Week 5 .... here we go

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Saturday ... 1-2 Fri

$5 Ore St + 2.5 ...now favored


$10 Cin + 1 .... wagered on 9/24 ...line now Cin - 3 ( your call )

$10 WF - 7

$10 Ucla ML - 165

$10 Minn + 2.5 .....may cancel

$10 U 25.5 1st H Ark / Ga

$10 GT + 5 - 135


$15 AF - 10 - 125


Updated

added $10 Over 65 - 130 Mar / Mid .... Mid Tn St throws 59% of the time / Marshall throws 54% of the time ....both Defenses ...imo ... suck


The Marshall Thundering Herd play at one of the fastest paces in the country. Their offense is putting up 40.3 points and 552.0 yards per game this season. They are averaging 75 plays per game. The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are coming off a 39-42 loss to Charlotte in a game that saw 81 combined points, so they won't mind getting up and down the field with the Thundering Herd in this one. Marshall is 17-4 OVER in its last 21 games after gaining 525 YPG or more in 3 straight games.

Saturday

$5 Ore St + 2.5 ...now favored


$10 Cin + 1 .... wagered on 9/24 ...line now Cin - 3 ( your call )

$10 WF - 7

$10 Ucla ML - 165

$10 Minn + 2.5 .....may cancel

$10 U 25.5 1st H Ark / Ga

$10 GT + 5 - 135

$10 Over 65 - 130 Mar / Mid


$15 AF - 10 - 125

 

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The Arkansas Razorbacks have really impressed me so far this year. Arkansas is a really well coached team. Sam Pittman is easy to root for. Pittman has Arkansas running the football extremely well and playing solid defense.
The problem with Arkansas being so reliant on the run is in this matchup they are up against a Georgia defensive line that is probably the best in the country. Georgia's backups on the defensive line are better than the vast majority of teams starters. They are deep and tremendous at stuffing the run. Can Arkansas run some here? They can probably run some, but I don't think it will be big plays and they are unlikely to consistently have success.

Georgia's offense ranks 107th in pace of play. The Bulldogs move very deliberately and that keeps the clock ticking when they are running the football. I think they'll be playing from the lead and they will likely be happy to move even more slowly later in the game.

These are two teams who are excellent at preventing big plays. Without explosive plays and with a game played at a slow tempo.
 

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$7 Under 24.5 1st H Cin / Nd

Updated Plays ........ which are leans up until kickoff ....when they become plays ...


Saturday

$5 Ore St + 2.5 ...now favored


$7 Under 24.5 1st H Cin / Nd



$10 Cin + 1 .... wagered on 9/24 ...line now Cin - 3 ( your call )

$10 WF - 7

$10 Ucla ML - 165

$10 Minn + 2.5 .....may cancel

$10 U 25.5 1st H Ark / Ga

$10 GT + 5 - 135

$10 Over 65 - 130 Mar / Mid


$15 AF - 10 - 125

 

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Minny outgained BG by 1.0 YPP but three turnovers and veteran QB Morgan’s worst game of his career (5 completions) led to the loss. The Minnesota defense has been outstanding holding their last 2 opponents to 1.4 YPP (Colorado) and 3.1 YPP (BG). Purdue’s offense has been struggling mightily averaging just 4.4 YPP and 4.1 YPP their last 2 games so they’ll have problems moving the ball vs the Gophers. Last week Purdue had problems at home putting away Illinois scoring a late TD to win 13-9. The Boilers barely had 300 total yards vs an Illini defense that was allowing 481 YPG entering last week’s game. Minnesota should control the trenches here as they are averaging 210 YPG rushing while allowing only 77. Purdue rushing attack is poor averaging just 93 YPG so they won’t run against this front. It also looks like the Boilermakers will be without their top WR again this week (Bell who has 2,000 career yards receiving) which really affects their passing game. Purdue has covered just 2 of their last 11 as a home favorite dating back to 2019 and we like Minnesota to win this game outright.
 

