Last week was my 1st sub .500 since beginning to post ending 3-5 with all my add on plays being what got me. On bright side the 3 wins were a 2u and a couple 1.5u plays where all the losses were 1x plays so only dropped 40 bucks. That brings the total to 28-17 +1505 posted on this site.
For me week 17 a time to tread lightly and this year no exception, far too much uncertainty and I learned long ago just cause a team "has to have it" doesnt mean they gonna go get it, many times such teams lay a stinker against a team "not playing for anything" reminding us why in fact said team was In this spot to begin with. Remember in most cases a team having to win week 17 to secure a playoff spot got here by playing inconsistently and losing games they should have won all year!!
Jags+4.5 (1x).. maybe I'm foolish to believe in what I saw last week but that looked like the team I considered to be on the rise entering this season. Luckily despite my higher expectations for this team I've managed to be really successful betting them as dogs and think this another good spot to take them.
I still think there a ton of potential on this jags team, Bradley built a very good defense that been going under the radar all year prob cause bortles and the offense has been so bad. Last week bortles all a sudden threw the ball accurately and his team responded, he actually played pretty well the 1st meeting between these 2 as well in a game jags basically controlled wire to wire outside a late comeback effort from luck that made score closer than game actually was.
Outside of qb I think there a strong case to be made that jags are a far more talented roster on both sides of the ball, if colts had any sense they would take a page out of jags book and fire pagano who a terrible coach. Give me the youthful jags looking to go out on a high note vs a banged up colts squad who had their playoff aspirations crushed last week and looking to start their vacation. I like jags to win so very happy taking the points..
bears +6.5 (1x).. another bad team I have had quite a bit of success picking right spots to back them and this appears to be another. Forget about bears for a moment and let's focus on minny who has no business laying this number. Line implies this squad is over a fg better on a nuetral field? I'd argue right now at this moment bears are actually the better team. Min has the worst rushing attack in the league which is putting captain checkdown and his weak oline in difficult down and distances for them to manage. Vikings offensively shortcomings well documented however it their defense that has been surprisingly bad of late, maybe the pressure of having to carry the offense has caught up to them. Bears physically dominated the 1st meeting with the run game on offense and sacking and hitting Bradford repeatedly on defense. Barkley made a ton of mistakes last week and that game got away from bears against a much more talented skins team, bears are still playing hard for fox and I question if that still the case for the Vikings coach. Not sure if bears win but I trust them to stay well within a td..
For me week 17 a time to tread lightly and this year no exception, far too much uncertainty and I learned long ago just cause a team "has to have it" doesnt mean they gonna go get it, many times such teams lay a stinker against a team "not playing for anything" reminding us why in fact said team was In this spot to begin with. Remember in most cases a team having to win week 17 to secure a playoff spot got here by playing inconsistently and losing games they should have won all year!!
Jags+4.5 (1x).. maybe I'm foolish to believe in what I saw last week but that looked like the team I considered to be on the rise entering this season. Luckily despite my higher expectations for this team I've managed to be really successful betting them as dogs and think this another good spot to take them.
I still think there a ton of potential on this jags team, Bradley built a very good defense that been going under the radar all year prob cause bortles and the offense has been so bad. Last week bortles all a sudden threw the ball accurately and his team responded, he actually played pretty well the 1st meeting between these 2 as well in a game jags basically controlled wire to wire outside a late comeback effort from luck that made score closer than game actually was.
Outside of qb I think there a strong case to be made that jags are a far more talented roster on both sides of the ball, if colts had any sense they would take a page out of jags book and fire pagano who a terrible coach. Give me the youthful jags looking to go out on a high note vs a banged up colts squad who had their playoff aspirations crushed last week and looking to start their vacation. I like jags to win so very happy taking the points..
bears +6.5 (1x).. another bad team I have had quite a bit of success picking right spots to back them and this appears to be another. Forget about bears for a moment and let's focus on minny who has no business laying this number. Line implies this squad is over a fg better on a nuetral field? I'd argue right now at this moment bears are actually the better team. Min has the worst rushing attack in the league which is putting captain checkdown and his weak oline in difficult down and distances for them to manage. Vikings offensively shortcomings well documented however it their defense that has been surprisingly bad of late, maybe the pressure of having to carry the offense has caught up to them. Bears physically dominated the 1st meeting with the run game on offense and sacking and hitting Bradford repeatedly on defense. Barkley made a ton of mistakes last week and that game got away from bears against a much more talented skins team, bears are still playing hard for fox and I question if that still the case for the Vikings coach. Not sure if bears win but I trust them to stay well within a td..
