their 4-1 record.
They have a very weak passing game sitting at #128 FBS in passing and their Quarterback Chambers is completing only 38% of his passes, that’s right 38%….Their #1 WR has only 125 yards on the season and none of the other WR’s has more than 10 catches on the year. “GO FIGURE”.
When I saw the total opening at 38 and now it’s at 40 (5 dimes) in a COLLEGE game …………..that tells me what the book thinks’.
I don’t believe that Wyoming with such a weak passing game can run on this SDSU defense. I feel that’s SDSU’s defense will show up and show out tonight. If I go down in flames tonight on this game I won’t feel as bad as I have on other games I have capped because I feel good about what I have read and saw about these two teams.
That’s why I made this my big play of the day. GLTU tonight.
I was very happy to see you on SDSU it added a lot of confidence to my play. I got them very early in the week at -3.5
I could not agree more with your write-up on this game. Wyoming sitting at 4-1 with a surprising win over Missouri is a team that is nowhere as good as their 4-1 record.
They have a very weak passing game sitting at #128 FBS in passing and their Quarterback Chambers is completing only 38% of his passes, that’s right 38%….Their #1 WR has only 125 yards on the season and none of the other WR’s has more than 10 catches on the year. “GO FIGURE”.
When I saw the total opening at 38 and now it’s at 40 (5 dimes) in a COLLEGE game …………..that tells me what the book thinks’.
I don’t believe that Wyoming with such a weak passing game can run on this SDSU defense. I feel that’s SDSU’s defense will show up and show out tonight. If I go down in flames tonight on this game I won’t feel as bad as I have on other games I have capped because I feel good about what I have read and saw about these two teams.
That’s why I made this my big play of the day. GLTU tonight.
Wyoming has always had issues drawing talent to Laramie, and if you've seen Laramie, you'd know why. I do like their coach, but every year they have an away game or two where they get exposed. Let's hope it's this one. Thought seriously about upping that one, and still might.
Without Hurts' turnovers this score could be 20-10 or 24-10. Feeling lucky so far.
Spoke too soon, 17-10.
Well.....I got paid on a nice middle. Had LSU -13 and Florida at 14.5. Got lucky as hell, because I was hoping for LSU going off at less than 10......but apparently the action just never came in on UF.
