Week 3 Stinkers

Michelangelo · Sep 22, 2009

Wk 1 // 3-2
Wk 2 // 6-4

Starting here:

NYJ -? (vs Ten)
Hou -? (vs Jax)
GBy -? (@ St L)

All three above apply.

Teams who start their seasons 0-2 SU, have at least one ATS cover, and are dogs in their third game, are 2-14 ATS in that third game over the last 10 years.

Holding on the lines as all seem to be moving in my favor.

More coming.

Jetplane · Sep 22, 2009

Hmmm, interesting. I'm liking NYJ and JAX at this time.

butkus51 · Sep 22, 2009

there are some nice ssystems on Tenn this week plus the big revenge factor so be careful here

Michelangelo · Sep 23, 2009

Add:

Minny -?

Waiting on this line too. Should move in my favor.

Over the last ten years when 2-0 SU meets 2-0 SU the HF is 5-1 ATS. The only loser was to a Divisional opponent which we do not have here.

///

Good luck to you Jetplane.

Butkus, man I loved Dick Butkus. Yea, tough to bet against Tenny here no doubt. Discounting the revenge factor. Tenny needs the win bad. They know it. They don't need additional motivation. This Jet team is a very different team from last year's version. Should be a fun game. Good luck Butkus.

Michelangelo · Sep 25, 2009

Add:

NYG -7 (@ TBy)

NYG 7-1 SU; 8-0 ATS L8 games the week after playing in a "spotlight" game (sun or mon night). (7 times as favs; 4 times as -7 or higher).

Michelangelo · Sep 26, 2009

Pulling the Giants down.

Over the last 10 years when 0-2 SU; 0-2 ATS (TBy) is a home dog to a 2-0 SU team (NYG), they are 3-2 SU and 5-0 ATS.

Michelangelo · Sep 27, 2009

Add:

Sea +3 -130 (vs Chi) (Bodog)
Seneca Wallace was 6-2 ATS in his 8 starts last year. Suprise! The losses came against Philly (Wk 9) and a soon to be SB bound Azo in Week 17. Is Chicago in their class? Don't think so.

Pit -4 (@ Cin)
Pit 9-1 SU and ATS L 10 Y in Cincy.

Michelangelo · Sep 27, 2009

Finalized: (All Bodog at time of post as usual)

NYJ -3 +130 (vs Ten)
TBy +7 -120 (vs NYG)
Was -6' -105 (@ Det)
Min -7 +100 (vs SFo)
Sea +3 -125 (vs Chi)
Buf +6' -115 (vs NOr)
Jax/Hou Over 47
Ten/NYJ Under 37

May add later.

Oh yea, I never mentioned Buff above so I'm gonna give ya my reasoning. Last year Drew Brees had a 26/3 TD/Int ratio at home. He had an 11/12 TD/Int ratio on the road. He screwed me up last week using the same reasoning. Let's see if he can do it again.