Week 4

[Kaboom]

Rec 18-10

Changes can happen before kickoff

Amazing how quickly these weeks go ....

James Madison ....

Won at Virginia on the road ....late comeback

then they win at Troy by 2 points .... another tight game but won as a dog

this week they play their 3rd straight road game at Utah St and the very 1st Trip on West since joining the FBS

Hope wagering on this game early does not hurt...

Play

$15 Utah St + 6.5

 

[Kaboom]

Wagered this one last night

Colorado

Won at TCU as a 20 pt dog

Won at Home vs Neb

Won at Home ...OT vs Colo St

Now go on the road vs the Beavers at Oregon

Play

$10 Oregon - 16.5

 

[VegasKnows]

Good Luck Boom. I hit Oregon -17.5 this morning. Already at -19.5. Moving fast!

 

[Kaboom]

Good Luck Boom. I hit Oregon -17.5 this morning. Already at -19.5. Moving fast!

Sanders doing a great job with the Buffs .... but this spot is not good for the them ...imo ...BOL brotha

 

[one51rum]

went with james madison-5 1st line i got was 5.5 i bought the half, utah st been struggling, its a smaller wager only because 3rd road game, but they have been winning, already bet Texas st-16, Ole Miss+7, Fla st ML-125, over 63 smu/tcu, over 61 ga st/coastal, and really like utah-5 at home vs ucla, huge revenge game for utah, and at home they are very tuff, Rising returns this week gl

 

[Kaboom]

S Fla played Bama super tough ..... may be in a letdown spot here vs Owls ?

lean Rice ML

I feel OK ST is not that good ty ... barely beating a brutal AZ ST by 12 at their place this year

but they trailed in that game ....and lost by 26 to S Ala at OK St ...

now I'm sure people will say ....they were looking ahead .... but what if they just suck ty ?

Lean Iowa St ML - 157

Mich blew out Rutgers by 35 pts last yr in NJ

likely a bit overconfident in this one ...

Play

$7 Rutgers + 26 - 130

Houston off a home loss to Tcu 13-36 ....will look to bounce back this week vs Sam Hou St ...

or will they ?

Houston is at Texas Tech next week

so ....off the loss .... is this game vs Sam Hou St considered a Sandwich game

or will Holgersen have his troops ready after getting smoked ??

Houston since 2022 ..... 0-6 Ats as Home Fav

Sam Hou St has ZERO offense 1st few games ...but they are off a bye

in which that horrid O can improve , maybe ?????

I still will take the shot on the dog here

Play

$10 Sam Hou St + 13.5 -115 at BetRivers

 

[Kaboom]

Big Loss for Colorado

wrong week facing Oregon

Colorado WR Travis Hunter: Expected to be out 3 weeks


Lead Receiver for Iowa / 10 rec / 131 yds

Iowa TE Luke Lachey: Injury called fairly significant


Play

$7 Iowa / Penn St Under 21.5 1st H

 

[fishmustdie]

It's the Oregon Ducks not the Oregon St Beavers. Good luck on your plays!

 

[Kaboom]

Rec 18-10

Changes can happen before kickoff

Amazing how quickly these weeks go ....

James Madison ....

Won at Virginia on the road ....late comeback

then they win at Troy by 2 points .... another tight game but won as a dog

this week they play their 3rd straight road game at Utah St and the very 1st Trip on West since joining the FBS

Hope wagering on this game early does not hurt...

Play

$15 Utah St + 6.5

Decided to stay away from this game

UTAH STATE +6.5−110
Spread
CASHED OUT
Wager: $15.00Paid: $13.54

 

[Kaboom]

Going to add

$15 SC - 5 - 140

Feel Miss St is just flat out bad ty ...imo

 

[Kaboom]

Big Loss for Colorado

wrong week facing Oregon

Colorado WR Travis Hunter: Expected to be out 3 weeks


Lead Receiver for Iowa / 10 rec / 131 yds

Iowa TE Luke Lachey: Injury called fairly significant


Play

$7 Iowa / Penn St Under 21.5 1st H

Bought Out ....

$7 Iowa / Penn St Under 21.5 1st H

now

$10 Iowa / Penn St U 23 1st H

Injury Update Iowa

Lost top WR and 3rd lead RB

 

[Kaboom]

Ucf at K St

Line opened ...K St - 7 to now - 5

Ucf starts backup McClain who looked sharp vs an FCS school .....now gets his chance vs the Big Boys

If McClain's performance vs Villanova caused the line to drop then that ...imo is laughable ...

