Probably not, but let's get back to that later. After watching the Auburn/ K-ST. game last night, I am awestruck(although I shouldn't be) by just how much difference the home field is worth in college ball. At times, you could see Auburn's dominance. But Auburn WRs dropped many passes, including a couple of long ones…K. St. couldn't run much, but Waters came through to keep his team in the game…K. State could have won the game if their FG kicker wasn't so bad. Anyways, I think if this game was at Auburn, it would have been a fairly easy win for the Tigers. K. St. meanwhile looked very ordinary on the road vs. Iowa St. It's almost like a 10-14 point swing between being at home or on the road.
Saw the same thing when UTSA played Arizona. Or BC @ home vs. USC. It just seems like some home underdogs play way beyond their level while the away team looks a little flat. Not always, as evidenced by how Vandy has been playing. But it seems that if the home underdog has a semblance of an offensive game, which Vandy doesn't, they have a decent chance of winning or covering. Even though K. St. barely covered with a backdoor, they played above their norm, Auburn at about 70% of their norm- and I can see why so many were all over the Wildcats.
Terrible week last week, but what was I thinking taking UCLA and Georgia on the road? If Hundley had played the whole game, UCLA might have covered, but really his backup was decent.
YTD: 16-17, -8.20 units
Washington St. +23.5(-105) 4 units. WSU is not playing this game to keep it close, they really expect an upset. That won't likely happen since they won't be able to hold back the Duck offense, and Halliday will throw an inopportune pick if the game is close, but I think the Ducks have problems. They have lost their top 3 OTs, and a 4 OT backup. They now start a walk on and a true freshman at OT, and I think Helfrich is very concerned about his depth on the OL. He just wants a win here and hopefully get one of his starters back for Arizona and UCLA. The Ducks were underrated last year as a defense, but this year they are giving up long sustained drives and too much yardage. Both Wyoming and MSU were fairly successful driving the ball on them. If the Cougs can score on some of their drives, which I think they can, or at least eat up clock, Oregon won't get as many possessions. With the OT injuries, I also think Oregon will simplify their offense a bit, while WSU schemes defensively on how to capitalize on the inexperienced new guys.
Oregon has not had the DL push of the previous 2 years, and the secondary is not as good in coverage. They have yet to play a dynamic offense and I think WSU will be a challenge and something much different than what they've defended so far this year. Overall, I just think Oregon might have the best QB in the country, but don't look as complete as a team. New WRs, 3 new DBs, a somewhat weaker defense, and now OL issues- which started the year as a major strength. The Cougars are in for another mediocre season, but are at home here. And though they can't match Oregon for speed, they are athletically and size-wise not too far apart.
Saw the same thing when UTSA played Arizona. Or BC @ home vs. USC. It just seems like some home underdogs play way beyond their level while the away team looks a little flat. Not always, as evidenced by how Vandy has been playing. But it seems that if the home underdog has a semblance of an offensive game, which Vandy doesn't, they have a decent chance of winning or covering. Even though K. St. barely covered with a backdoor, they played above their norm, Auburn at about 70% of their norm- and I can see why so many were all over the Wildcats.
Terrible week last week, but what was I thinking taking UCLA and Georgia on the road? If Hundley had played the whole game, UCLA might have covered, but really his backup was decent.
YTD: 16-17, -8.20 units
Washington St. +23.5(-105) 4 units. WSU is not playing this game to keep it close, they really expect an upset. That won't likely happen since they won't be able to hold back the Duck offense, and Halliday will throw an inopportune pick if the game is close, but I think the Ducks have problems. They have lost their top 3 OTs, and a 4 OT backup. They now start a walk on and a true freshman at OT, and I think Helfrich is very concerned about his depth on the OL. He just wants a win here and hopefully get one of his starters back for Arizona and UCLA. The Ducks were underrated last year as a defense, but this year they are giving up long sustained drives and too much yardage. Both Wyoming and MSU were fairly successful driving the ball on them. If the Cougs can score on some of their drives, which I think they can, or at least eat up clock, Oregon won't get as many possessions. With the OT injuries, I also think Oregon will simplify their offense a bit, while WSU schemes defensively on how to capitalize on the inexperienced new guys.
Oregon has not had the DL push of the previous 2 years, and the secondary is not as good in coverage. They have yet to play a dynamic offense and I think WSU will be a challenge and something much different than what they've defended so far this year. Overall, I just think Oregon might have the best QB in the country, but don't look as complete as a team. New WRs, 3 new DBs, a somewhat weaker defense, and now OL issues- which started the year as a major strength. The Cougars are in for another mediocre season, but are at home here. And though they can't match Oregon for speed, they are athletically and size-wise not too far apart.
