Week 4: Follow Up?

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Fred, thanks for all you do. I always look for your threads when making my picks to make sure we're on the same boat. Care to share your thoughts on UCLA Stanford? My initial lean here is Stanford and the over since both teams are putting up 30+ points a game and Stanford does well as a home dog. Would love your insight!
 

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I had UCLA on my early card because I still think Stanford is down this year, even though they upset USC. But UCLA is so inconsistent, and Stanford is at home, I dropped it. If UCLA QB DRT has a good game, they cover, but with him, you never know.
 

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its never the right play if it loses.

there is no right side and wrong side... there is a winning side and a losing side

best of luck with the rest of your plays
 
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its never the right play if it loses.

there is no right side and wrong side... there is a winning side and a losing side

best of luck with the rest of your plays

Horrific take so stay out of the thread. Any Pro will tell u it's better to be lucky then any other trait on a bet
 

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no...

what makes the right side the right side? There is no "right side" to a bet.

There are bad beats... sometimes you are on the right Side of those.. sometimes you are on the wrong side. But there is no such thing as a right side.. there is a winning side only
 

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To rephrase it, it was a bad beat with some bad luck. Well analyzed, poor result. That happens and things even out in the end. I got a little lucky with Miss. State getting the push..
 

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its never the right play if it loses.

there is no right side and wrong side... there is a winning side and a losing side

best of luck with the rest of your plays


Not true. If they replay that game 100 times it goes under more often than not. So, he made the right call.it just happened to be one of those days it didn't win
Kind o of like counting cards. If you can you are giving yourself an advantage but doesn't guarantee you win every hand but you will win in the long run because you are playing the odds
 

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If they replay it 100 times who says it plays out like that. Maybe both QBs get hot. Maybe Ross goes off. Maybe there are 4 defensive touchdowns.

Just because the ending was unfortunate doesn't mean if it plays out 100 times it plays out the exact same way without the ending
 

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If they replay it 100 times who says it plays out like that. Maybe both QBs get hot. Maybe Ross goes off. Maybe there are 4 defensive touchdowns.

Just because the ending was unfortunate doesn't mean if it plays out 100 times it plays out the exact same way without the ending


With a fluke ending like that I think it is fair to say that doesn't happen. We can only base the game being played over and over on what we saw. And if that is the case it was a fluke and the fluke doesn't likely play out again
Either way shitty way to lose
On to the next
 

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Wisc/ND was just a bad beat. You can't cap or call that. Fred, you are one of the best cappers on here. Keep doing what you do.
 

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maybe the entire game was a fluke? We saw 1 game out of 100. Its not "fair" to say they would all play out that way, or even half of them would.

You mentioned blackjack- your reasoning behind you can only base the game on what you saw- I watch one hand on blackjack and expect all the hands to go that way? No, each hand is different, as each "new game" would be played differently.

In the NFL teams division teams play 2 times a season. Its for sure not uncommon to see one game low scoring and the next high scoring. College teams have re-matched in championship games more than once and not always played out the same way in game 2. LSU beats Alabama on the road, then loses the national championship by 22 points.

No its certainly not "fair" to say they'd all play out that way.

Having a lead for a bet 55 minute of a 60 minute game doesn't make it the right side.

thats why there is never a right or wrong side.. there is a winning side

Much respect to Fred for retracting the statement, as he did get lucky on the MSU game and we ALL do, and you'll be on both sides of that in your gambling lifetime

However we do agree, shitty way to lose.
 

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In the long run, these things even out. If you watched the actual games, ND-Wisconsin, and NC State and Clemson, you would see how scoring was at a premium. Lots of great defense. It was a good bet, bad result. What are the odds of a kickoff return and two picks sixes in the 4th quarter? Very long odds. Clemson-NC State 28 points after regulation. This right and wrong side stuff is semantics. You win or lose. I don't regret either play.
 

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