The team speed defensively will be a huge step up ... at K ST ....imo

McClain while with a brutal S Fla team last year ..... had zero wins on the road

his ONE Win at Home vs FBS was vs Temple where his team rushed for 445 Yds

he went 15/21 for 105 yds .... K ST run D should be better than Temple's

if he beats me here .... tip the cap and move on

$15 K St ML - 200

also using K ST ML in a few parlays too


Iowa St ...off the road loss to Ohio

9-0 ATS off SU Loss vs <.900 opp off SU Loss ( Ok St loss at home 7-33 vs S Ala )

Play

$15 Iowa St ML - 157 / now - 175


CFB Rec 18-10

Changes can happen here up until Kickoff ...not that anyone tails a player who wager $5 to $25 ...LOL ...but all good

$7 Rice ML - 135

$7 Rutgers + 26 / now + 24

$10 Sam Hou St + 13.5 / now + 12.5

$10 Iowa / Penn St Under 23 -145 1st H

$10 Ore - 16.5 / now - 21 ..... hope getting it early pays off ?

$15 Smu Over 28.5 TT .... this new qb can wing it ... hoping for a letdown spot here from Tcu after

road win vs Houston last week ?

$15 Iowa St ML - 157 / now - 175

$15 K ST ML - 200


Lean ... which I may add as a play?

Ga St ... 5-0 Ats 2nd of BB RG'S

Ga St 6-0 Ats off DD SU Win vs >.333 opp

Lean Ga St + 7

 

[Kaboom]

Looking for some help here

If time ...which many of us don't have ..... need to find the games that qualify ????????

Many thx ....if poss.....anyone

The following betting algorithm has earned a highly profitable 41-6 straight-up (SU) record and 35-11-1 ATS for 76% winning bets since 2019 and has not lost money in any of the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet on:

· Home teams

· Home team has seen their last three games play Over the total by 21 or more points.

· Home team has won at least 80% of their games.

· The Guest has a winning record

If both teams have won at least 80% of their games, the home team has posted a 17-3 SU mark for 85% winners and 14-6 ATS for 70% cashed tickets since 2019. If both teams enter the showdown with perfect records, the home team has gone 7-2 SU and ATS for 78% winning tickets.

 

[VegasKnows]

I assume the above is; Home team has seen their last 3 overs greater than +21 AND
Home team has won 80% AND
Guest has winning record.
AND, do both teams have to be FBS? Would assume.

Hard to find anything that fits all that.

 

[Kaboom]

I assume the above is; Home team has seen their last 3 overs greater than +21 AND
Home team has won 80% AND
Guest has winning record.
AND, do both teams have to be FBS? Would assume.

Hard to find anything that fits all that.

VK ... thx for at least your reply bro .... was unsure the breakdown would be a difficult one to locate ?

Thank you though

 

[VegasKnows]

The closest team right now that would fit the three Overs by 21+ is Texas State. 3-0, with last three Overs by 26.5, 33, and 11.5. The Mean Green are 1-2 and they play 2-1 Abilene Christian at home.

Easy to find the 3 Overs right now as most teams have only played 3 games. Looking at TeamRankings "College Football Over/Under trends" go to the the right column +/-. Look for Over +21. https://www.teamrankings.com/ncf/trends/ou_trends/

 

[VegasKnows]

The 80% requirement is very hard right now. A team could be 3-1 and that is 75%. Have to be undefeated.

And three +21 Overs in a row. That is in a row, right? Last three in a row or last three home games Over +21????

Interesting stat!

 

[Kaboom]

For a $10 Play ...why not ??

U Mass won at New Mexico St 41-30

New Mexico St won at New Mexico 27-17 ( Rivalry Game )

now New Mexico travels to the East off that home loss

New Mexico as a Road Dog last 2 Years

2021 ....1-4 Ats

2022 ...1-5 Ats

U Mass as Home Fav ( RARE ) ... 1-0 Ats in 2022 .... have solid return production ranked # 15 in Nation in Return Production

Play

$10 U Mass ML - 160

 

[Kaboom]

The closest team right now that would fit the three Overs by 21+ is Texas State. 3-0, with last three Overs by 26.5, 33, and 11.5. The Mean Green are 1-2 and they play 2-1 Abilene Christian at home.

Easy to find the 3 Overs right now as most teams have only played 3 games. Looking at TeamRankings "College Football Over/Under trends" go to the the right column +/-. Look for Over +21. https://www.teamrankings.com/ncf/trends/ou_trends/

solid work bro ...thx

 

[indiana]

K. Boom....thank you for the updated info buddy.......
appreciate the thoughts and info....indy