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I wouldn’t put too much stock in the fact that EMU got its first cover of the season last week. This is a team that is 3-1 SU in 2021 and going back a bit, has won five of their last six overall. As last season progressed, the Eagles got better. Their offense is led by ex-Wisconsin commit, Ben Bryant. This quarterback is a stud, donning a 65% completion rate, with four TD’s and zero INT’s. This unit makes very few, if any mistakes. He is joined in the backfield by two solid ball-carriers in Jawon Hamilton and Darius Boon Jr. The pair have combined for nearly 500 yards rushing and six TD’s. Throw in the mix, short-yardage running back, Samson Evans, who has six TD’s on the ground, and this offense is going to shred the Huskies 122nd ranked defense. Not only will they cut through the NIU “D” like a hot knife through butter, but they will do it with confidence, knowing the Huskies haven’t had a single takeaway this season. Here’s some against the spread numbers for you: The Eagles are 7-2-1 the last 10 meetings in this series, 23-8 the last 31 on the road, and 25-10 the last 35 as an underdog.


Added Plays

$10 Over 30 TT EM

$15 EM + 2 - 130

Updated Plays



Saturday

$5 Ore St + 2.5 ...now favored


$7 Under 24.5 1st H Cin / Nd



$10 Over 30 TT EM

$10 Cin + 1 .... wagered on 9/24 ...line now Cin - 3 ( your call )

$10 WF - 7

$10 Ucla ML - 165

$10 Minn + 2.5 .....may cancel

$10 U 25.5 1st H Ark / Ga

$10 GT + 5 - 135

$10 Over 65 - 130 Mar / Mid


$15 EM + 2 - 130

$15 AF - 10 - 125

 

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TCU has covered the spread in six of the Horned Frogs’ last seven meetings with Texas.

Public all over Texas ...... I'm on Tcu here ...likely a play soon



Central Michigan is 6-1 against the spread in conference road games the last two seasons.



Cincinnati has covered the spread in six of the Bearcats’ last seven road games.



Arkansas is 11-3 against the spread, including 9-3 as an underdog, under coach Sam Pittman.




App State is 4-10 against the spread as a favorite under coach Shawn Clark.




New Mexico is 2-14 against the spread in the Lobos’ last 16 home games.....plus likely missing some players / covid




UCLA has covered the spread vs Arizona State in all three meetings with Chip Kelly at the helm.
 

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K/Boom......appreciate the updates buddy.....BOL today.......

how is Ms. Daisy doing.....have a great day.......indy
 

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K/Boom......appreciate the updates buddy.....BOL today.......

how is Ms. Daisy doing.....have a great day.......indy


LOL ... Thx Indy ...BOL ....Miss Daisy is doing well ...thx for asking !
 

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Clemson have gone UNDER 11 straight games as a home favorite coming off a road game where they scored less than their team total.



The last 4 times the #Irish have been underdogs, since 2014, they have not only covered the game but won all 4 OUTRIGHT.

3/4 went Under
 

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$10 Over 17.5 TT La Tech .... with Kendall running the offense ...and NC ST in a letdown spot .... I like it

$10 Over 13 TT NM ST ..... they should be able to put up 2 TD'S here


Saturday

$5 Ore St + 2.5 ...now favored


$7 Under 24.5 1st H Cin / Nd


$10 Over 17.5 TT La Tech

$10 Over 13 TT NM ST

$10 Over 30 TT EM

$10 Cin + 1 .... wagered on 9/24 ...line now Cin - 3 ( your call )

$10 WF - 7

$10 Ucla ML - 165

$10 Minn + 2.5

$10 U 25.5 1st H Ark / Ga

$10 GT + 5 - 135

$10 Over 65 - 130 Mar / Mid


$15 EM + 2 - 130

$15 AF - 10 - 125

 

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Saturday .... results ... so- so ... live $25 Over 55 Osu / Rut ... after I seen 7-0 1st few minutes

2-4 start ...counting EM as both losses TT and Ats ...Have Under ND 1st H

like move to 3-4 so far ......... doing well on live ones ...

$5 Ore St + 2.5 ...now favored


$7 Under 24.5 1st H Cin / Nd


$10 Over 17.5 TT La Tech

$10 Over 13 TT NM ST

$10 Over 30 TT EM ......Lost

$10 Cin + 1 ....

$10 WF - 7 ................... Lost

$10 Ucla ML - 165

$10 Minn + 2.5 ..............................Winner

$10 U 25.5 1st H Ark / Ga ...............Winner

$10 GT + 5 - 135 ...........Lost

$10 Over 65 - 130 Mar / Mid


$15 EM + 2 - 130...............Lost

$15 AF - 10 - 125

 

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Saturday .... results ... so- so ... live $25 Over 55 Osu / Rut ... after I seen 7-0 1st few minutes

2-4 start ...counting EM as both losses TT and Ats ...Have Under ND 1st H

like move to 3-4 so far ......... doing well on live ones ...

