Week 2...game i love

[bmore]

I don't post alot anymore but have been betting football for 10 years now. This is one of the best spots i have seen for a team in quite a while. don't let my name fool you, although i live in baltimore, i am not a raven fan...im a dallas fan so this bet is not betting with my heart


Balt + 4 at SD (5 units)
Balt + whatever ML (2 units)

This is my favorite game of the week. SD was extremely lucky to win last night and they won't be as fortunate this week. SD defense was being gashed with the run and play action pass by an offense that is no where near the level of Baltimore's offense. The Ravens should be able to move at will against SD so its a good bet that Balt scores about 24 maybe even more here.

I don't see anyway SD scores more then 20 points tops in this game. The Ravens did give up some points last week (24) against a bad KC offense but 7 was on a blocked punt for a TD and the Ravens outgained KC 501-188!!!

SD was actually outgained by 49 yards against Oak and really should have lost. Horrible call before halftime cost Oak the win. SD struggles every year at the begininng of the year and this year looks to be no different

Another great factor here is SD is off a highly contested Monday night win (love to fade teams off of this situation) and they will be without their probowl C Nick Harwick possibly their starting RG Vasquez and 2 DE Travis Johnson who is def out and his backup Cesaire could be out as well.

Will also probably throw a small amount on the over here as Balt over/unders are not indicitive of the new Balt team that has a very good offense

These opportunities do not come along often IMO. I will be betting much more then i bet on any normal game but not more then 10% of my bankroll. Please remember there are no locks or guarantees but IMO this is the best bet i have seen in several years. Gl to all

 

[hebrewnational]

I like your write and think you are spot on. I think Baltimore is argueably the best team in the AFC.

In addition, it seems as if LT is already banged up after such a poor job by the offensive line last night. I am looking for Baltimore to dominate upfront.

One question, how does the secondary of the Ravens look this year? Are they healthy?

 

[bmore]

I like your write and think you are spot on. I think Baltimore is argueably the best team in the AFC.

In addition, it seems as if LT is already banged up after such a poor job by the offensive line last night. I am looking for Baltimore to dominate upfront.

One question, how does the secondary of the Ravens look this year? Are they healthy?

Rolle is on the PUP list so he is out til week 6...he is getting old anyway. The secondary for Balt is faster and more athletic then last years version. Fabian Washington is solid and Foxworth has really come on of late and seems like a natural fit for balt since they like to play alot of man defense...washington is a good man to man defender.

The secondary can and will give up some big plays but the Ravens once again will be a very difficult team to score TD's on in the redzone.

I do agree that the one matchup in this game that favors the Chargers is their WR/TE vs the ravens pass defense. I am a bit worried about Gates but with the offensive line problems SD has, i think the raven pash rush will be dominant and will not give Rivers time to get the ball downfield

For once its the Raven offense that i am banking on here as the general public has not caught on to how good this offense will be especially Joe Flacco

 

[xyzky]

Was looking at this one as well. Let's get this!!

 

[hebrewnational]

Rolle is on the PUP list so he is out til week 6...he is getting old anyway. The secondary for Balt is faster and more athletic then last years version. Fabian Washington is solid and Foxworth has really come on of late and seems like a natural fit for balt since they like to play alot of man defense...washington is a good man to man defender.

The secondary can and will give up some big plays but the Ravens once again will be a very difficult team to score TD's on in the redzone.

I do agree that the one matchup in this game that favors the Chargers is their WR/TE vs the ravens pass defense. I am a bit worried about Gates but with the offensive line problems SD has, i think the raven pash rush will be dominant and will not give Rivers time to get the ball downfield

For once its the Raven offense that i am banking on here as the general public has not caught on to how good this offense will be especially Joe Flacco

Are you leaning the over? I feel the Ravens should have little trouble with running the ball against SD = long drives ending in touchdowns.

I saw the game last night, and I saw the Raiders ability to run effectively with McFadden (speedy back) and Bush (power back) against the Chargers with a very inaccurate and sometimes awful looking QB in Russell. I see the Ravens in a better position, with a more polished and natural QB with McClain and Ray-Ray having their way on the field.

 

[whormoan]

Everything said here so far is true and spot on. However, the Chargers are a completely different animal at home. Careful those of you jumping on Ravens.

 

[gabbana]

interesting choice ...i was looking at it myself..

