8-2 last week; 16-11 year to date
After 4 weeks the NFL is averaging 37.6 points per game. There was 38.6 PPG scored in week 4; a full point higher than the 2004 average, but still about 3 PPG lower than the historical average. The mean is also falling on 38 PPG, so it's a good average with about 50% of the games above 38 and 50% below.
Given that the SB winners over the last 5 years have been strong defensively, and adequate offensively, while the strong offenses have ultimately failed, could it be a focus on defense while offense gets "just don't make mistakes" status?
Or is it parity?
Or is it a combination of the two?
Across the league, each team might be one or the other, or a combination of the two, so it might pay to see where a team sits in this spectrum, and wager accordingly.
My Early wagers:
Clev +6
GMen +3.5
Hous +5
Indy -8.5 (buy down)
TB +3.5
Buf +7
all of the dogs in a ML parlay - $19 nets $3400.
All of the dogs in a 6 point teaser - 1/2 unit at 7 to 1
I'll be back with late plays.
After 4 weeks the NFL is averaging 37.6 points per game. There was 38.6 PPG scored in week 4; a full point higher than the 2004 average, but still about 3 PPG lower than the historical average. The mean is also falling on 38 PPG, so it's a good average with about 50% of the games above 38 and 50% below.
Given that the SB winners over the last 5 years have been strong defensively, and adequate offensively, while the strong offenses have ultimately failed, could it be a focus on defense while offense gets "just don't make mistakes" status?
Or is it parity?
Or is it a combination of the two?
Across the league, each team might be one or the other, or a combination of the two, so it might pay to see where a team sits in this spectrum, and wager accordingly.
My Early wagers:
Clev +6
GMen +3.5
Hous +5
Indy -8.5 (buy down)
TB +3.5
Buf +7
all of the dogs in a ML parlay - $19 nets $3400.
All of the dogs in a 6 point teaser - 1/2 unit at 7 to 1
I'll be back with late plays.
