Week 4: Damn Bye Weeks

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YTD: 15-9 +3.65 units

I hate the bye weeks. The probability of winning is reduced with the fewer choices. Still I like these 4 plays quite a bit. My internet connection may drop at any time so excuse any intervals between posts. Also excuse the short write ups( or none).
 

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Oakland +4 (-110) 3 units.
Philadelphia +4.5 (-115) 3 units
Atlanta -3 (-130) 3 units
KC +3 (even) One unit.
 

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Parity and the long grueling season. These remain large in my capping games which leads me to:

Oakland is on a long losing streak going back to last year. Playing out of the country is just what they need to shake off the black cloud over their heads. The Raiders suck as Woodson said, but they often compete as they did in week 1 and 3. If they let Carr run the no huddle from the start it might also be invigorate the offense. Tannehill I struggling and I'm thinking this is a must win for Miami, which away from home doesn't mean a thing. Oakland will win this, not needing the points.
 

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The 49ers are not the same this year and they should be worried about more than their 1-2 record. I'm not sure Harbaugh is all in. they have been out scored 38-3 in the 2nd halves of their last 2 games. Unbelievable and proof that their defense is no longer elite. Poor run game. If not for Romo's implosion in game 1, they could be 1-2 with a close win in game 1. (The Cowboys were SO bad that day) The Eagles have their own defensive issues, but offensively they will be a problem for SF, and force the SF offense to keep up- and take some risks they don't normally take. The Eagles can look like crap at times, but at other times they are almost unstoppable.
 

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Good write up on Oak and particularly on the Eagles. Any write up on the other 2? Thanks!
 

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Where was I? Atlanta. A rare occurrence but right now they might be a scoring freak show. Only the Bengals at home was able to slow them down. Bridgewater might play well, the Vikings might score some, but I really think at this point of the season, the Vikes D cannot slow the Falcons O and special teams and a renewed confidence even with their D. Matt Ryan is just ON. The home underdog bettors always keep these type of bets at a sane number and it's no different here. I think the sharps and squares are both all over this, and it will take a Bridgewater miracle to pull out a win. Possible, not probable.

Minnesota has OL issues coupled with the loss of their game breaking runner. As for Bridgewater, I don't think he's ready. Built his stats in a weak conference, but has a late delivery, a somewhat weak arm, and his accuracy is questionable. Their defense isn't too bad, but right now injuries make it more vulnerable. A large of my play says the Falcons won't be out scored, and they could win a blowout, but I can't see a Viking blowout.
 

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The Chiefs: This team is showing improvement week by week, beginning with the 2nd half in Denver. They get Jamaal Charles back, and really with a mobile QB like Smith, they have a nice diversified offense. Every team, every fan base gets up to beat the Patriots, so there's extra motivation there. The Patriots are no longer considered the "smart" franchise. Since they block so poorly, which shows why the Mankind trade was premature(dumb now, maybe necessary down the road)- they diminish the one great aspect of their team- the Brady passing show. Brady is a bit less mobile in the pocket and now looks pressured too often. The Patriots have also not drafted very well, though they've had plenty of choices, and we'll likely see them miss the playoffs this year or get barely in.
 

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Good luck o fred , have a great day.
 

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