Week 5 Writeups and Picks by Well-Seasoned

[Well-Seasoned]

Combined College and NFL

3.5 Stars or Higher= 0-0 ATS

3 Stars= 0-0 ATS

2.5 Stars= 0-0 ATS

2 Stars= 0-0 ATS

1.5 Star Teasers= +1.5 Stars

1 Star= 0-1 ATS -1.1 Stars)

Parlays ML/ATS = -1.9 Stars

Total= -1.5 Stars

Winning week last week after hitting the most risked on the card which was a teaser................Best of luck.

 

[Well-Seasoned]

Moneyline Parlay..........Risking 1.8 Stars to win 1.9 Stars

Penn State Moneyline

Notre Dame Moneyline

UAB Moneyline

Georgia Moneyline

Louisville Moneyline

 

[Well-Seasoned]

comments on each

Penn State Moneyline co-toughest leg odds-wise........First time in a long time I remember putting Penn State on a ticket somewhere........They are 7-1 Straight-Up against Northwestern plus they got a great coach in Franklin (as Vandy has fallen off the map since he left)...Furthermore, Northwestern has lost as Home Chalk to California and Northern Illinois already and last week they won against Western Illinois, but were still outgained by 100 yards........I'll take Penn State to at least get the Straight-Up Win here...

Notre Dame Moneylineco-toughest leg odds-wise...........This game will be on a neutral field, but I like the Fighting Irish to get the Straight-Up Win.......Brian Kelly is a great coach so the extra time to prepare only helps in my mind and I like Notre Dame here especially with Everett Golson back doing what he does best (leading the Fighting Irish to wins and then more wins as he was the QB when they made it all the way to the title game........I'll take the Irish here.........

Georgia Moneyline............I'll take the Georgia Bulldogs here for the Straight-Up Win as amazingly the Vegas Line was an exact match to my own objective computer power ratings so the line is where it should be as it only proves Vegas has Georgia ranked as high as I do.........It also doesn't hurt that Georgia qualifies in a situational that is 26-1 Straight-Up where the favorite wins by 20PPG on average.............

Louisville Moneyline............I'll take Louisville here against Wake ...........Bobby Petrino should be able to at least get the Straight-Up win you would think....I actually have Louisville favored by more than the line as the Virginia game was a trap game for them based on strong situationals favoring the Cavs that game weeks ago.

UAB Moneyline ..................I like UAB here to at least get the Straight-Up Win as they come off the BYE and they already blew out Troy who I have Florida International as the close to a same rating with plus the Blazers closer than expected game to Mississippi State looks even better now......I'll take UAB to at least get the Straight-Up Win.

 

[tsm123]

Penn State -10
notre dame -11'
georgia -17'
Louisville -21
uab -11'

and you're playing a ML parlay?

Sharp handicapping!

 

[Well-Seasoned]

Penn State -10
notre dame -11'
georgia -17'
Louisville -21
uab -11'

and you're playing a ML parlay?

Sharp handicapping!

A parlay requires you to hit all legs on the ticket and this is at +105 ODDS which is tougher than the normal -110 odds of a regular ATS play.......Not really sure what you are trying to say. If you like all 5 ATS that is up to you decide....If you dislike all 5 ATS then go against it and I'll actually be rooting for ya as long as my team at least wins SU

 

[Well-Seasoned]

Moneyline Parlay..........Risking 1.8 Stars to win 1.9 Stars

Penn State Moneyline

Notre Dame Moneyline

UAB Moneyline

Georgia Moneyline

Louisville Moneyline

This will be my only play for the week ...........Still haven't made my 2 Star-4 Star Play ATS yet, but then again it isn't October yet so there is no need to force the action until things line up more on several fronts which would increase the probability of those type of plays appearing............Best of luck.

 

[Well-Seasoned]

http://youtu.be/IH30cSo1l7o

Story on Everett Golson................Much respect to him for not transferring like many would have in his situation.......Hopefully, I can get to his game as he is the last leg on the parlay (co-toughest leg odds-wise)

 

[Well-Seasoned]

[B]added a small parlay at 0.1 Stars to win 0.5 Stars just for the heck of it based off previous bigger play

Penn State -6.5 (bought points)

Notre Dame -6.5 (bought points)[

Georgia -9.5 (bought points)

UAB -9.5 (bought points)

Louisville -16.5 (bought points)/B]


It should be noted that Teasers and Parlays will be combined in the next record update and will only include + or - Stars and not a record since obviously there are some parlays that I have played with a lot tougher odds (like the above) which is obviously why there is more return for less risk..........Best of luck

 

[Well-Seasoned]

Lost the minor moneyline parlay, but I'm more than happy with some side plays (felt great to pop some dogs together on same ticket plus it switched up my thinking going into October).........Obviously, I won't count nonposted on my record, but my account is happy and so am I.....In my defense I did give a minor clue on post #5 what I might add on the side LOL.........

Still haven't made a 2 Star Play Posted On Here......or a 3 Star or a 4 Star for that matter...........So I'm more than happy the way things are going after that (account is top priority, never posting on RX in time)...All I can say is Thank You GOD for those dogs together on same ticket.