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Week 4 Picks (3-2 YTD, 3-0 ATS last week)
- Thread starter GoForIt
- Start date
The first game I like i involves an ACC-Big East Matchup. Here I like the home team. This team happens to be
N.C. State and they are playing Pittsburgh. First, N.C. State is in a home momentum system and the last time this system popped it involved Texas Tech against Texas and the Michael Crabtree play. However, that is just one reason. What sticks out to me is their QB Russell Wilson. Obviously, he had a rought start in his first game against South Carolina, but since then he has thrown 8 TDS and 0 INTS against softer competition and I think this makes him more confident. Remember last year he had an insane 17 TD to 1 INT ratio. I think this is trouble for a Pittsburgh team that was outstatted by Buffalo 500-381 despite winning 54-27. Basically, Pitt benefited from alot of turnovers in that game. What is more alarming is that the Panthers gave up 433 yards through the air. Furthermore, Buffalo is an underdog to Temple which is a team that lost to a Division I-AA. On top of that the N.C. State defense has been tremendous even though it is against softer foes. Giving up 168 yards per game after three weeks is impressive no matter who you are playing. N.C. State lost their last big home game against South Carolina, but I think they get it done here.
TAKE N.C.STATE -1
N.C. State and they are playing Pittsburgh. First, N.C. State is in a home momentum system and the last time this system popped it involved Texas Tech against Texas and the Michael Crabtree play. However, that is just one reason. What sticks out to me is their QB Russell Wilson. Obviously, he had a rought start in his first game against South Carolina, but since then he has thrown 8 TDS and 0 INTS against softer competition and I think this makes him more confident. Remember last year he had an insane 17 TD to 1 INT ratio. I think this is trouble for a Pittsburgh team that was outstatted by Buffalo 500-381 despite winning 54-27. Basically, Pitt benefited from alot of turnovers in that game. What is more alarming is that the Panthers gave up 433 yards through the air. Furthermore, Buffalo is an underdog to Temple which is a team that lost to a Division I-AA. On top of that the N.C. State defense has been tremendous even though it is against softer foes. Giving up 168 yards per game after three weeks is impressive no matter who you are playing. N.C. State lost their last big home game against South Carolina, but I think they get it done here.
TAKE N.C.STATE -1
It should also be noted that South Carolina has put 37 and 38 points after scoring only 7 against N.C. State and has gained nearly 950 yards (475 YPG) in 2 games after 250 against the Wolfpack. This tells me the Wolfpack defense is at minimum somewhat legit. On the other side of the ball if Buffalo can throw on Pitt then Russell Wilson can too.
:cripwalk:1 C-Walk for N.C.State and 1-0 for the day, 4-0 here the last two weeks and now 4-2 YTD after an 0-2 start, As you can see I"m not a big fan of vig so I'm probably more selective than some, what is the difference between 1-0 and 2-1? ONLY THE V. I. G., However, historically I play lighter in September and try to tread some water until my big stable of situationals and some other numbers kick in. Furthermore, I can get a better read on the teams by October. BOL to all. My goal is 50% or higher for September and right now I"m at 66% so I'll take it despite the small sample size after starting 0-2 and now at 4-2.