$5 Ore St + 2.5 ...now favored


$7 Under 24.5 1st H Cin / Nd


$10 Over 17.5 TT La Tech

$10 Over 13 TT NM ST

$10 Over 30 TT EM ......Lost

$10 Cin + 1 ....

$10 WF - 7 ................... Lost

$10 Ucla ML - 165

$10 Minn + 2.5 ..............................Winner

$10 U 25.5 1st H Ark / Ga ...............Winner

$10 GT + 5 - 135 ...........Lost

$10 Over 65 - 130 Mar / Mid


$15 EM + 2 - 130...............Lost

$15 AF - 10 - 125


what is the final score of EMICH game ?
 

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Saturday .... results ... so- so ... live $25 Over 55 Osu / Rut ... after I seen 7-0 1st few minutes

2-4 start ...counting EM as both losses TT and Ats ...Have Under ND 1st H

like move to 3-4 so far ......... doing well on live ones ...

$5 Ore St + 2.5 ...now favored


$7 Under 24.5 1st H Cin / Nd


$10 Over 17.5 TT La Tech

$10 Over 13 TT NM ST

$10 Over 30 TT EM ......Lost

$10 Cin + 1 ....

$10 WF - 7 ................... Lost

$10 Ucla ML - 165

$10 Minn + 2.5 ..............................Winner

$10 U 25.5 1st H Ark / Ga ...............Winner

$10 GT + 5 - 135 ...........Lost

$10 Over 65 - 130 Mar / Mid


$15 EM + 2 - 130...............Lost

$15 AF - 10 - 125



6-5 so far .... Pending ...Ore St + 2.5 / Ucla ML / Over 13 TT NM ST ......... Hit 3 Parlays equalling $104 ... few more parlays pending

Good day !


$5 Ore St + 2.5 ...now favored


$7 Under 24.5 1st H Cin / Nd ................Winner


$10 Over 17.5 TT La Tech.................Winner

$10 Over 13 TT NM ST

$10 Over 30 TT EM ......Lost

$10 Cin + 1 ....................Winner

$10 WF - 7 ................... Lost

$10 Ucla ML - 165

$10 Minn + 2.5 ..............................Winner

$10 U 25.5 1st H Ark / Ga ...............Winner

$10 GT + 5 - 135 ...........Lost

$10 Over 65 - 130 Mar / Mid..............Lost


$15 EM + 2 - 130...............Lost

$15 AF - 10 - 125.................Winner

Posted on Twitter

$15 Tcu + 7.5 - 165
 

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6-5 so far .... Pending ...Ore St + 2.5 / Ucla ML / Over 13 TT NM ST ......... Hit 3 Parlays equalling $104 ... few more parlays pending

Good day !


$5 Ore St + 2.5 ...now favored


$7 Under 24.5 1st H Cin / Nd ................Winner


$10 Over 17.5 TT La Tech.................Winner

$10 Over 13 TT NM ST

$10 Over 30 TT EM ......Lost

$10 Cin + 1 ....................Winner

$10 WF - 7 ................... Lost

$10 Ucla ML - 165

$10 Minn + 2.5 ..............................Winner

$10 U 25.5 1st H Ark / Ga ...............Winner

$10 GT + 5 - 135 ...........Lost

$10 Over 65 - 130 Mar / Mid..............Lost


$15 EM + 2 - 130...............Lost

$15 AF - 10 - 125.................Winner

Posted on Twitter

$15 Tcu + 7.5 - 165

$10 Over 13 TT NM ST..........Winner 1st H
 

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8-6 posted ... 4-0 live plays ...hit a few parlays ...

good day !
 

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Bama ...yet another home cover ...... I posted this on the forum

10/23 vs TennALABAMA IS 7-0 ATS (L2Y) AT HOME IN ALL GAMES vs Div 1 Opponents Only …. 2-0 Ats in 2021


Duke 11 Straight Unders ..... I posted this on the forum

10/2 at NC DUKE IS 11-0 UNDER (L10G) VS. AP TOP 25…...... 2021 Under 1-0


Next Poss Duke game vs Top 25 ... at WF ( if WF is ranked at that time on 10/30 )



This posted one got shelled

10/2 at Ucla
ARIZONA ST IS 1-8-1 ATS (L10G) ON ROAD VS. HIGHER-RANKED TEAM
 

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