 

[xyzky]

Everything said here so far is true and spot on. However, the Chargers are a completely different animal at home. Careful those of you jumping on Ravens.

That is very true, but grabbing 4pts in this one is the right side. Should end up being a great game that will come down to the wire.

 

[bmore]

Are you leaning the over? I feel the Ravens should have little trouble with running the ball against SD = long drives ending in touchdowns.

I saw the game last night, and I saw the Raiders ability to run effectively with McFadden (speedy back) and Bush (power back) against the Chargers with a very inaccurate and sometimes awful looking QB in Russell. I see the Ravens in a better position, with a more polished and natural QB with McClain and Ray-Ray having their way on the field.

i am def leaning towards the over and will probably make a small bet on the over. both teams get over 20 here...i see a 27-21 type of game that the Ravens win

 

[bmore]

Everything said here so far is true and spot on. However, the Chargers are a completely different animal at home. Careful those of you jumping on Ravens.

I hear you on that but remember that SD was only 4-4 ATS last year at home losing 3 outright including the home opener last year.

I just don't see how they will match the ravens physically after playing a tough hard fought monday night game against a division rival. if you saw the game last night they were physically abused (Harwick, Vasquez tomlinson all hurt) and they have a short week to prepare. GL

 

[NFLParlazy]

Beware... Chargers are unpredictable... one week they can struggle against the Raiders and the next week blowout the best teams in the NFL.

Baltimore at home struggled against the Chiefs, yeah they won by 14 but we both know it was a lot closer.

Also, according to wagerline and sb, the majority of bettors are on the Ravens. Chargers do well with low expectations and when doubted.

Just saying beware.... but good luck!!

 

[bmore]

Beware... Chargers are unpredictable... one week they can struggle against the Raiders and the next week blowout the best teams in the NFL.

Baltimore at home struggled against the Chiefs, yeah they won by 14 but we both know it was a lot closer.

Also, according to wagerline and sb, the majority of bettors are on the Ravens. Chargers do well with low expectations and when doubted.

Just saying beware.... but good luck!!

The early bets are not always indicitive of where the action will end up. I love that this line was 5 at pinny last night and is now -3.5 +109 as i type...tons of early sharp money on the ravens. the public will come in sunday and see SD - 3 and jump on it IMO

 

[NFLParlazy]

The early bets are not always indicitive of where the action will end up. I love that this line was 5 at pinny last night and is now -3.5 +109 as i type...tons of early sharp money on the ravens. the public will come in sunday and see SD - 3 and jump on it IMO

I hear ya, good points. Chargers did not play well last night, that's for sure. Good luck man.

 

[TheCommish]

Flacco is well improved

 

[ringo]

I'll take San Diego. It makes more sense for this line to be at 3. The books want you to take the 4 and Baltimore. San Diego can be a different animal at home.

 

[Kevin36]

With how SD played last night and -4.5 at my book now ,Balt +4.5 is too easy right but be carefull nothing is easy.

 

[cacheman]

I'll take San Diego. It makes more sense for this line to be at 3. The books want you to take the 4 and Baltimore. San Diego can be a different animal at home.

My understanding is that there are very few actual linesmakers. Now obviously these individuals are trusted worldwide, as their lines are the basis of sports gambling. With this in mind, it would appear that lines are created with the hope of drawing equal action to both sides. Thus, to say that a book is drawing bettors to one side for any other reason, would be saying that books are in the business of speculating on individual games. If this were the case, wouldn't lines have much wider variance? Also, wouldn't this type of speculation have to be stated in the annual reports of the casinos that are public companies? An investor is trusting that their investment is going into MGM Mirage, because that they are utilizing tried and true mathematical advantages. Not hoping that San Diego plays well at home.

On a side note, I would love it if 60 Minutes or HBO Sports would produce a piece on how lines are created, distributed, etc... Who the people are, how they got into that line of work, etc... Has anyone ever seen something like that?

 

[FearTheRaven]

I like it

Ravens didn't blitz KC at all Sunday. I think they're saving something special for SD.

 

[Mr.CantstopWontstop]

Flaccos gonna get zapped by merriman baby

 

[Mr.CantstopWontstop]

no one knows how balts gonna do, they beat up the chiefs, the 3rd worst team in the nfl. lol. travelling all the way across the country to a pissed off SD team. the line is spot on.