WEEK 5 upsets and picks!!!!!!!!!

[thesportsforecaster]

Last week 3-2 ats + 18 units



TEXANS (3-1) at VIKINGS (4-0) - 6.5

Viking’s 17-3 against the spread run is unreal, but they are due for a let down!!! They showcased there new stadium now twice once in prime time and have beat a rival packers team, and the defending NFC champion panthers, and also have their bye next week, i see a let down versus a good AFC texans team!!!! Texans have better weapons in there offense especially at the receiving position with fuller and hopkins !!! this will be a low scoring game a td cover seems too high in my opinion !!!!

VIKINGS 20 TEXANS 17

TEXANS +6.5 10 units



BEARS (1-3) at COLTS (1-3) - 4.5


How can the colts be laying 4.5 here ??? this game stood out to me, 3 was the line i was thinking and i still like the bears even at that number, 4.5 is a gift !!! Indy's offensive line that can’t protect Andrew Luck period !!! there defense are allowing 30 points per game and no running game to help andrew luck whatsoever, Luck is no question an elite QB and this clown show colts brass are going to ruin this super talent !!! the 1-3 Lions only win this year was in Indy, and the colts lost to a horrible jags team in London, there only win this year was a last minute td versus another bad team in the chargers!!! the Bears three losses have come against three winning teams that are a combined 9-2 this year that was before the bears got its first victory last week over lions that beat the colts !!!

BEARS 27 COLTS 24

BEARS +4.5 10 units


EAGLES (3-0) - 3 at LIONS (1-3)

Lions beat Philly in Detroit last Thanksgiving, 45-14. This is a completely different squad with a smart Qb in rookie wentz and are very well coached. I like the Eagles having extra days coming off the bye, especially with key offensive pieces in RB Ryan Mathews and TE Zach Ertz returning!!!! Matt Stafford will get his late garbage points!! but he has no running game and the defense is terrible!!! could get ugly for the lions in the matchup !!!



EAGLES 30 LIONS 21

EAGLES -3 10 UNITS


BENGALS -1 (2-2) at COWBOYS (3-1)

Cincy have an elite defense and having LB Vontaze Burfict back only makes them even better!!!! Bengals have had 10 days to prepare for this matchup!!!! the Cowboys wins have come against Redskins, Bears and 49ers while losing opener to the Giants!!! rookie QB Dak Prescott hasn't faced a defense like this yet and he still hasn't dez bryant back... RB elliot will have a tough time versus this bengals stout run defense !!!!! Ill take bengals -1 all day on the road i will play it now but i believe this line might go up too a pick or +1 as late cowboy money might push this line if so ill play it again !!!!


BENGALS 24 COWBOYS 17

BENGALS -1 10 UNITS


GIANTS (2-2) at PACKERS - 7.5 (2-1)

Eli Manning has the weapons to compete with anyone!!! and with the Packers best defender, CB Sam Shields, on the shelf, Manning to Beckham, Cruz, and Shepard could post problems for the 29th-ranked pass defense!!!!!! the Packers have allowed passers to expose their secondary while QB Aaron Rodgers has yet to get on track with his receivers, the pasing game is just averaging just 200 yards per game so far . Eli Manning has played the packers tough winning the last 3 games vs the pack SU!!!!!!!


PACKERS 31 GIANTS 28

GIANTS +7.5 10 UNITS




RECAP
TEXANS +6.5
BEARS +4.5
EAGLES -3
BENGALS -1
GIANTS +7.5


CHEERS


TSF :toast:

 

[bobbyjones2]

best of luck brother..tread lightly on texans..watched every snap of every play..they are not a good team, even by todays nfl standard..that o line will have a hell of a time sunday

love the giants play...

 

[thesportsforecaster]

best of luck brother..tread lightly on texans..watched every snap of every play..they are not a good team, even by todays nfl standard..that o line will have a hell of a time sunday

love the giants play...

thanks bobby perhaps i overstated the texans as being a good team since so far in the NFL there are so many bad teams!! i just think texans maybe should be described as above average and not good lol!!! i still like them in this spot to cover either which way good luck sunday

cheers

tsf

 

[thesportsforecaster]

Adding a few more I've had some time today capped some more games



CHARGERS (1-3) AT OAKLAND (3-1) -3.5

Chargers have won 6 of there last 9 versus there divisional rival Raiders and Rivers is 14-6 versus the Raiders, the Chargers are averaging 30 points per game and the raiders are giving up a whopping 460 yards a game !!!!!! the chargers could of been sitting at 4-0 if it weren't for there late game collapses !!! the hook is the key here !!!

CHARGERS 35 RAIDERS 28

CHARGERS +3.5 10 UNITS




REDSKINS (2-2) at RAVENS (3-1) -3.5

NFL’s closest neighbors have stadiums only 30 miles apart, but Redskins are making the bus ride for first time since 2008, this is technically a home game for the skins !!! Kirk Cousins is 4-0 SU last 4 on the road with 10 td's and 1 INT!!! The ravens have won there first 3 games by a combined 13 points !!!! last week the ravens lost to a team with a winning record the raiders !!! I don't get all the love for the ravens ????


REDSKINS 30 RAVENS 27

REDSKINS +3.5 10 UNITS




BILLS (2-2) at RAMS (3-1)

BILLS (2-2) at RAMS (3-1) -1.5


Rams have won three games in a row, while Bills have won two in a row — and impressively, over Arizona and New England. The bills get back 2 time pro bowler DT Marcell Darius from a 4 game suspension could be pivotal !! line opened at 2.5 rams and today has dropped so the sharps are hitting the bills get the 1.5 now this game will be pk or -1 bills at kickoff !!!!!


BILLS 20 RAMS 17

BILLS +1.5 10 UNITS


HAVE 2 MORE GAMES WILL POST SHORTLY


CHEERS


TSF

 

[thesportsforecaster]

one more and its actually my biggest play of the week



TITANS (1-3) at DOLPHINS (1-3) -3.5



I have a lot to like the Titans in this spot versus the Dolphins

1. Two different 1-3 teams the Titans beat Detroit on the road but lost to Vikings 4-0 Raiders 3-1 and Texans 3-1 all by 9 points or less

2. The Dolphins have just one cover in previous eight at home, and the fish have just two covers in past 10 when giving away any points!!!!!

3. Titans have faced much tougher defences but still rank 3rd in yards per carry on the back of demarco murray behind their no 1 ranked Offensive Line and the Dolphins 29th ranked run Defence

4. Dolphins rank 23rd in yards against per passing attempt Titans Offense should be able to move the ball vs the dolphins

5. This is a revenge game for the Titans they got shellacked by the Dolphins last year 38-10 plus Marcus Mariotta suffered a knee injury in that game from a cheap shot !!!

6 This game is huge for Titans as they could turn their season around with a win here they go home for 3 straight winnable games vs the Browns (0-4) Jaguars (1-3) and Colts (1-3) they could be 4-3 big difference on season !!!!

GOTW

TITANS 24 DOLPHINS 21

TITANS +3.5 25 UNITS



CHEERS



TSF:toast:

 

[uscmd]

TSF.......like most of the picks.

Really like Tenn. Big revenge factor.

Two, I disagree strongly on.....Minn will stomp Hou. Team has fought through too much (losing starting qb and hof rb) to let down. And Oak too young to be impacted by 3 of L10 type stats. More importantly, SD has several key cluster injuries.......important positions where top of depth chart is decimated.

Thank you for you work........always enjoy the write ups.

BOL.

 

[powerz]

GL SF....

Hard to imagine the Texans scoring 17 points on the Vikes...

Looks like Diggs will be out Bradford will be wide eyed all day looking for an open receiver.

 

[thesportsforecaster]

TSF.......like most of the picks.

Really like Tenn. Big revenge factor.

Two, I disagree strongly on.....Minn will stomp Hou. Team has fought through too much (losing starting qb and hof rb) to let down. And Oak too young to be impacted by 3 of L10 type stats. More importantly, SD has several key cluster injuries.......important positions where top of depth chart is decimated.

Thank you for you work........always enjoy the write ups.

BOL.

uscmd the doctor !!!!!!! I have cashed in all 4 weeks on the viking's and i have been riding them hard cashing in on the spreads you can look back on my posts I am a true believer in elite defences that the vikings have, but in my past experiences and I have been betting the NFL for a lot of years I dont get stuck on emotions in following team's perceptions that they can win every game week in and week out !!! i have noticed that especially underdogs like the viking's thru week 1 thru week 3 except last week at home, this viking team has endured major blows at key positions i.e. QB bridgewater and RB peterson the public now have woke up and are now riding the viking bandwagon this is when vegas and books will catch you with your pants down especially with a line of 6.5 under that TD mark, Hey i could be wrong but generally hot teams heading into a bye with so far nothing gone wrong, things tend to go wrong especially with a QB like Sam Bradford and a make shift running game, look what happened to the patriots last week which i got caught up myself in !!! a 3-0 pat team without tom brady was unheard at the beginning of the year yet the line was under that td mark and the public hammered the patriots and got shutout in boston !!! hey guys i could be totally wrong, handicapping points to the vikings to cover with there stellar Defence but i am banking on a Let down and a potential upset ????? This is truly gut feeling from past experiences either way good luck this sunday as always !!!!!!



cheers



tsf:toast:

 

[thesportsforecaster]

GL SF....

Hard to imagine the Texans scoring 17 points on the Vikes...

Looks like Diggs will be out Bradford will be wide eyed all day looking for an open receiver.

love hearing from you powerz its been a while i am hoping from some classic sam bradford INT's LOL !!!!!!! we will see what happens I love this Viking team no question !!! not sold on there Offense quite yet !!!!!! only hunch on let down !!!!!



cheers



tsf :toast:

 

[TomandJerry]

best of luck TSF

 

[thesportsforecaster]

RECAP


TEXANS +6.5 LINE HASNT MOVED CURRENT 6.5
BEARS +4.5 LINE AT SOME BOOKS 5 MOSTLY 4.5
EAGLES -3 LINE 3.5 NOW EVERYWHERE HAPPY WITH -3 SO FAR
BENGALS -1 LINE -2 SOME BOOKS -2.5 ??? THOUGHT COWBOY MONEY WOULD TAKE THE OTHER WAY... VERY HAPPY WITH -1 HOWEVER !!
GIANTS +7.5 LINE -7 EVERYWHERE THE HOOK WAS KEY DONT THINK YOU WILL GET 7.5 NOW LINE WILL SIT AT 7 MAYBE ??? 6.5 TOMMOROW
CHARGERS +3.5 LINE HASNT MOVED
REDSKINS +3.5 LINE HAS MOVE TO 4 SHARP MONEY ON RAVENS ????
BILLS +1.5 LINE HAS MOVED BIG TIME AS I EXPECTED NOW PK TO -1 TO - 1.5 BILLS VERY HAPPY WITH MY +1.5!!!!!!!!
TITANS +3.5 LINE IS -3 EVERYWHERE !!! THE HOOK IS GONE I SEE THIS LINE MAYBE GOING TO 2.5 TOMMOROW I LOVE MY HOOK TITANS WIN OUTRIGHT !!!!!!



CHEERS


TSF :toast:

 

[bradyisgod]

Best of luck.

I'll agree with the guy above. Tread lightly on the Texans right now. We saw their first road game against the Patriots. Playing on the road is a different animal altogether and as of right now the Texans do not do that well. That is a big red flag for me when they are on the road, especially against a vikings team that has a brand new stadium they are performing well in. I really hope you're right that the Texans can keep it close (or upset) because I'm in Houston. As of right now Brock has a pick problem and until he gets more experience under his belt and figured out how to not turn the ball over, the Texans will struggle against teams who take advantage of it (teams with good defenses, i.e. vikings). Missing a full health Watt is a huge loss for our team since teams have to plan their entire offensive scheme around him which creates openings for our other defensive players to have breakout games (see Whitney Mecilus, Clowney). Without him we are a shade of our former selves on defense. Also lose a lot of leadership on D. The Texans have a new, young offense that still needs to develop more experience facing good teams.

I like all of your other picks. I really hope I'm wrong and that the Texans can pull the upset or at least keep it close. Cheers.

 

[XSPower]

Thanks and good luck my friend

 

[thesportsforecaster]

Thanks and good luck my friend

nice hearing from you XS hopefully i will be eating one of your stacks burgers by days end !!!!!!


cheers


tsf:toast:

 

[thesportsforecaster]

5-4 ATS + 21 UNITS
YTD 7-6 +38 UNITS
GOTW YTD 2-0 ATS

RECAP
TEXANS +6.5 LOSS 11UNITS
BEARS +4.5 LOSS 11 UNITS
EAGLES -3 LOSS 11 UNITS
BENGALS -1 LOSS 11 UNITS
GIANTS +7.5 WIN 10 UNITS
CHARGERS +3.5 WIN 10 UNITS
REDSKINS +3.5 WIN 10 UNITS
BILLS +1.5 WIN 10 UNITS
TITANS +3.5 WIN 25 UNITS



CHEERS :toast:



TSF SEE U NEXT WEEK